Chinese Internal Politics

yungho

Junior Member
Registered Member
No, it's not negative for Xi or China, it's China's justice system working. Who cares what Westerners think of it?
No one is putting stock into what western media broadcasts. It's not a good look when Xi's handpicked senior leaders are having their power stripped one year into their role. It potentially signals that Xi's influence over the party weakening.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Qin Gang was removed due to his alleged womanizing ways, and that's not something any system in the world can predict how a man's going to give in to his literal wang.
No. No system can do so, but you would imagine that such high profile characters would be under constant surveillance/protection (these roles are often one and the same..) from MSS.

So when the time came for someone to give a list to Xi of potential foreign ministry candidates, ideally the MSS should had thoroughly vetted each one of them. And when Xi, tentatively, before making it official, decided on him to become Foreign Minister, the MSS should had passed Qin from a second round of internal investigation to ensure that everything is good

The fact that Qin had an extra-marital affair with someone in the US, had a child, surrogate etc, and nobody in MSS found out from before, that's a complete and utter embarrassment for the secret services of a superpower. We are not talking about a low-level official here, this is the Foreign Minister, the face of China in the outside world.
 

KYli

Brigadier
Correct. But what I care is to whom the Chinese public will go to next time.

The western media have scored twice on the missing of Qin and Li. Say it was NYT who was the first to report both stories. Now imagine this. Another high ranking front-row member of the central government had been missing from public for a few days. NYT started running a story speculating if the person in question had defected to the US. Would you believe it or call it bull? What would you think of the Chinese public's take on the story? What if that person were not able to resume his duty for a few weeks more?
The rumor and other leaks were spreading around China long before Western media hyped the incidents. Most forums or wechat groups were talking about these two topics for sometime especially after many not anti-China insiders didn't refute such claims.

Western media is irrelevant in this matter. Most mainland Chinese trust their own network more than both Western media and Chinese media. That's why social media and other platform were infiltrated by so much misinformation as it is the most effective way to instigate fake news and brainwash people.

To answer your question, Xi and a few top officials didn't show up for a few days or weeks. Rumors started flying, Western media reported and hyped the news. Xi showed up and rumor died down. Another example, three gorges collapse rumor showed up every year during the raining season and every time Western media picked it up and then died down after flooding season ended. See the pattern.

Such rumors were pretty effective for Western audience but not so effective for Chinese audience. The reason is that Westerners don't pay much attention after all the hype is over as it doesn't concern them and anti-China is ingrained in their thinking. However, such rumor could be counterintuitive for mainland Chinese such as three gorges. After crying wolf for three times, people just don't trust you anymore even if you are right occasionally.


You don't fight fake news or conspiracy theories after they have shaped up. You reduce the chance for them to spawn. More importantly it's about how the Chinese authority should maintain its position as the authoritative source of information on issues that matter to the Chinese public.
Most mainland Chinese don't concern that much about arresting and indicting high profile government officials. Unlike the West, mainland Chinese are used to such high profile arrests. The process is first arresting for interrogation, then strip of official position and kick out being communist member, and lastly formal criminal investigation and indictment.

For interrogation and evidence gathering, the Chinese government would maintain silence and denial until enough evidence for next phase which usually takes a few weeks. For government officials, a formal announcement would always make. The problem is that for anyone who got charged, there probably a few more that just got interrogation for a few days without charges. Unless, a criminal charges were warranted, it might not be the government and public interest to make an announcement. So between a few days to a few weeks, this is a gray period that rumor would spread.

What is truly hurting Chinese government's credibility and authoritative is its inability to combat rumors about government's coverup and collaborate with criminals. Most often, a minor case of suicide and then rumor started flying and when evidence is presented to the contrary the perpetrators move to the next story. Fighting rumor is always a lost cause.
 

drowingfish

Junior Member
Registered Member
I understand the arguement. Nevertheless I favor removing those who are corrupt and competent. The competency can be built and nurtured, a good meritocracy should not lack competent candidates. Corruption is constant, it will worsen over time, never get better. Corruption also creates a norm that encourage others to also be corrupt. Therefore removing corruption is higher priority than maintain competencr. High competence enhance area of one domain. Corruption drag down entire systems.
yes i agree with this line of thinking. you can have a mediocre guy in the position and still get the job done if the system works.

but there is an exception that is when you are in a dire situation and need competent people to accomplish something big...this was China in the 90s and early 2000s. they needed people to grow the economy, and for that reason CCP was willing to overlook some practices in its bureaucracy. corruption at the time was more or less used as an incentive to get the bureaucracy onboard with growth of capitalist economy. now that the economy has been "built", and requires less direct intervention, the CCP is turning around and dealing with those shady practices...looking at it that way it really is just the natural progression of things.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
Alright well Lingling Wei said that Qin was fired for an affair so we definitely know now that he died of an illness.

I understand the line of criticism that the party should be more transparent but honestly I think the magnitude of the issue is easy to be misconstrued in the west when all you hear is nonstop criticism over it. There is no reason to believe that it has a material effect on China's diplomacy or on Xi's popular legitimacy at home, and the party has long since made the decision that the risks of greater information disclosure outweigh the benefits. What matters is that anticorruption is being enforced imo, so long as that continues to happen then the leadership's resistance to being more open about it is not that important.
Qin Gang died?
 

SanWenYu

Captain
Registered Member
The rumor and other leaks were spreading around China long before Western media hyped the incidents. Most forums or wechat groups were talking about these two topics for sometime especially after many not anti-China insiders didn't refute such claims.
Western media is irrelevant in this matter. Most mainland Chinese trust their own network more than both Western media and Chinese media. That's why social media and other platform were infiltrated by so much misinformation as it is the most effective way to instigate fake news and brainwash people.
This is exactly the problem caused by the silence of the authority at the beginning. The public and media everywhere have watchful eyes on these public figures in spotlights. Not to mention there are leaks from within the authority. It's wishful thinking of the authority that disappearance of high rank officials wouldn't be picked by the public and enemy. The authority being tight-lipped and embargoing the domestic media only left the floor to rumors and enemy's media.

To answer your question, Xi and a few top officials didn't show up for a few days or weeks. Rumors started flying, Western media reported and hyped the news. Xi showed up and rumor died down. Another example, three gorges collapse rumor showed up every year during the raining season and every time Western media picked it up and then died down after flooding season ended. See the pattern.

Such rumors were pretty effective for Western audience but not so effective for Chinese audience. The reason is that Westerners don't pay much attention after all the hype is over as it doesn't concern them and anti-China is ingrained in their thinking. However, such rumor could be counterintuitive for mainland Chinese such as three gorges. After crying wolf for three times, people just don't trust you anymore even if you are right occasionally.
It's rather passive and reactive to just sit and wait for the enemy to rot. Even if China wants to take a defensive position in the PR war, it should defend proactively.

Credibility needs time to build up. If the authority and the state-run media are always missing from the battles, the public wouldn't all of sudden start trusting them as reliable and credible sources even after the enemy media have died of self-inflicted wounds. Guess who would fill the void then?

Most mainland Chinese don't concern that much about arresting and indicting high profile government officials. Unlike the West, mainland Chinese are used to such high profile arrests. The process is first arresting for interrogation, then strip of official position and kick out being communist member, and lastly formal criminal investigation and indictment.

For interrogation and evidence gathering, the Chinese government would maintain silence and denial until enough evidence for next phase which usually takes a few weeks. For government officials, a formal announcement would always make. The problem is that for anyone who got charged, there probably a few more that just got interrogation for a few days without charges. Unless, a criminal charges were warranted, it might not be the government and public interest to make an announcement. So between a few days to a few weeks, this is a gray period that rumor would spread.
It's not conflicting with what I am suggesting. Simply stating the known fact that Qin and Li were off duty won't disclose anything regarding the ongoing investigation. The authority did not have to make the statement on day one. But the earlier it tells the public, the less chance for rumors to spawn and less chance for the enemy to stir up shit.
 

SanWenYu

Captain
Registered Member
I think @SanWenYu raises some good points. Recall it was always NYT or more recently WSJ that always breaks the news first about Chinese internal politics, think Wen Jiabao scandal, Li Qiang as China's #2, end of Covid lockdowns, etc. China should go on the offensive and use a HK or maybe soon TW intermediary to leak such news. It's better for the rumor/news to framed by China than it is to be framed by the west.
But I think it's a bad idea to use a media in HK or wherever out side of mainland as the conduit of leak. As I said in other posts, the authority must not give others the power of being the information source. The authority itself, or a state-run media, should be the authoritative source of information on the internal affairs of authority.

I feel it's sad for the Chinese public who have to resort to shitholes like SCMP or even media of enemy for information regarding Qin and Li.
 

Petrolicious88

Senior Member
Registered Member
Tons of senior officials have affairs. That happens up and down the party rank. It’s not unique to Qin Gang. That’s not the problem.

But having a child by surrogacy involving an American citizen?! Qin Gang thought this can be kept hidden? He was under constant surveillance by the U.S. intelligence community the moment he started his job in America.
 

coolgod

Major
Registered Member
But I think it's a bad idea to use a media in HK or wherever out side of mainland as the conduit of leak. As I said in other posts, the authority must not give others the power of being the information source. The authority itself, or a state-run media, should be the authoritative source of information on the internal affairs of authority.

I feel it's sad for the Chinese public who have to resort to shitholes like SCMP or even media of enemy for information regarding Qin and Li.
I suspect there are Chinese internal political reasons why Chinese state media can't report on internal politics openly. You don't want the leaders of 中宣部 to be too powerful and you don't want a repeat of the Chinese media landscape during the cultural revolution.

The trusted media at HK or TW should be a good compromise for now. It is sad that China shutdown DWnews though, all we have is twitter and western leaks now.
 
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