China's SCS Strategy Thread

GulfLander

Junior Member
Registered Member
Remember that in a worse case scenario, the US will be trying to shut down trade in the SCS, whilst China will be trying to keep those sea lanes open.

Vietnam is a coastal nation that depends on the sea lanes in the SCS, and Vietnam will almost certainly be neutral in a US-China conflict.

So if anything, those Vietnamese SCS bases will be tacitly supporting China in keeping the SCS sea lanes open.
Does CN still want to add more artificial islands? Or do they think already hav enough for radars/deep sea port for subs purposes? And jist deterring others from building bases that US could use? Example from PH?
 

Miyayaya

Junior Member
Registered Member
Does CN still want to add more artificial islands? Or do they think already hav enough for radars/deep sea port for subs purposes? And jist deterring others from building bases that US could use? Example from PH?

In the long term, it's hard to imagine China has enough islands in the SCS. Scarborough Shoal seems like such a missing piece.

And keep in mind that building islands doesn't just serve a military purpose; they can be used economically too.

I think a good question is whether the next stage of SCS resolution should happen before the Taiwan contingency, or after. My own view is that it should happen after.
 

Index

Senior Member
Registered Member
If they block Malacca, will Iran, Saudi, Pak get involve?
If US attacks at Malacca and other nations don't assist China in defending international waterways, it's equal to siding with the aggressor and opens up those countries as legitimate targets of war.

So whoever thinks they can betray China over Malacca better hope they have plenty of missile defense, ships and planes. Which afaik today, is none of the ASEAN countries.
 

Index

Senior Member
Registered Member
If the US blocks the Malacca Straits - then no one in the region will be happy with the US.

I reckon most countries will privately seethe at this US action, but they won't do anything officially against the US.
Those countries will not be allowed to profiteer off temporary Chinese losses and to support US aggression through inaction.

China knows that they're militarily powerless to help China defend waterways, so they won't make an unrealistic demand for them to use force. But ASEAN must help punish US aggression with economic means and send whatever support gestures they can, within reason.

If US is invading Taiwan and blocking China's trade, while a neighboring country is doing nothing and still trading with US, this is the same as endorsing America's unprecedented attack. The public sentiment in China will not let such traitor nations, members of a coalition of aggression, go unpunished.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
Those countries will not be allowed to profiteer off temporary Chinese losses and to support US aggression through inaction.

China knows that they're militarily powerless to help China defend waterways, so they won't make an unrealistic demand for them to use force. But ASEAN must help punish US aggression with economic means and send whatever support gestures they can, within reason.

If US is invading Taiwan and blocking China's trade, while a neighboring country is doing nothing and still trading with US, this is the same as endorsing America's unprecedented attack. The public sentiment in China will not let such traitor nations, members of a coalition of aggression, go unpunished.

Remember that China and ASEAN are increasingly looking like a single economic bloc.
So ASEAN will serve as a transhipment point for Chinese imports and exports, which suits China fine.

Remember that if there is trade disruption, it is China which has the production capacity, which the US (and the rest of the world) wants.

Prices for Chinese exports will skyrocket because of the shortages, which mostly benefits Chinese producers.
We've seen this story happen in recent years many times.

At a minimum, I expect ASEAN countries (excepting Philippines) to deny any resupply to US military forces.
 

BlackWindMnt

Captain
Registered Member
Remember that China and ASEAN are increasingly looking like a single economic bloc.
So ASEAN will serve as a transhipment point for Chinese imports and exports, which suits China fine.


Remember that if there is trade disruption, it is China which has the production capacity, which the US (and the rest of the world) wants.

Prices for Chinese exports will skyrocket because of the shortages, which mostly benefits Chinese producers.
We've seen this story happen in recent years many times.

At a minimum, I expect ASEAN countries (excepting Philippines) to deny any resupply to US military forces.
This is why i think the first island chain scheme will work against the US with every passing day,
because it allows China to keep the US out of this economic zone.
 

GulfLander

Junior Member
Registered Member
"Stella Christie gave up her professorship at China's Tsinghua University, and has been appointed by Indonesia's new President Prabowo as the Deputy Minister of Higher Education, Science & Tech.
Her first policy was to provide free lunches to all Indonesian schoolchildren."


.....

Saw this photo online. Another Malaysian(?) Acct regarding the CN flag waiving? Why is he using Ch1na, instead of China?
Screenshot_20241028_223919.jpg
 
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