I do not think the attempt to ukrainize the phillipines will be successful, largely because the phillipines lacks any hardcore neo-nazi or nationalist segment to appeal to. their pro-american compradors are mostly liberal types who live in big cities and eat lotuses for a living, not right wing street fighters.
No, the core reasons the Philippines can never be another Ukraine is because the west lacks the material means to support even one Ukraine, never mind two. The second most important reason the Philippines cannot be China’s Ukraine is proximity and land boarders, or rather the lack of them.
Quite simply, China can bomb them back to the Stone Age, leave it a failed state and call it a day without any significant blowback in the same way America has been fighting foreign wars since it’s inception. And it is not going to cost China much more than ammo and fuel, and even then it can be done mostly with cheap glide bombs.
Given that one of the main worries within China right now seems to be that China lacks practice at waging modern wars, flexing its military might in the Philippines could be seen as an extremely attractive warm up for the main event.
I would not be at all surprised if China does play the Philippines card as a means of preventing America from moving on Iran, or massively handicapping its ability to back up Israel once it has attacked Iran.