China's Space Program Thread II

totenchan

New Member
Registered Member
This discussion is a bit heated for my taste but I will just say that if you are looking at SpaceX and what they are doing with Falcon 9 and especially Starship, and comparing that to the timelines for Chinese equivalents for super-heavy launch vehicles, you would be delusional not to be at least somewhat concerned. I think that the fact that the Chinese space program has an excellent record is something to be proud of, but I worry that this has their dampened appetite for risk. At the same time, calling Chinese space programs decades behind, while ignoring projects like Tiangong and Beidou, which are objectively more advanced than foreign equivalents, is very disingenuous.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
If you look at the history of rocket development, there was a period of around 20 years from the early 1990s to the mid 2010s where rocket development stalled out and hit a brick wall, because the two leading space superpowers at that time America and the Soviet union/Russia were basically constantly shooting themselves in the foot.

America had issues with the space shuttle- the Columbia/challenger disasters, leadership issues at NASA due to said disasters, the fall of the soviet union meant that there was no one to challenge in a dick measuring contest anymore, which resulted in a constantly shrinking budget and no clear long term plan which resulted in various cancelled rockets and the over budget jobs program that was the SLS. Meanwhile the soviet union fucking collapsed... And Russia has been on a downward spiral ever since. Not to mention that the soviet union collapsing meant that China snatched up a bunch of ex-soviet rocket engineers and rocket technology transfers.

This was a once in a century opportunity where the two global leaders in a such a crucial technology basically stopped development for 20 years and nobody else really stepped in to fill the vacuum until SpaceX. And China completely wasted it. If China was smart, they could have used this 20 years to modernize and catch up to the cutting edge, start taking over the global launch market, establish themselves as the leaders in space. Instead of using this once in a lifetime opportunity to catch up fast, China instead stuck her head in the sand and started huffing hydrazine fumes while jerking off with the same 20 year rocket designs until SpaceX smashed past the brick wall and got the field moving again.

China has fallen wayyyy behind and it's embrassing itself by smashing hypergolic rockets onto villages, but it's really all it's own fault. Can you imagine any other important techologny field being stagnant for 20 years, say in semiconductors or A.I or biology and China just gave up on trying to catch up to the cutting edge? Now that rockets is in an active state of development again and a moving target, I wonder how much further China will fall behind. They couldn't catch up in a field that stagnated for decades, there's no way that the country can move at the pace that SpaceX is moving at.

I don't like the saying that "China cannot innovate and can only steal/copy" but it's basically true here. Imagine getting 20 years to catch up, doing nothing noteworthy in that 20 years and suddenly going lightspeed copying everything that SpaceX does once China realizes how important reusable rockets is.

Okay this is getting ridiculous.

We've had this conversation before.
Everyone's asked you nicely multiple times.

Have a break for a month.
 

gelgoog

Brigadier
Registered Member
it was Germans, who pioneered the rocket technology. both USSR/US greatly benefited from Nazi engineers in this field.
The pioneer part is not exactly true. There were groups in the US, USSR, and Germany working on liquid rockets pre-war.
In the 1920s you had Goddard in the US. He was underfunded and considered a kook back then. He still built the first liquid rocket which flew up 100m. In in the 1920s in Germany you had Hermann Oberth's group. Which is where Werner von Braun came from. In the 1930s you had GIRD in the USSR. Which is where Glushko and Korolev come from.

But you are correct in that the US and USSR both benefited from the help of Nazi engineers. In the US like I said Goddard was poorly funded. He also insisted on using gasoline as a fuel and because of that his rockets kept blowing up. In the USSR GIRD focused on making rocket planes. During Stalin's purges immediately pre-war the GIRD was purged as it was seen as a waste of state resources on something that wouldn't be useful. It was basically only in Germany that consistent state funding was made available when Hitler got into power and he was demonstrated a rocket engine in action. That is also one reason why people like Werner von Braun rose and Hermann Oberth fell by the wayside. Because Oberth he was from Austro-Hungary where today is Romania the Nazis pushed him out of the program.

When WW2 was over the US and the USSR were probably like a decade behind the Germans in liquid rocket design. The first thing they did was replicate the V-2 rocket to assimilate its technology. And then more complex rockets were developed using the technology.
 

by78

General
Chang'e-6 mission collected 1935.3 grams of lunar soil samples, which have been handed over the lunar sample laboratory at an official ceremony.

53821100400_51646bf4c6_o.jpg
53821100430_38877171a4_h.jpg
 

by78

General
An interesting academic paper on setting up a lunar base inside
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
, and using karst caves in Chongqing to study the feasibility of this idea. The full paper (in English) is linked below.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!



52550059188_9ceebdc3d6_h.jpg

An
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
that explores possible methods used for mapping a lunar lava
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
. It's proposed that three rovers carry out the mission. A mother rover carrying two small rovers approaches the lava tube and maps its entrance. The mother rover then releases the two small rovers to explore the interior of the tube. One of the small rovers is tethered to the mother rover by a wire, which provides the small rover with both power and communications. The other small rover is a hopper+crawler combo that lands on the bottom of the lava tube and then proceeds to map the interior using lidar.


53819741132_7051d8bf49_o.jpg
53819741122_e4a8ce835b_o.jpg
53820996379_7e97b4f588_o.jpg
 

by78

General
China has officially opened Chang'e-8 lunar exploration mission to international cooperation. Countries and international organizations are invited to submit (experimental) proposals, with submission deadline being December 31, 2023. Final approvals are due September, 2024.

53232223320_03b71f48ec_b.jpg

53232103084_961fc3df25_b.jpg
53232103119_34c22d787a_b.jpg

China has received
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
from prospective international partners to participate in the upcomng Chang'e-8 mission.

53820996394_e9685f2ae4_o.jpg
 
Top