Chinese semiconductor industry

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FairAndUnbiased

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I already suspect so.

But from his writing, I can see his clear argument that the YMTC dependency on several (or maybe just one) tool/equipment from overseas is the achilles heel and the reason why the ban will drag YMTC. I am not saying he must be right.

Thats why I am interested to hear from some expert here how wrong he is, and the comparable alternative from domestic for the tools/equipments.

Btw, this is the information from year 2020:

Applied Materials and Lam Research generated an estimated $6.2 billion in revenues from NAND manufacturers in 2020 and $740 million to YMTC.
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Year 2022: YMTC said to have sold semiconductors that incorporated American technology to smartphone maker
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Hopefully this year YMTC could be free from dependency on overseas equipment vendor.
we wouldn't know that and neither would he though, because he has no insight into YMTC's specific process.

Do you know any particular dependencies of YMTC that doesn't exist in China? As far as I see China is doing quite well with the exception of lithographs as of 2022.
From what I've heard, one problem is their dependence on KLA for 3D NAND dimensional metrology. 3D NAND poses specific problems due to high wafer bow from so many layered films causing strain in the wafer due to lattice mismatch and very high aspect ratio holes. This requires some unique capabilities such as small angle X-ray scattering.

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There's plenty of scattering based optical techniques too, but those I don't know much about. Optical scatterometry is like black magic to me, so I don't qualify to talk about it.

Dimensional metrology is supposedly difficult to crack, it isn't just about lateral CD and point defect inspection (which can be taken care of by CD-SEM which China already has).
 

xypher

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I am not a chip expert to qualify that article is stupid or not, this article is from credible source Tomshardware , thats why I would be happy to hear opinions from the experts here.
I know each side has their own bias, but hearing and comparing analysis from several analyst will be nice for digestion.

So it would be interesting to hear your opinion regarding what domestic tools and equipment makers that can replace the most advanced from international makers in case of YMTC to ensure they can sustain their position as the most advanced or keep developing advanced nand flash.
Tom's hardware is hardly a reputable source on serious topics like in-depth information on semiconductor industry and equipment imo. Aren't they primarily writing about PC parts and reviewing them?
 

tphuang

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Others can probably translate this better than me. Talks about Kingsemi here seeing huge increases in order in first 3 quarters of this year. Front end track orders (coating) customers include SMIC JingCheng (new Beijing fab), HLMC, CXMT and CXMT (repeat orders) as well as 12-inch KrF degumming equipment for Silan. Its front end wafer cleaning machines got orders from SMIC, HLMC, Yandong and other customers. Currently, KingSemi has 2 factories in Shenyang.
 

ZeEa5KPul

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From what I've heard, one problem is their dependence on KLA for 3D NAND dimensional metrology. 3D NAND poses specific problems due to high wafer bow from so many layered films causing strain in the wafer due to lattice mismatch and very high aspect ratio holes. This requires some unique capabilities such as small angle X-ray scattering.
I have a decent enough handle on lithography and understand China's problems there and the progress it's making on solving them. I know next to nothing about inspection - what Chinese companies are there that are analogues of KLA and what's their relative competitiveness? What are the major problems in the field and how much progress is being made on them?
 

tonyget

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I have a decent enough handle on lithography and understand China's problems there and the progress it's making on solving them. I know next to nothing about inspection - what Chinese companies are there that are analogues of KLA and what's their relative competitiveness? What are the major problems in the field and how much progress is being made on them?

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tphuang

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Interesting thread. Not sure how reliable Paul Triolo is?


Another article:

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Looked through his thread. While he tried hard here, he really overstates a look of these issues. I don't know why he even wasted time talking about cambricon since they are such a small fish. He also wasted a couple of posts on smee even though smee is unlikely to use any American component. He is also wrong that smee is china's only lithography maker. The only thing extra he mentioned which is kind of interesting is the part on biren and tsmc. But even with that, I think he is overstating the importance.

In the future, I would just recommend people to not post his takes.
 
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