Cross-posting this screenshot posted by
@tphuang at the Rumored Type 076 LHD/LHA Discussion thread.
Here is to peel off his points from the screenshot above, one-by-one:
1. 2023年,海基和陆基反导系统会正式公开。
2. 2023年,火箭军DF-xx新型洲际导弹和DF-XX反卫星导弹大概会再次进行试射。DF-XX反卫星导弹不用HQ命名,因为隶属火箭军,所以用了DF的名号(也有可能两个编号)。
3. 2023年,611六代机可能提前亮相,先于洛马同款。六代机猜测命名歼-30。
4. 2023年,大八轮车族还有新版榴弹炮入役,期待新型坦克亮相。
5. 2023年,054B出来也是必然的,期待焕然一新的构型和性能。
6. 2023年,076极有可能会同时开建3-4艘。
7. 2023年,歼-35极有可能和试航中的003合练时间为下半年。这是我国首次进行舰载机海上电磁弹射测试,灰常期待。
8. 2023年,亚轨道重复使用飞行器和空天飞行器的测试还将继续。有着国产X-37B之称的某型空天飞行器现在还在轨,预计2023年将返回,然后重新发射一架同型/改进型。
I will not bother with the remaining content about his prediction on the future course of the Ukraine war, since the content provided is incomplete, and hence will not be discussed in this post.
Roughly translated:
1. In 2023, the sea-based and land-based anti-missile systems will be officially disclosed.
2. In 2023, the new rocket DF-xx ICBM and DF-XX ASATM will probably be test-fired again. the DF-XX ASATM does not use the HQ nomenclature because it is under the rocket army, so it uses the DF name (there are also two possible numbers).
3. In 2023, 611 (Institute's) sixth-generation aircraft may be unveiled in advance, ahead of the same model of Lockheed Martin. the sixth-generation aircraft is speculated to be named as J-30.
4. In 2023, the big eight-wheeled vehicle family and a new version of howitzers into service, looking forward to the appearance of new tanks.
5. In 2023, 054B coming out is also inevitable, looking forward to a new configuration and performance.
6. In 2023, 076 will most likely start building 3-4 ships at the same time.
7. In 2023, J-35 is very likely and test navigation onboard the 003 in combined testings in the later-half of the year. This is the first time China's naval electromagnetic ejection test, very worth looking forward to.
8. In 2023, suborbital reusable vehicle and air vehicle testing will continue. A certain type of space vehicle with the nickname of "domestic X-37B" is still in orbit right now, and is expected to return in 2023, and then re-launch an identical/improved type.
To be honest, I have mixed feelings. These claims by @梁无咎 range from pretty close to what we have been expecting so far (i.e. 054B and the new 8-wheeled IFV) to just outright hilarious (611 Institute's 6th-generation fighter).
However, what I'm more curious about are regarding #1, #2 and #6. For #6, I have already mentioned in the Rumored Type 076 LHD/LHA Discussion thread, so I won't dive in anymore.
#1 - What does he meant by "sea-based and land-based anti-missile systems"? Something like the China AEGIS Ballistic Missile Defense (AEGIS BMD) system?
#2 - What do these "new rocket DF-xx ICBM and DF-XX ASATM" refers to? Could the DF-xx ICBM refering to DF-51? Or DF-27? Besides, shouldn't those special-mission Chinese ASATMs be known as Dong Nengs (DN) instead?
Personally, since this @梁无咎 guy is also kinda known as the
second idiot sandwich, so I'm taking his claims - or at least some of it - with a huge pinch of salt.
What do you guys think?