Chinese Economics Thread

HereToSeePics

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The printing press may result in in dollar losing value in the future, but it hasn't for now. People all over the world still love dollars even though they print like hell, I don't understand it, but that's how it is.

Yuan weakened from 6.3 at the beginning of the year to 6.73 now. Euro also prints and its now with parity because of zombie economy, another example is Polish funny token złoty which weakened from around 4.2 for 1 USD to 4.8, stagflation ahead of Poland.

The reason why the dollar is gaining value right now is the FED printing press is slowing down. Though it sounds nice to say "printing press", the mechanics of all fiat currencies(yuan included) are technically printing presses - how fast it prints depends on how low interests are. Every time someone borrows a dollar or a yuan from the bank, that note is more or less "printed" on the spot. When the central bank makes it more expensive to borrow, people borrow less(because they can afford less with higher interest payments), and the printing press slows down. Higher interest rates also encourages people to deposit money into the bank(or keep money in the bank), which acts like a shredder for currencies, since that value is taken out of circulation.


Good opportunity to pay down Chinese government yuan denominated debt while the USD is still strong and surpluses high…not sure how much longer it will stay like that with the direction the US is going.

Yes, I think the strength of the dollar won't last long. There's several fundamentals that are moving against the continued strength of the dollar, one being that with higher rates, the massive US debt pile will get harder and harder to finance and ultimately cause severely crippled government spending and other unpleasant growth effects. The strong dollar will also hamper exports on manufactured and commodity goods. The FED is gambling on energy prices/supply chain/labor market issues being resolved rapidly so they can stabilize(minimize the rate hikes) before the economy takes a major it.

Dollar is losing value. 9.1% inflation rate is borderline of hyperinflation. As for why dollar is still rising in value against other major currencies, EU just committed side sabotage and destruction and Japan is a lost cause. China isn't ready to challenge dollar dominant directly but it won't accumulate huge and growing dollar reserve forever.

Keep in mind that geographical context must be taken in mind with inflation numbers. The 9.1% CPI reported earlier is specifically for the average US resident, living in the US and spending US dollars - for them their buying power did decrease by 9.1%(with nearly half driven by food and energy price increases). But as someone who is living abroad but has US dollars, or an entity that has significant USD denominated assets - say in China, Japan or Saudi Arabia - with their local inflation hovering between 1-2%, they are pretty happy with the strength of their dollars right now as it gained purchasing power.
 

ThatNiceType055

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Nike, Adidas are losing out in China Foreign brands have recently been feeling a bit anxious in China. Adidas and Nike reported disappointing sales in greater China. The revenue of Adidas in China in the first quarter of 2022 decreased by 28.4 percent compared with the same period last year, hitting a "new high" for the brand. Nike also reported a negative revenue growth in greater China in its first quarter. Just at the beginning of last year, the "shoe speculation" was popular among young people. A pair of Nike shoes were sold for tens of thousands of yuan, but this year, the "shoe speculation situation" is different. Chinese consumers seem to be no longer fascinated with foreign brands and are starting to focus on Chinese brands such as China-Chic. Why do you think these brands are losing their market share in China? Can Chinese brands overcome these international brands in the next few years? CGTN’vox pop program"C the difference"will release an episode to ask Generation Z about what they think of this situation. Please stay tuned.


CCTV documentary on summer fashion in China in 2022, especially on China wave of fashion.

Got My New Anta asphalt roadhog(bóyóu lùbà) running shoe, feels great.​

IMG_20220713_164746.jpg
 

Franklin

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Nike, Adidas are losing out in China Foreign brands have recently been feeling a bit anxious in China. Adidas and Nike reported disappointing sales in greater China. The revenue of Adidas in China in the first quarter of 2022 decreased by 28.4 percent compared with the same period last year, hitting a "new high" for the brand. Nike also reported a negative revenue growth in greater China in its first quarter. Just at the beginning of last year, the "shoe speculation" was popular among young people. A pair of Nike shoes were sold for tens of thousands of yuan, but this year, the "shoe speculation situation" is different. Chinese consumers seem to be no longer fascinated with foreign brands and are starting to focus on Chinese brands such as China-Chic. Why do you think these brands are losing their market share in China? Can Chinese brands overcome these international brands in the next few years? CGTN’vox pop program"C the difference"will release an episode to ask Generation Z about what they think of this situation. Please stay tuned.


CCTV documentary on summer fashion in China in 2022, especially on China wave of fashion.
People have finally wised up. If you have two pare of shoes sometimes made in the same factory with only brand name different means that it can cost 5 times more. Why pay the extra money just for the brand name.
 

MortyandRick

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There are several reasons for this:
1、The Chinese will not tolerate these foreign brands using trumped-up charges to "judge" the Chinese.
2、The quality of these goods produced in Southeast Asia and South Asia has declined seriously, even worse than the counterfeit brands in China.
3、"Consumption degradation", because of economic factors, people are unwilling to buy those things that are too expensive.

、"Consumption degradation", because of economic factors, people are unwilling to buy those things that are too expensive.

Curious, How bad is the consumption degradation in China? Is it due to economic downturn?
 

supercat

Major
China is well prepared for the coming global (EU + the U.S.) recession.

China Readies $1.1 Trillion to Support Xi’s Infrastructure Push​

China is making 7.2 trillion yuan ($1.1 trillion) in funds available for infrastructure spending, a decisive shift away from a focus on controlling debt toward supporting a lockdown-ravaged economy.
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