China's SCS Strategy Thread

GulfLander

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"Bloomberg: The Philippines said it filed a diplomatic protest against China’s “continued illegal presence and activities” within Manila’s “exclusive economic zone” in the South China Sea. That came after the Philippines said a large Coast Guard vessel, the CCG 5901, returned to the area. Would the ministry like to comment on that?

Guo Jiakun: China’s sovereignty and rights in the South China Sea were established in the long course of history. They are solidly grounded in history and the law, and are consistent with international law and practices. China Coast Guard’s patrols and law enforcement activities in relevant waters are lawful, justified and beyond reproach. China calls on the Philippines to stop the malicious accusations."
 

GulfLander

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"EXECUTIVE Order (EO) 81, signed by President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. on Dec. 30, 2024, introduces a significant reorganization of the National Security Council (NSC). The directive notably excludes Vice President Sara Duterte and the country's surviving former presidents — Joseph Estrada, Gloria Macapagal Arroyo and Rodrigo Duterte — from the council's membership, signaling a departure from previous inclusivity practices."
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ansy1968

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Why is the SCS issue activated again in the PH?
Because of this

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4 days ago — ... Monday to oversee a planned 'million-strong' rally by Iglesia ni Cristo (INC) opposing calls to unseat Vice President Sara Duterte, officials

And this

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3 days ago — Negros Occidental Gov. Eugenio Jose Lacson has ordered the suspension of work at all Capitol-based provincial government offices in Bacolod ...

And this

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1 day ago — In Pagadian City, a large crowd of INC members gathered at the city port, Pajares Avenue, as early as 6:30 a.m. for the nationwide rally.

Will Marcos finished his term by 2028? or will he follow the SK example and declare martial law? It all depend on Trump, I have a hunch he will not intervene as a show of solidarity for his buddy PRRD.
 
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ansy1968

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PH has issued its Red Line to China. The Red Line includes any reclamation activities in the Scarborough shoal.


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The Chinese will not do reclamation project on Scarborough shoal for 2 reason, it will overextend the Chinese with NO STRATEGIC VALUE and 2nd COST. Building an island base within the reach of Typhoon and Brahmos missile (198 km) is an oxymoron strategy, it will be a sitting duck and a target practice for the Fil American forces.
 
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GulfLander

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The Chinese will not do reclamation project on Scarborough shoal for 2 reason, it will overextend the Chinese with NO STRATEGIC VALUE and 2nd COST. Building an island base within the reach of Typhoon and Brahmos missile (198 km) is an oxymoron strategy, it will be a sitting duck and a target practice for the Fil American forces.
I think its still possible for CN to build it, just incase, for bigger radar scope etc..
 
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