Chinese semiconductor industry

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tokenanalyst

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Jingce Electronics: The holding subsidiary has sold multiple semiconductor front-end measurement and testing equipment to the same customer.​


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Jiwei Net News Jingce Electronics announced on the evening of November 11 that from December 1, 2021 to November 11, 2022, the holding subsidiary Shanghai Jingce Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. Its related companies have signed a number of sales contracts to sell a number of semiconductor front-end measurement and testing equipment to customers, with a cumulative contract value of 338 million yuan.

Jingce Electronics said that if this batch of contracts can be successfully implemented, it is expected to have a positive impact on the company's operating results. The signing of this batch of contracts is that the company and the customer have further deepened the cooperative relationship between the two parties on the basis of the original good cooperation. It reflects the customer's high recognition of the company's semiconductor testing equipment, which helps to expand the company's brand influence and enhance the company's Market Competitiveness.

It is worth mentioning that, recently, the State Administration for Market Regulation announced 50 outstanding cases of "Measuring and testing to promote industrial innovation and development", and the cases declared by two units in Wuhan were listed. One of them is the research and development and application of the high-precision area array colorimetric parameter measuring instrument declared by Precision Electronic.

According to reports, the high-precision area array colorimetric parameter measuring instrument developed by Jingce Electronics has broken through multi-channel spectral imaging consistency calibration, vision-based high-precision color calibration and analysis, AI-based multi-channel spectral fusion and multi-channel sequence. Image detection and other key technologies solve the problems of low detection accuracy and speed of display products, fundamentally break the technological monopoly of foreign companies in this field, and form a high-end flat panel display detection product with completely independent intellectual property rights in my country.

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tphuang

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you left off an important revelation by SMIC on its expansion (from the Q & A section):

“Q: 8-inch and 12-inch capacity expansion distribution?

A: 8 inches, we have a stable production expansion plan. The production expansion in the first two years is basically 40040k/month, and this growth rate will be maintained the next year.

At the beginning of the year, we announced a 12-inch production expansion target, which has not changed much from the beginning of the year. The growth rate should be similar to or slightly higher than last year. In 5-7 years, the 12-inch target reached 340k/month.

5-7 years……SMIC’s own estimate on when its announced 12” expansion plan will be completed is between 2027 to 2029.
I did not include that part, because the finishing time of announced projects is in line with my expectations. As I previously posted, Shanghai Lingang won't reach full production until 2027 #18,293 Since Tianjin project started construction 9 months later, it will probably reach full production in 2028.

However, things are so far away that it doesn't make sense to just say they will grow 340k wpm in 6 years.

for example, they are going to further increase production at SMSC SN1/SN2 plant. SMIC kind of pretends that fab just doesn't exist right now. The new Beijing Capital JV has a 2nd planned phase after the first phase of 100k wpm is finished in 2025. It would be shocking if they don't announce further fabs from now until 2027. I wouldn't use just the existing projects to project their future growth. What we know is that they are increasing up to 20% capacity a year, which is pretty fast growth.

Wow. Increase 340,000 in 5 years

公司依据市场长期需求进行中长期的资本开支规划,建设进度有可能根据市场变化、采购周期、成本等因素进行适当调整。“未来5-7年,公司有中芯深圳、中芯京城、中芯东方等总共约34万片12英寸新产线的建设项目。基于这些项目长远安排的原因,公司要支付长交期设备提前下单的预付款,因此今年全年资本支出从50亿美元上调为66亿美元。”
They are using those projects as justification for early delivery of ASML machines. Their medium term capacity expansion plans have not changed since August, but increased their H2 Capex from $2.5 billion to $4.1 billion. Most likely stocking up, but also possible they are accelerating their expansion plans for SN2.
 

olalavn

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Interesting news. Don't know how likely it is,but equpments and materials for display has a much lower technical barrier compare to semiconductors,so I don't think it's a big concern.

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olala, this is from South Korea, I'm not surprised because S.K is competing with China for Led panels... China's Led technology is catching up with S.K.'s technology.. this is pure market news
 

mst

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olala, this is from South Korea, I'm not surprised because S.K is competing with China for Led panels... China's Led technology is catching up with S.K.'s technology.. this is pure market news
If regulations as tough as those for semiconductor equipment are applied to display equipment and materials makers, it is difficult for Chinese companies to receive core materials and equipment for displays. For example, in the glass substrate domain, U.S. company Corning holds a market share of more than 70 percent.

Is glass material a concern? any supplier in China?
 

tonyget

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olala, this is from South Korea, I'm not surprised because S.K is competing with China for Led panels... China's Led technology is catching up with S.K.'s technology.. this is pure market news

Doesn't matter where the news come from. Chinese display industry does use some American materials and equpments at the moment,I think it's better to replace those American stuff with domestic ones now,rather than wait until the possible ban materializes.
 

olalavn

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Doesn't matter where the news come from. Chinese display industry does use some American materials and equpments at the moment,I think it's better to replace those American stuff with domestic ones now,rather than wait until the possible ban materializes.
I'll give you some local names that can replace it: 吉林奥来德, 陕西莱特光电, 宁波卢米兰,西安瑞联新材, 濮阳惠成...
 

tonyget

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If regulations as tough as those for semiconductor equipment are applied to display equipment and materials makers, it is difficult for Chinese companies to receive core materials and equipment for displays. For example, in the glass substrate domain, U.S. company Corning holds a market share of more than 70 percent.

Is glass material a concern? any supplier in China?

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Breaking the International Monopoly - Triumph Technology Electronic Glass Domestic Substitution

3. Production barriers

The current pattern of the electronic glass industry is an oligopoly. Since electronic glass is a technology- and capital-intensive industry, patent barriers are high, and technological breakthroughs are difficult, thus forming a monopoly. According to institutional statistics, in 2020, the top five manufacturers of electronic glass in the world will occupy more than 95% of the overall market. Corning, which ranks first, almost monopolizes the high-end market, while the company's output only accounts for 35% of the total output. 55%.

In terms of technology gap, Corning began to build the world's first G10.5 display glass substrate factory in Hefei in 2015. Domestic manufacturers have only independently developed and mass-produced G8.5 display glass substrates in the past two years.

The production barriers of electronic glass are mainly reflected in three aspects: formula, technology and capital.

(1) Recipe barriers. The chemical composition of glass directly affects various properties of glass. In production, the composition of glass is often adjusted to adjust performance and control production. For example, calcium oxide is an important component to stabilize glass, and it also has the effect of reducing the viscosity of glass during melting, promoting melting, and improving devitrification, but it tends to hinder the exchange of alkali metal ions, so when it is necessary to increase the depth of ion exchange (DOL), it is necessary to reduce its content, and increasing the aluminum content can enhance its ion exchange performance, but too high aluminum content will also increase the viscosity of the glass, resulting in increased production difficulties and increased costs.

In general, the formulation of glass is the result of making trade-offs after considering various factors. A good and stable formulation is the basis for making glass, which is especially important for electronic glass that requires higher quality, and this is also the The company's core secrets.

(2) Process barriers. The production process of electronic glass is mainly based on the overflow method and the float method. The overflow method is represented by foreign companies such as Corning and NEG. In addition to Dongxu Optoelectronics and Rainbow Group, the overflow method is also used in China, and most other companies use the float method. Law.

The two methods have their own advantages and disadvantages in different aspects. Mastering the molding method is only the foundation, and the key lies in the related equipment and processes. Taking Corning's overflow method patent as an example, many patents have been applied for its equipment design and process, and these require long-term independent research and testing by new manufacturers.

(3) Financial barriers. The manufacturing process of electronic glass is complex and requires special equipment. Therefore, building an electronic glass production line requires a huge investment and a construction period of 1.5-2 years. After the production line is completed, the product yield and production line must be considered. iteration problem. Take Caihong as an example. In 2010, Caihong raised 3.5 billion yuan to build 8 G5 and 2 G6 display glass substrate production lines. The production lines were just completed, but they were faced with the situation of elimination and the production capacity was lower than expected. Huge losses came.

Fourth, the prospect of domestic substitution of electronic glass

Corning has been on the G10.5 production line for 5 years. Domestic Dongxu Optoelectronics, Triumph Group and Rainbow Co., Ltd. independently developed and mass-produced G8.5 display glass substrates in 2017, 2019 and 2020, respectively. It broke the monopoly of foreign companies on high-generation glass substrates. In general, although domestic enterprises have gradually caught up with the international first-line level in terms of product performance, the current products are mainly used in low-end models, and there is also a significant gap between the sales price and the yield rate of Corning.

On the other hand, China's large-size LCD production capacity has surpassed South Korea to become the world's largest, and the shipments of the four mainstream domestic mobile phone brands have increased from 9% in 2013 to 37% in 2020. In the world's largest new energy vehicle market, under the background of ensuring supply chain security, it is the general trend to increase the proportion of localization.

At present, Rainbow has built the first G8.5+ overflow method display glass substrate hot-end production line with independent intellectual property rights in China, and in the first quarter of 2021, benefiting from the high panel market boom, net profit has increased significantly, reaching 11.1 100 million yuan; Triumph Technology has ultra-thin flexible glass (UTG) technology, and its performance has reached the international average level.
 
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