Chinese Economics Thread

KYli

Brigadier
Dollar is losing value. 9.1% inflation rate is borderline of hyperinflation. As for why dollar is still rising in value against other major currencies, EU just committed side sabotage and destruction and Japan is a lost cause. China isn't ready to challenge dollar dominant directly but it won't accumulate huge and growing dollar reserve forever.
 

BlackWindMnt

Captain
Registered Member
The printing press may result in in dollar losing value in the future, but it hasn't for now. People all over the world still love dollars even though they print like hell, I don't understand it, but that's how it is.

Yuan weakened from 6.3 at the beginning of the year to 6.73 now. Euro also prints and its now with parity because of zombie economy, another example is Polish funny token złoty which weakened from around 4.2 for 1 USD to 4.8, stagflation ahead of Poland.
Well there's a lot of dollar denominated debt in the world, so people need dollars everywhere to pay of those debts.
 

mossen

Junior Member
Registered Member
China could easily massively increase the internationalisation of the Yuan if it wanted to, but it doesn't. China has a fairly closed capital account and you need it to be fully open to be a dominant reserve currency. The reasons for the CCP to have a restricted capital account is logical: it reduces the sway that foreign capital has over you and it allows you to control the value of your currency more easily (very useful if you need to suddenly devalue the Yuan as a pressure tactic in a trade war, for instance).

So until the CCP changes its mind, the Yuan will continue to be used way below its potential. But let's be clear that this is an active choice and not a passive circumstance.
 

NiuBiDaRen

Brigadier
Registered Member
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Chinese experts refute Western media hype over Henan banks, saying such cases are isolated

By GT staff reporters Published: Jul 12, 2022 11:21 PM


Agricultural technicians carry out the yield measurement of wheat at Xialou Village of Yaodian Township in Dengzhou, central China's Henan Province, on May 24, 2022.(Photo: Xinhua)'s Henan Province, on May 24, 2022.(Photo: Xinhua)

Agricultural technicians carry out the yield measurement of wheat at Xialou Village of Yaodian Township in Dengzhou, central China's Henan Province, on May 24, 2022.(Photo: Xinhua)


Chinese experts on Tuesday refuted recent Western media hype over problems with four rural banks in Central China's Henan Province that have sparked widespread attention as well as swift regulatory actions, noting that the cases are "isolated" and do not represent any nationwide systemic risk and China has the capability to prevent major financial risks after years of efforts to set up a multiple-layered financial risk aversion mechanism.

In the latest development regarding troubles at the four rural banks in Henan, the local banking and insurance industry regulator and the province's financial affairs supervision bureau said on Monday that they will advance deposits for certain depositors who have problems withdrawing money from the banks. Authorities in East China's Anhui Province also announced plans to make reimbursements to depositors on Tuesday.

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The latest official moves came as investigations into the cases are still underway and authorities have previously said that a local business group, Henan New Wealth Group, was found to have illegally manipulated the online systems of the banks, with some suspects having already been arrested.

However, despite swift actions from local authorities to resolve the cases, many Western media outlets have seized the news to claim that such incidents could spread across China, especially amid downward economic pressure. A CNN report, for example, cited an expert as saying that such incidents could become more frequent and occur on a larger scale with an economic slowdown and other problems.

Chinese financial industry analysts dismissed such claims as cliché attempts by Western media outlets to smear the Chinese economy, especially when many Western countries are facing economic crises.

"It has been a consistent goal of some Western countries to crack down on China's economy, though the crackdown measures are in different forms at different times," Dong Shaopeng, an expert advisor at the China Securities Regulatory Commission, told the Global Times on Tuesday, noting slandering the Chinese economy is also a form of crackdown.

Dong said that when those countries' economies are not doing well, the crackdown measures are not as harsh as before, but they will still take every opportunity to carry out the strategy of suppressing China, using channels like public opinion or long-arm jurisdiction.

As to the case in Henan, experts said that the latest moves by local authorities are conducive to resolve the cases effectively and ensuring social stability.

According to the announcement on Monday, Henan authorities will give principal disbursements in batches to off-balance-sheet business customers at the four local village banks. Money will first be paid to customers whose deposits do not exceed 50,000 yuan ($7,435), while further verification procedures will continue. The case is reported to involve about 40 billion yuan of deposits from nearly 400,000 people.

Weng Guanxing, a lawyer from Shanghai-based law firm Wintell & Co, told the Global Times on Tuesday that the source of such prior disbursements could probably be constituted of illicit money collected from the detained suspects, cash funded by the rest of the shareholders and funds for social stability raised by local governments.

Henan's police said on Sunday that a criminal group had taken control of the four village banks through Henan New Fortune Group, which is a shareholder of the village banks, and violated regulations by illegally transferring capital, changing data and other misdeeds.

An expert told the Global Times on Tuesday that the Henan case involves intentional crimes instead of normal operating risks, and is a very rare case among rural banks.

Dong Dengxin, director of the Finance and Securities Institute of the Wuhan University of Science and Technology, told the Global Times that small banks have more risks compared with larger ones, such as difficulty in establishing a good risk-control system with limited employees as well as larger bad loan risks as they have to deal with smaller borrowers who are more likely to default on loans. However, the percentage of small banks defaulting is still very limited in China, he stressed.

Official data from the first quarter of this year also showed that China's banking and insurance sectors are capable of handling risks, according to the Xinhua News Agency. The overall non-performing loan ratio of China's banks stood at 1.79 percent, slightly down from the beginning of this year, the report added.

"Risks and lurking violations still exist… but China has already built a mechanism to defuse potential financial [risks], such as setting up financial stability funds at different layers; therefore, large-scale systemic risks are almost impossible," Dong Shaopeng said.

A random guy in China beats his wife

Western experts: oh look! Chinese people are all wife beaters!

*goes to the top page of New York Times and Washington Post* *democracy dies in darkness*
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
China is redirecting trade from US to Asean and BRIC and away from US
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China's trade with the four other BRICS countries - Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa - recorded rapid growth in the first half of 2022, with an annual rise of 14.1 percent, which was 4.7 percentage points higher than the overall growth rate of China's trade in the same period, customs data showed on Wednesday.

In the first half of this year, China's trade with other BRICS countries accounted for 8.3 percent of China's total trade, up 0.2 percentage points from 2021 and 1.9 percentage points from 2009 when the first summit of the bloc was held, according to statistics released by the General Administration of Customs (GAC).

Total trade between China and other BRICS countries stood at 1.64 trillion yuan ($244 billion), up 14.1 percent year-on-year. China's exports amounted to 817.18 billion yuan, up 20.6 percent, while imports totaled 825.82 billion yuan, up 8.3 percent.

Of all imports from other BRICS nations, crude oil, natural gas, coal and other energy products accounted for 36.2 percent, totaling 298.98 billion yuan, up 53.3 percent year-on-year. Imports of agricultural products accounted for 22.5 percent, having increased by 15.6 percent annually to 185.46 billion yuan.

China-Russia trade saw an annual increase of 27.2 percent in US dollar terms and China's imports from Russia increased by 48.2 percent. Trade between China and Russia amounted to $80.675 billion, GAC data showed.

China's trade with countries and regions along the BRI route also increased by 17.8 percent, while that with partners under the RCEP rose by 5.6 percent.

The GAC has signed protocols on quarantine requirements for corn from Myanmar, soybeans from Malawi, and corn and peanuts from Brazil. It will promote the import of high-quality agricultural products from RCEP members, a spokesperson of the GAC said on Wednesday.
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