another article pointing to YMTC fully booked for 6 months next year. I assume this source, but I'd take this as the source being pretty good
Which also to me means YMTC capacity unlikely to change much in first half of next year and that it's growth in Fab 2 most likely start in middle of the year. Maybe it's needs to do more validation of domestic tools + ASML thru the full process.
Now if you remember the AMEC slides, there was more items where DRAMs need customer validation. That to me indicates domestic + ASML to be operational at end of next year. Now, CXMT is not only entity list, so maybe it can still expand a little w/ American tools. Maybe
@hvpc can guess us a rough idea here.
And my guess is that 14nm logic using domestic tools + SML gets validated first. It just seems to me that specially for etching tools, the requirement for 1x DRAM is higher than 14nm logic