Chinese Economics Thread

Lethe

Captain
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Not sure what your point in posting this article is. Nobody denies that Beijing's economic sanctions on Australia hurt various export interests, the point is that inflicting this pain did not induce any change in Canberra's behaviour, and indeed only accelerated the propagation of anti-China attitudes and the implementation of anti-China policies. Beijing is now willing to try another approach because it recognises that punishing Australia for its various sins, such as banning Huawei telecommunications equipment, has failed to deliver any benefits.
 
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Michaelsinodef

Senior Member
Registered Member
Not sure what your point in posting this article is. Nobody denies that Beijing's economic sanctions on Australia hurt various export interests, the point is that inflicting this pain did not induce any change in Canberra's behaviour, and indeed only accelerated the propagation of anti-China attitudes and the implementation of anti-China policies. Beijing is now willing to try another approach because it recognises that punishing Australia for its various sins, such as banning Huawei telecommunications equipment, has failed to deliver any benefits.
We don't know if the goal of Beijing were to try and make Canberra less 'anti-China' though.

Could be, and if so, like you said, it has failed.

More likely, there were many goals and considerations, and that of making Canberra less 'anti-China' could likely be one, possibly main or among the top goals.

But there were also other goals, possible something like more diversification away from Australia, which can be said to have achieved 'mixed' results (read many news about China gonna import more coal/iron from other sources, iron imports aren't that likely to grow that much, so likely means less imports from say Aus).
 

Lethe

Captain
We don't know if the goal of Beijing were to try and make Canberra less 'anti-China' though.

Could be, and if so, like you said, it has failed.

I'm wary of taking this discussion too far off the "Chinese Economics" track. I will just say that Beijing does not benefit from Australia's increasingly hostile posture towards China. I believe that Canberra bears the greater responsibility for how relations have deteriorated over the past five years or so, but that is immaterial to evaluating the efficacy of China's response.

But there were also other goals, possible something like more diversification away from Australia, which can be said to have achieved 'mixed' results (read many news about China gonna import more coal/iron from other sources, iron imports aren't that likely to grow that much, so likely means less imports from say Aus).

Sure, China is very sensibly trying to develop alternative sources of iron ore to reduce its reliance upon Australia. But the short-term takeaway from these efforts seems to be that this is something easier said than done. In the longer-term exports of iron ore to China may decline, but I've heard nothing to suggest that anyone here is very concerned about the prospect. Beyond iron ore and other minerals I don't see any diversification strategy at work with these sanctions. Diversification from Australian wine? Seafood? Wool? No, this stuff was just designed to inflict "costs" on Australian exporters, whether simply as punishment or in the hope that those business interests would make representations to Canberra to make amends with Beijing. If it was punishment, then we've learnt that we can endure it, and if it was intended to produce policy change then it failed.
 
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BlackWindMnt

Captain
Registered Member
SCMP hot takes:

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a putrid smell and thorny rind... represents the identity of Southeast Asia

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Actual results:
Do rmb money bills taste bitter, asking for a friend?
 

escobar

Brigadier
Not sure what your point in posting this article is. Nobody denies that Beijing's economic sanctions on Australia hurt various export interests, the point is that inflicting this pain did not induce any change in Canberra's behaviour, and indeed only accelerated the propagation of anti-China attitudes and the implementation of anti-China policies. Beijing is now willing to try another approach because it recognises that punishing Australia for its various sins, such as banning Huawei telecommunications equipment, has failed to deliver any benefits.
And this was entirely predictable like I said years ago
 

AF-1

Junior Member
Registered Member
Chinese New Year, Spring festival, Lantern festival... In such form as it is today, it is a disaster for economy, 2 months of heavy disruptions and discontinuity of manufacturing, R&D... Even any space launch didn`t happen for more than a month long...
I understand it is a tradition, but tradition in form as it was centuries ago, can not apply in today`s economic environment, where every day of any disruptions has catastrophic consequences...
 

Petrolicious88

Senior Member
Registered Member
China has U-turned on almost all of its major policies from the last 3 years. Zero Covid gone. Tech crackdown gone. Now it’s easing tension with Australia. A year ago everyone here was cheering the banning of private tutoring.. now tutoring companies are welcomed back to resume their work. Is the government still talking about “common prosperity and wealth distribution”.
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
China is easing the sanctions against Australia because it has a new government and China is trying to give some incentives for it to be less hostile. Sanctions on Australia are also a warning to other countries that are thinking of adopting anti-China policies.
If the Aussies tries to adopt new anti-China policies, I will not be surprise sanctions will come back.
 
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