If you look at the arc of Chinese succession, it was never simply ruling for ten years and letting go. Jiang was basically still in charge during much of Hu's reign. Xi was able to uproot a lot of his influence after one decade of rule. I expect Xi to stay for another five year term(a fourth term) after this and his successor will emerge from the group in the last five year term.
Chinese Internal Politics
- Thread starter FairAndUnbiased
- Start date
Nah. Singapore's main challenge is class contradiction. In addition to 高华, they also have "high Indians" and "high Malays", and of course plenty of "high foreigners", mostly westerners and Indians. Basically, petite bourgeoisie who enjoy a high standard of living provided they don't lose their well-paid jobs. They look down on everyone they consider lower in social hierarchy, and look up to (or at least grudgingly respect) anyone with wealth and power.
Anyways, off topic for this forum, so I'll stop here.
Sounds good in theory. In reality though, naming a successor immediately makes you a lame duck when you try to push reforms.
Push reforms -> internal resistance/bureaucratic resistance -> "Just wait him out" -> nothing gets done.
antiterror13
Brigadier
He (Soros) did and got lost very badly .. thats the main reason he hates China
This is not the era of map painting empires.
China already exerts de facto control over Russia. Russia provides the resources, labor and geopolitical moves when asked. There is no need to create another 100 million Chinese citizens to feed when the feeding is perfectly fine being outsourced to someone loyal. Same reason USA doesn't annex South Korea or Japan.
Whether Russia leaves the war triumphant or weakened, China can draw major benefits. A militarily slimmed down Russia would rely on China for its defense, which means instead of pissing away at pointless and corrupt prestige projects under a western style oligarchy, Russia's best and brightest will work under the Chinese military industrial complex, creating common solutions for 2 nations.
The most China could contemplate to move against Russia is possibly a soft regime change into the communist party. But generally China's policy is that they want to let countries develop socialism at their own pace.
I am one of those lurkers who try very hard to remain a lurker and never say anything.
But I am a Chinese from the country being talked about.
I'm not a 高华.
Actually I think most people here in my country (deep inside) know that China has vastly surpassed Singapore.
But in this case.
I want to say that :
This forum vastly vastly under appreciates the power of propaganda, culture and institutions like the newspapers and universities.
The original 1st generation who arrived from China 3 or 4 generations ago would have been very close to China. But in our current environment, the news directly copies reuters or news written by western main stream outlets. The university education system is modeled after and interacts with the western university systems. Inevitably, everyone's worldview is shaped by what they read and the reality that is created for them. Most people spend 90% of their time on work, family and a bit of entertainment. No one really has time to try to challenge their world view. They happily accept what the news, what the people who are important in culture etc, tell them.
If the news tells them Ukraine is winning, they happily believe it. If the news tells them that China is bad, they believe it.
That's I believe that Chinese people who go to places like Hongkong and Singapore and feel that the people have bad attitudes, do not have the complete picture. This is what the training of culture does.
The power of science, economy and money is not enough. Western news and culture sources needs to corrected and countered if China wants to be respected.
(How do I delete posts ? I'm want to delete this after a while)
Keep your post; it's a worthwhile read hearing an opinion directly from another Singaporean. It's good to have differing perspective, perceptions on countries like Singapore as well as other ASEAN countries whose fate will be forced upon them by the circumstances and realities of geopolitical tensions between the increasingly aggrieved U.S. and the more assertive, confident China.
OK, I posted it tongue in cheek. please delete.
If China seriously wanted Russian land, they'll be far better off just buying it off them. The ending of this war will leave Russia in a relatively insecure position, and so if a land buyback was to be secured then the PRC can probably get the best price to do it right at that point. It's a far better proposition than a land invasion anyways, since even assuming a PLA victory and successful annexation and assuming nukes don't get used, the PRC will be down a lot of money and lives and Russia will be down even more. Negotiating a sale would mean that Russia will get the money it'll probably need to boost its post-war economy and China can get that land risk-free. The money that's 'lost' would otherwise have been lost anyways, and this wouldn't risk causing antagonism between the two countries.
Beyond that though, the Russian land there has plenty of other potential use. If a negotiation is successful, it means China can put more PLARF sites and PLAAF airfields that could more comprehensively threaten any Japanese/Japan-based American airfields across the country. It also means that China can start putting submarines in the arctic. Whilst China's current generation of nuclear submarines are advancing, they still likely lag considerably behind American inventory and have to be launched from within the infamously submarine-hostile first island chain. Having arctic submarine bases ensures that China has a much more credible second-strike capability and also would disincentivize American politicians or military leaders from trying anything stupid if the war doesn't go their way.
Taiwan could potentially provide this as well, but who really knows when the PRC would be able to start building military bases there? Breaking out into the arctic provides the PRC plenty of geopolitical lattitude, not to mention the fact that it'll also mean that China would have broken far outside of the first island chain and further reduce Japanese and even American willingness to interfere in a potential armed reunification, since any attempts at military containment of China in the first island chain would have comprehensively failed by then.