China's SCS Strategy Thread

[PhSt]

What caught my attention was the sudden frenzy against Chinese students in the country. In my view, such an alarmist attitude is unprecedented, and could potentially morph into a situation similar to the anti-Chinese riots in Indonesia in 98.

There is no doubt that the current president, Marcos Jr. is compromised, so we can't expect any action from the current leadership of the PH to deescalate.

When the Philippine government recently talked about switching to a strategy of "Transparency" when it comes to managing its relations with China, what the Filipinos probably meant was to streamline provocative propaganda in an attempt to smear China in the face of the world.

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[Bellum_Romanum]

What caught my attention was the sudden frenzy against Chinese students in the country. In my view, such an alarmist attitude is unprecedented, and could potentially morph into a situation similar to the anti-Chinese riots in Indonesia in 98.

There is no doubt that the current president, Marcos Jr. is compromised, so we can't expect any action from the current leadership of the PH to deescalate.

When the Philippine government recently talked about switching to a strategy of "Transparency" when it comes to managing its relations with China, what the Filipinos probably meant was to streamline provocative propaganda in an attempt to smear China in the face of the world.

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The Philippine government is so determined to become the next Ukraine aided and egged by eggheads and chicken-hawks like that Persian professor who's been quite ubiquitous and prolific with his anti-China created narrative which are not at all different from the American made propaganda.

If there's any conflict (I HOPE TO GOODNESS NOT) between China and the PH China must target compromised provocateurs like Richard Heydarian and his ilk along with any and all Filipino politicians to make an example out of them and spare the majority of Filipinos who are simply used as a tool for the elites as body bags for their desired conflict.

 

[henrik]

I think China will respond by starting island building once again. They will start to put heavy military equipment in the exisiting islands they have already built. They also might start looking into building up scarborough shoal, because that will be the biggest slap in the face of both Philippines and US. Having a Chinese airbase 200 miles from Manila is going to cause huge implications for Philippines.

All the ramming and water cannoning will ofcourse continue as needed. China might also think about surrounding PH controlled islands as well with Coast Guard, prevent supplies from going to these places as well. Thitu island comes to mind here.

The overall goal will be to put enormous pressure on the Philippines so that Philippines keeps begging US for support but does not get anything. US will likely provide more arms, more exercises, more bases. But it will not be fighting a water canon match with China. So, philippines will eventually lose hope and start to realize their current anti-China strategy is wrong. But this will take time. Of course change will happen once Marcos is out of power and most likely a pro-China president comes to power. But its still several years away.

It would be very easy for China to expand these islands. They can add a couple of sq km in lands per year, and then build them up into military bases for missile launch. These islands can be very productive in deterring foreign navies nearby.

 

[Bellum_Romanum]

The Philippine government is so determined to become the next Ukraine aided and egged by eggheads and chicken-hawks like that Persian professor who's been quite ubiquitous and prolific with his anti-China created narrative which are not at all different from the American made propaganda.

If there's any conflict (I HOPE TO GOODNESS NOT) between China and the PH China must target compromised provocateurs like Richard Heydarian and his ilk along with any and all Filipino politicians to make an example out of them and spare the majority of Filipinos who are simply used as a tool for the elites as body bags for their desired conflict.

Look AT THIS BLATANT AMERICAN PROPAGANDA. TIME magazine is now trying to place the cart before the horse by elevating Marcos Jr. as some sort of political reformists: Praising his handling of post-pandemic ECON (by raising the costs of the most basic items in the country); elevated the PH in the world stage (by openly provoking a military spat with China thereby firmly inviting America to love them in the front, back, and elsewhere).

The American arrogance knows no bounds and by continuing their legacy of essentially patting the gullible and the compromised like Marcos Jr. his fellows along with the easily swayed people in that country through the use of flattery and PROPPING them up via their PRAVDA publications disguised as journalism.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1780908617002316035

 

[Chevalier]

The thing is in an event of war, the US is going to use its grey warfare tactics like it's currently doing in Ukraine and Syria without actually going to outright war ie sarudaukar in harkonnen livery to attack PLAN and PLA assets and Chinese shipping. The goal of the US is to destroy Asia so as to maintain its hegemony; if the US didn't care about blonde haired, blue eyed ukrainians why would they care about filipinos and japanese?

The PI is too small fry for the PLA to worry about; the Chineee Coast Guard is more than capable of handling anything by these wannabe americans. No, this so called war that the Americans are pushing for will come at a time and place of China's choosing and it will not be localised in Asia.

 

[tacoburger]

I think that with everything that's going on with the world right now, Iran/Israel-Russia/Ukraine, it's the perfect time for escalations with Philippines. Use the ongoing events as a cover and make it clear that America isn't going to want another billion dollar money sink going on.

Not to the point of actual conflict, but a clear escalation with actual warships, live fire drills etc etc will send a clear message, with all of the chaos going on in the world and with the world much closer to WW3 then it has been in decades, do you really want another conflict zone flaring up and do you really think America can afford to pump how many tens of billions into you while they're busy with Ukraine and Israel? Americans are already bored with Ukraine after 2 years and can't even be bothered to properly fund the conflict even with no risks to their own troops. What makes you think that America will actually send their warships to fight a actual superpower with nukes?

 

[henrik]

The thing is in an event of war, the US is going to use its grey warfare tactics like it's currently doing in Ukraine and Syria without actually going to outright war ie sarudaukar in harkonnen livery to attack PLAN and PLA assets and Chinese shipping. The goal of the US is to destroy Asia so as to maintain its hegemony; if the US didn't care about blonde haired, blue eyed ukrainians why would they care about filipinos and japanese?

The PI is too small fry for the PLA to worry about; the Chineee Coast Guard is more than capable of handling anything by these wannabe americans. No, this so called war that the Americans are pushing for will come at a time and place of China's choosing and it will not be localised in Asia.

Maybe these US missiles deployment are for the situation in Taiwan, not for these SCS islands.

 

[CMP]

I think that with everything that's going on with the world right now, Iran/Israel-Russia/Ukraine, it's the perfect time for escalations with Philippines. Use the ongoing events as a cover and make it clear that America isn't going to want another billion dollar money sink going on.

Not to the point of actual conflict, but a clear escalation with actual warships, live fire drills etc etc will send a clear message, with all of the chaos going on in the world and with the world much closer to WW3 then it has been in decades, do you really want another conflict zone flaring up and do you really think America can afford to pump how many tens of billions into you while they're busy with Ukraine and Israel? Americans are already bored with Ukraine after 2 years and can't even be bothered to properly fund the conflict even with no risks to their own troops. What makes you think that America will actually send their warships to fight a actual superpower with nukes?

By and large, Filipinos in general neither rank China as a superpower nor a nuclear power. That's not saying much given their general lack of intellect. They think that Japan alone would crush China with one hand tied behind their back. As I said, the perfect NPCs for the West to use as cannon fodder. Ready to die by the millions.

 

[Overbom]

By and large, Filipinos in general neither rank China as a superpower nor a nuclear power. That's not saying much given their general lack of intellect. They think that Japan alone would crush China with one hand tied behind their back. As I said, the perfect NPCs for the West to use as cannon fodder. Ready to die by the millions.

That's why once in a while you need to "kill the chicken to scare the monkey"

 

[CMP]

That's why once in a while you need to "kill the chicken to scare the monkey"

It has been an extremely long time since China has killed any chickens.