Research note on NAURA from 20230201
After October surprise, Nov orders were average and Dec orders were good. SMIC Jingcheng orders are picking up. 2022 new orders are 60% up from 2021. 2022 orders basically covers 2023 Q3 revenue. export restrictions & consumption weakness effects are yet to be seen. will need to wait until end of Q1 to determine if Q4 revenue will be affected.
upstream capex depends on lithography machine restrictions. CXMT is relatively active still. YMTC in the 128+ layer restriction is harder
Basically anything that can be provided domestically is getting validated by CXMT
Proportion of US component is dropping and domestic component is increasing, but more advanced equipments are using more imported parts. Actively verifying domestic components
I guess NAURA also provides a lot of photovoltaic equipment
There are some other stuff in there worth checking out.