Chinese Economics Thread

Overbom

Brigadier
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If they are serious about long term economic prosperity,they would not prop up real-estate again,which is what they are doing now. Real-estate is a poison that the local gov addicted to it. It is the prime source of so many economic and social problems in China.
Again. Real estate is being "propped up" not to grow it but to not let it decline too quickly that it could collapse the entire financial system.

I assume you had seen the news of mid-2 digits decrease the past year in real estate activity in many provinces. That's not good. Ideally, real estate should be reduced by about 5% annually. 5% decrease + inflation + people's income increasing every year, and in a decade at most (probably 5 years), your real estate sector would be cleaned up without seriously affecting the country.

All these new measures are about arresting the decline and to stabilise the sector
 
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Biscuits

Major
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China is easing the sanctions against Australia because it has a new government and China is trying to give some incentives for it to be less hostile. Sanctions on Australia are also a warning to other countries that are thinking of adopting anti-China policies.
If the Aussies tries to adopt new anti-China policies, I will not be surprise sanctions will come back.
Besides Australia going to ores for RMB is a major reason to not move against them.

They might be grumbling on the surface, but practically speaking, Australia offers a good deal for China.

Also another region where China is working now is automobile exports. While US and Chinese private actors have been locking horns in electronics with neither projected to have a clear market dominance anytime soon, cars is an area where China has been advancing completely unimpeded. China has a real chance here to break through the 2nd tier and join the biggest players in the auto world, Germany and Japan.

Repealing sanctions against Australia may ensure continued openness and fair standards in their auto export market.

The future of China's main exports will be the dual pillars of electric vehicles and electronics. That would keep Beijing relevant as the world's premier industrial power for the foreseeable future.
 

tphuang

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As I posted here, I did not realize that China was looking to start a Uranium trading hub in Xinjiang

This is described here and it makes a lot of sense
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Right now there are three markets for uranium trading in the world — one in France, one in the US and one in Canada. And all the uranium price indices are based on the deals done at these three converters. From the Chinese or Asian perspective, this is sort of unfair because we import a huge amount of material through physical delivery. But the price is determined by the smaller volumes traded in the West, which affects the big-volume physical deliveries in the Eastern world.

The global annual demand for uranium from nuclear utilities is around 60,000 tons to 65,000 tons. China consumes 12,000 tons. But we don't have too much influence on the price. That's not fair. In the future China is growing its nuclear power generation capacity, so our uranium demand is getting higher and our uranium demand as a proportion of global consumption is going to be higher too.
This seems obvious that has nuclear power and Uranium gain prominence, China will become the largest consumer of Uranium. From that, it will want to control its own trading and carry it out in RMB. Not so different from its goal of having more foreign players in SHPGX and Shanghai International energy exchange.
when we plan to launch a Chinese uranium price index, I suppose maybe sometime between 2025 to 2030. It will take time. This is not something you can achieve by rushing. We will do it slowly.

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The Alashankou Natural Uranium Bonded Warehouse on China's eastern border with Kazakhstan has received its first delivery of natural uranium for storage. The warehouse, which is being constructed in three phases, aspires to become a major uranium trading hub in the coming years. Phase I, capable of holding up to 3,000 tU (7.8 million pounds U3O8) has been successfully completed at the end of 2021, and construction of Phase II with an additional capacity of 10,000 tU (26 million pounds U3O8) is currently underway.
13000 ton is more than 25% of 2021 total production. And if this reaches 23000 ton, it would be most of Kazakhstan's production and be something China can re-export. It would be more than Kazakhstan's production in 2021 & close to 50% of total production that year.
Right now we don't want to be too aggressive. If we build the total of 23,000 tons capacity in one go and then find that there's not too much uranium volume [coming in], that would be messy. So that's the reason for doing it phase by phase.
That's a huge facility capable of handling a lot of trading and be the largest uranium market in the world.
Keep in mind CNNC already controls production & import from the 3rd largest Uranium producer in the world, Namibia.
Basically China now imports uranium from Kazakhstan, from Uzbekistan and from Namibia. And from Namibia it is our own production.
So, this I think is a major opportunity to CNNC and China's nuclear industry and financial industry as a whole. Especially for a resource that will increasingly be important in the path to decarbonize.
 

sunnymaxi

Major
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Foreign direct investment (
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) into the Chinese mainland, in actual use, expanded 14.5% YOY to 127.69 billion yuan ($18.63 billion) in January, the Ministry of Commerce said Monday..

Image


Big start.
 

abenomics12345

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Foreign direct investment (
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) into the Chinese mainland, in actual use, expanded 14.5% YOY to 127.69 billion yuan ($18.63 billion) in January, the Ministry of Commerce said Monday..
Majority of which is from HK - which is actually domestic Chinese companies raising capital in HK and reinvesting back into the Mainland to take advantage of favourable tax policies for foreign capital (so called 超国民待遇).

The good news is that China is no longer really reliant on true foreign FDI as a source of capital. The not so great but not so bad news is that foreign investment in China is no longer that big.
 
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