There is no way that ASML could produce 70 units of NXT 3400C a year. Both capacity and market not even close to 70, I think 7 units is likely
There is no way that ASML could produce 70 units of NXT 3400C a year. Both capacity and market not even close to 70, I think 7 units is likely
@european_guy and IF SMEE do deliver an EUVL, will ASML change track and aside from selling EUVL may set up a subsidiary making use of local equipment to please both the US and China?It seems ASML strategy is to produce and push to the market as many EUV units as possible.
This is not only revenue related, but IMO is also a long term strategy to saturate the market and create the biggest possible technological gap with Chinese manufacturers (and to a lesser extent with Nikon).
ASML has now a time window of about 5-7 years to widen the gap in EUV and is going for it at full speed. I'd guess it makes totally sense. And this is what fair and healthy competition should be.
For SMEE has never been easy....it will be even harder in the future.
...and BTW regarding fair competition, I think that banning ASML EUV in China is a disadvantage for ASML and a big gift for SMEE.
@gelgoog and bro I want to know if an EUVL powered by SSMB can match that of ASML High NA EUVL or more superior? And saturate the market strategy of ASML is all talk, IF they're serious they may have done so with its DUVL , to flood the market before SMEE SSA800 mass introduction.Each factory will need multiple EUV lithography machines. And the lower the production rate of EUV the more lithography machines you will need to reach the same wafer production.
I hope China doesn't just have an EUV program, but also working on high NA EUV, and whatever is next after that. Only way to beat these competitors is to act like that. Not just continue chasing their tail.
The yankees will not allow ASML selling EUV to China. So ASML will lose business in China. China will then saturate the market with Chinese EUV machines.@european_guy and IF SMEE do deliver an EUVL, will ASML change track and aside from selling EUVL may set up a subsidiary making use of local equipment to please both the US and China?
If the SSMB can power a hundred EUVL, the production lines will have to spread over a very large area, that means the fabs will have to occupy a big piece of land area? If SSMB can power a hundred EUVL, how many can NXT 3400C power?@tokenanalyst bro I'm wondering with the restriction impose on China regarding EUVL and only 3 FAB are buying their High NA EUVL, will they price themselves out of the market? especially that TSMC 2nm development is based on legacy EUVL? IF the Chinese delivered their much anticipated EUVL with game changing SSMB will that make ASML High NA EUVL a vanity project? I mean the cost of a SSMB is $170 million and that can power multiple EUVL (theoretically offer a hundred ) while that of NXT 3400C is $200 million what more of High NA EUVL which cost double at $400 million plus? with projected production of 70 units of NXT 3400C per year, I think there is not enough customers to buy those machine as I see a glut in the market by next year as China ramp up production.