From various laoyaoba articles on SMIC today.Looks like SMIC earnings call is going on right now. Some summary of things I've seen
this is already done. Capex is relatively flat from 2022 to 2023
NEV related revenue is increasing with respect to power management, vehicle entertainment system and car control (ECUs?)
In past 22 years, SMIC has produced 60 million 8-inch equivalent wafers with over 100 billion chips.
mobile phone inventory is very high, consumer products have half year of stock? industrial sector has no stock. In auto industry, NEVs have not enough supply. In phone/consumer sector, display drivers have the highest stock, enough for 3 quarters. MCUs have some stock.
- revenue in smartphone accounted for 27% in 2022, which is a rebound, so smartphone is likely to fully recover sooner. SMIC SMIC should have more diverse product structure with more flash memory chips and MPUs.
- SMIC will not engage in price war with its added capacity. It will forcus on improving products and technologies and more customer cooperation.
- We are seeing not only lower utilization also lower prices compared to 2021/2022. Certain products like dedicated memory chips and automotive CTs have seen price fall by 1/3 vs a year ago.
- US revenues gained because American customers are less volatile, so the decline in this part of revenue is smaller. Chinese customers are more volatile.
- gross margins dropping to 20% in 2023 due to both lower revenues and higher depreciation.
- Total number of employees exceeding 20k, including 10k engineers and 2k full time R&D. Low level of turnover in recent years. Have good success in attracting talent.
- monthly production reached 714k 8-inch equivalent wafer by end of 2022, annual utilization 92%. Capex ended up being $6.35B, less than the projected $6.6Bd
- Capex will stay same in 2023 despite no new factory, because funds will be invested in new structure. Sounds like more money to spend on construction this year than last year and also a lot of mature capacity expansion.
- SMIC Shenzhen has entered production stage.
- SMIC JingCheng was delayed by 1 to 2 quarters due to delay in delivery of bottleneck equipment, but has entered trial production.
- SMIC Lingang’s main structure has been capped
- SMIC Xiqing(Tianjin) start construction
- Growth slowed for SMIC
Edited: including SMIC capacity from past few quarters
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