Any news on SMEE DUV 28nm ??
With the COVID situation in Shanghai, we have to wait until the situation get better.Any news on SMEE DUV 28nm ??
From windows and seats, to body control and engine control, every innovation in automotive electronics has to be realized through the computing and control functions of MCU chips.
Well, 23 million, it’s not exactly very small population. Even today, TSMC has only 50,000 employees in Taiwan. It has a few thousand in other countries. But in Taiwan, yeah, there’s only 50,000.
Now I started in the semiconductor industry in 1955. Now, in the ‘50s and ‘60s, and the very early part of the ‘70s, the U.S. was very strong in manufacturing talents. Now, in a speech that I made in Taiwan about a year ago, I said Taiwan had certain competitive strengths in semiconductor manufacturing, and those strengths mainly almost entirely were people related, talent related. Now, the U.S. in the ‘50s, ‘60s and the early part of ‘70s also had these strengths. But then, of course, talents usually migrated to higher profit occupations. And so, the manufacturing talents in the U.S. started to migrate to design aspects, design profession if they stay in the industry.
Of course, a lot of them went into the finance industry. And 1980 was actually the watermark, the dividing line, when banks started to be deregulated and so on in the ‘70s, then after 1980 a lot of young talents went into the finance industry. You could just tell from where the business school graduates went. They used to go to big industrial companies, the GEs, the IBMs, and so on. Some of them used to go there. But now the big companies couldn’t attract very many business school graduates. Business school graduates went to either consulting houses or to Wall Street.
Anyway, my point is that back in the ‘50s, ‘60s, and the early part of the ‘70s, the U.S. had these manufacturing talents too. But then starting in the ‘70s, the manufacturing talents migrated to higher paying professions—design, if they stay in the semiconductor industry and otherwise, or they migrate to other internet industry and the finance industry. And I really think that’s a good thing, it’s not a bad thing at all.
There’s a lack of manufacturing talents to begin with. I don’t really think it’s a bad thing for the United States, actually, but it’s a bad thing for trying to do semiconductor manufacturing in the U.S. We have actually had a manufacturing plant in Oregon for 25 years—and 25 years, that’s a long time. And we send all kinds of people, we change the managers, change the engineers, we use both America, local engineers, we also send engineers from Taiwan to Oregon to try to improve the performance. But improvement in its performance has happened.
However, the cost difference between Taiwan manufacturing and Oregon manufacturing has remained about the same. The same product, the Oregon cost, is about 50 percent more than the Taiwan cost. Well, of course for us, the Oregon product is still profitable, although not nearly as profitable as the Taiwan product. So still we have maintained it. We started it in 1997. Initially it was chaos, it was just a series of ugly surprises because when we first went in, we really expected the costs to be comparable to Taiwan. And that was extremely naive. But after a few years of trying to make it work, we had to settle down, we had to accept it. And since it was still profitable, of course, we still accepted it, but we didn’t expand it. That was Oregon. We still have about a thousand workers in that factory, and that factory, they cost us about 50 percent more than Taiwan costs.
Now, Arizona: that will be a bigger scale venture, a bigger scale manufacturing than the one in Oregon, much more advanced technology, et cetera. And of course, we did it at the urging of the U.S. government, and we felt that we should do it. Basically, I was already retired at that time the decision was made. So, the decision was made by the current chairman.
But anyway, we think that the recent effort of the U.S. to increase onshore manufacturing of semiconductors, right now you’re talking about spending only tens of billions of dollars of money of subsidy. Well, it’s not going to be enough. I think it will be a very expensive exercise in futility. The U.S. will increase onshore manufacturing of semiconductors somewhat. But all of that will be very high-cost increase, high unit cost. It will be noncompetitive in the world markets where you compete with factories like TSMC.
Right now, I think the U.S. has a very good position in semiconductor technology—design, the U.S. has got most of the design capability in the world, the best design capability in the world. Taiwan has only a little, TSMC has none. But there are a few companies in Taiwan that also do design, but they are not nearly as advanced as some of the US companies.
Now, of course, there are people who point out that maybe Taiwan is not safe. Now, that’s of course another topic. Now, I’m assuming that there will not be any war. Frankly, if there is a war in Taiwan Strait, then I think the United States will have more than chips to worry about. Now, if there’s no war, then I think the effort to increase onshore manufacturing of semiconductors is a wasteful and expensive exercise in futility, if there’s no war. If there is war then, my goodness, we all have a lot more than just chips to worry about.
Now, Arizona: that will be a bigger scale venture, a bigger scale manufacturing than the one in Oregon, much more advanced technology, et cetera. And of course, we did it at the urging of the U.S. government, and we felt that we should do it. Basically, I was already retired at that time the decision was made. So, the decision was made by the current chairman.
That will be pretty catastrophic for Taiwan. I can see the US coming up with some bullshit legislation mandating that all electronics sold in the US contain chips only made in the US. Of course, the excuse will be national security, but the aim will be to prop up all these fabs currently under construction.Another interesting comment was at the end of the interview he said the good days (of being able to sell to everyone like Huawei equally) are gone.