China Flanker Thread II

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Wolverine

Banned Idiot
I could be wrong, but the way I see it F-22 and F-35 will obviously have AESA's, since they are next generation fighters. AESA radars have much lower down-time and fewer maintenance costs, so that makes it attractive for new fighter projects right off the bat.

But the backbone of the US air power for the next decade or two will remain its legacy fighters. The super-hornet is indeed being upgraded, but less than half of the F-15's are being upgraded, and none of the F-18s or F-16s (over a thousand). The SABR is a product that is available, but it doesn't seem like the USAF is going for it, they are mainly marketing it for export.

You are underrepresenting the scale of the radar modernization in the USAF. The F-15's that will get the AESA upgrade are the ones that are expected to have useful service lives in the short and medium term, and that's both F-15C's as well as F-15E's. The ones that don't are going to be phased out as the F-35A comes on line in the next few years. Same for the F-16. And regarding the SABR AESA, I haven't read anywhere that the USAF has decided not to "go for it". In fact I'm not sure the USAF has said anything either way so far. Do you have a source for your claim? The B-2 is being retrofitted with AESA's. The F-18C/D's are the ones that will be phased out by the F-35C, so it makes sense not to upgrade their radars, but it's interesting that the F-18E/F's that don't have AESA's WILL be getting them. Of course now we are talking about the USN, but the same general principle applies. Non-5th generation fighters are either getting phased out altogether or getting AESA upgrades. In the face of the ubiquitous AEW planes in the USAF and USN, the fighter radar is certainly not being deemphasized.
 

Zahid

Junior Member
From what you have written I can guess two reasons for radar choices:

1. Useful Redundancy.
2. Budget.

Both of the above do not really apply to China or Pakistan, whose needs Londo Molari seemed to be hi-lighting. Having AWACS in air does address radar "shortcoming" to a point where the law of diminishing returns makes itself felt.
 

Wolverine

Banned Idiot
From what you have written I can guess two reasons for radar choices:

1. Useful Redundancy.
2. Budget.

Both of the above do not really apply to China or Pakistan, whose needs Londo Molari seemed to be hi-lighting. Having AWACS in air does address radar "shortcoming" to a point where the law of diminishing returns makes itself felt.

You guess incorrectly. Neither "useful redundancy" nor "budget" are the "reasons" to upgrade to AESA's. The advent of AEW/C does not by any stretch of the imagination imply that fighter radars have become redundant. It is sheer foolishness to assume that these early warning aircraft will be available anytime all the time for any given engagement, especially for the PLAAF and PLANAF. And you seem to have forgotten all the other vital functions a fighter radar serves in addition to threat detection, as well as all the additional capabilities an AESA radar confers. "Redudancy" is not the correct word to use here.

As far as budget, the restraint will be mainly technological capability much more than any budgetary concerns. When Chinese fighter AESA technology matures, you can bet every new Chinese fighter will get an AESA. And most or all J-10B's and J-11B/S's with enough airframe life left with legacy pulse doppler sets will also get AESA. It's too radical an advance in radar technology for China to simply pass up for budgetary reasons.
 

Zahid

Junior Member
You guess incorrectly. Neither "useful redundancy" nor "budget" are the "reasons" to upgrade to AESA's. The advent of AEW/C does not by any stretch of the imagination imply that fighter radars have become redundant. It is sheer foolishness to assume that these early warning aircraft will be available anytime all the time for any given engagement, especially for the PLAAF and PLANAF. And you seem to have forgotten all the other vital functions a fighter radar serves in addition to threat detection, as well as all the additional capabilities an AESA radar confers. "Redudancy" is not the correct word to use here.

As far as budget, the restraint will be mainly technological capability much more than any budgetary concerns. When Chinese fighter AESA technology matures, you can bet every new Chinese fighter will get an AESA. And most or all J-10B's and J-11B/S's with enough airframe life left with legacy pulse doppler sets will also get AESA. It's too radical an advance in radar technology for China to simply pass up for budgetary reasons.

I thought that I made myself clear when I said that I do not see that the US's thinking should apply to China or Pakistan. This observation was in context of Londo Molari when he wrote:

"I think with AWACS and other integrated advances, doctrines of advanced air forces are changing, and we can expect to see similar changes in China and Pakistan in the future. Less emphasis is placed on the capability/range of a fighter's own radar... fighters are vectored in using situational awareness and intelligence provided by ground stations, advanced scouts and AWACS, and fighters only turn on their own radars at the last moment in order to engage. So the fighters' own radar will no longer be the primary means of detecting the enemy."

You did not agree with this statement and gave the example of USAF and USN. I merely observed that the US thinking does not necessarily apply to China or Paksitan. I still stand behind my statement that US is upgrading the radars as you report because they want useful redunduncy and because they have the budget for such upgrades. Should China or Pakistan follow what US does? Not necessarily. Asian thinking is not the same as Western thinking. We Asians like to make more effecient use of resources.

I have been visiting this forum for the last five years and I have only 21 posts. I like to learn and have no pretention of being an expert. I could be wrong and that does not bother me. My sense of self-worth is not connected to participating in online arguments.
 

adeptitus

Captain
VIP Professional
If you upgrade existing/older aircraft too well, some people in decision making body might say that it's good enough and give you less money for new aircraft. Past examples: F-4X, F-4-2000/Kumas 2000, etc.
 

Pointblank

Senior Member
If you upgrade existing/older aircraft too well, some people in decision making body might say that it's good enough and give you less money for new aircraft. Past examples: F-4X, F-4-2000/Kumas 2000, etc.

Depends on the platform; some platforms can made relevant with extensive upgrades for the foreseeable future, other platforms may have reached the end of their service lives (either through fatigue or lack of upgradeability).
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
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I thought this is a good post on the J-10 vs J-11B debate that I just saw today on Chinese bbs by a very well respected poster. I believe he worked on the Su-30MKK projects and has a lot of connections to PLAAF.
理论上而言,应该是11B更强一些。但是未经过实际对抗,不好说。现在可以这样说,11B和10,对11、27和30,是具有很大的优势的。因为他们的系统和装置都要比后三者更完善,更先进。但是这两个型号对抗的话,如果不考虑航程等因素,那就要看飞行员的和其使用的战术等问题了。
says that both J-10 and J-11B both have very large advantage over 11A, 27 and 30. 11B is theoretically better, but it's hard to say in real combat situation. If we put operating radius aside, it's dependent on the pilot and tactics.
11B是大型战斗机,他所能担负的某些任务是10无法胜任的。10作为一款中型战斗机,在空战性能上可说是出类拔萃的。我们的空军,早就摈弃了在空情保障下,BVR空战的双方只能以近似双方互相对头接近的方法进入空战,胜负主要取决于双方的雷达各在多少距离上发现对手、然后各用多少时间完成锁定和发射、最后谁的导弹用多少时间先击落对方这种僵化刻板的空战想定模式。
J-11B has certain advantages over J-10 due to its size. For the scenario where AWACS is not involved, he said PLAAF has long abandoned the idea that you can just enter BVR battle by flying toward each other and the winner is dependent on how far each one's radar can track others and then how long it takes each side to lock-on and fire and then at the end how long it takes each one's missiles to strike other side. They abandoned this simple scenario.
通过鼎新合练的结果,我空军航空兵认为,战斗机的雷达过早开机不但没有帮助,反而提早暴露自身的电子辐射,使本机过早暴露,也使雷达易于受到敌方干扰,从而丧失战术优势。过去那种认为,在空情保障下,BVR空战的双方只能以近似双方互相对头接近的方法进入空战。然后比双方的雷达各在多少距离上发现对手、各用多少时间完成锁定和发射、最后谁的导弹用多少时间先击落对方,实际上是完全脱离超视距空战实际模式的空想。是一种僵化和简单格式化的做法。
空战过程的短暂、变化的多样、战术机动和电子战对雷达工作的影响,必然使系统更为完善,装置更为先进和综合作战性能更强的型号更具优势。
From their recent tests/exercises, they believe that turning on the radar early doesn't really help, but just increases the RCS of the fighter and cause it to be tracked earlier, so then the radar will face ECM from opponent and loose tactical advantage.
In the past, they believe that when fighters are its under the protection of AWACS, the two sides will just fly toward each other, try to find each other faster and then take less to lock and launch and then hit each other. again, that's a very simple strategy.
air combat is rapidly changing, tactical maneuvers and EW has significant effect on radar's performance. So in order to improve, need to make the system more complete, equip more advanced and more integrated
就如同我们曾经希望通过歼-8F这样装备较强较新雷达火控电子设备的二代机,即使机动性差一些,也能通过超视距空战、不用进入近距格斗来压制住那些机动性强一些、但雷达火控电子设备较老的三代机。
in the past, they hoped that something like J-8F equipped with more advanced avionics/FCR can beat 4th generation fighters that are equipped with less advanced avionics/FCR by winning in BVR rather than having to deal with better flight performance WVR.
但是通过实战对抗的结果我们发现,丰富的战术选择和电子战的使用,使得中距空战充满不确定性和变化,单纯想靠所谓“超视距战力优势”建立空中优势或有效空防,是效率很低的,是效费比很低的,也是不可靠的。这样的所谓“超视距战力优势”很可能在对手几个战术机动后就化作乌有,甚至原本希望可以靠枪长炮远就足够别人打不着自己、不用进入自己劣势的近距离反而可能在超视距抢位不利后进攻落于下风,高速撤离又失去空防的作用。
but from actual air combat exercises, using better tactics and EW, can cause a lot of unpredictability and changes. You can't just use having super long range detection advantage as the basis of air defense, it's not a reliable strategy. Such a radar advantage can loose opposition after a few tactical maneuver. So, can't just rely on having longer ranged missile/radar.
因此,11B和10这样都具有很强的机动性能和完善的系统及武备的型号,如果不加以考虑航程这样的因素,他们之间的对抗将是对飞行员个人经验和能力的最佳检验。

那么有人会问,这样的话为什么还要发展11B?有10不就完了吗?

前面已经说过了,11B对比10的最大优势在于其更大的载油系数和更远的航程。当然还有更大的载荷更大的内部改进空间。这也是为什么美国空军更倚重F- 15这样的大型战斗机。大型战斗机具有得天独厚的优势,这一点是谁也不能否认的。如果不是因为价格和军费的限制因素,美国空军肯定会要求装置更多的F- 15。这也是为什么外界一直传言说,美国空军更青睐更大一些的战斗机。

对于我们而言,11B的出现解决了我们空军对于大型战斗机的需求。他和歼-10将是相互依存的搭配关系,而不是替代的关系。
so with something like J-11B and J-10, they both have very strong flight performance + complete system, a lot of it is dependent on the pilot.
So, why would they still develop J-11B, why not just continue with J-10.
well, J-11B's largest advantage are in its range and payload, more room with its greater size to make changes. So, J-11B and J-10 make a good compliment basically.
 

pla101prc

Senior Member
I thought that I made myself clear when I said that I do not see that the US's thinking should apply to China or Pakistan. This observation was in context of Londo Molari when he wrote:

"I think with AWACS and other integrated advances, doctrines of advanced air forces are changing, and we can expect to see similar changes in China and Pakistan in the future. Less emphasis is placed on the capability/range of a fighter's own radar... fighters are vectored in using situational awareness and intelligence provided by ground stations, advanced scouts and AWACS, and fighters only turn on their own radars at the last moment in order to engage. So the fighters' own radar will no longer be the primary means of detecting the enemy."

You did not agree with this statement and gave the example of USAF and USN. I merely observed that the US thinking does not necessarily apply to China or Paksitan. I still stand behind my statement that US is upgrading the radars as you report because they want useful redunduncy and because they have the budget for such upgrades. Should China or Pakistan follow what US does? Not necessarily. Asian thinking is not the same as Western thinking. We Asians like to make more effecient use of resources.

I have been visiting this forum for the last five years and I have only 21 posts. I like to learn and have no pretention of being an expert. I could be wrong and that does not bother me. My sense of self-worth is not connected to participating in online arguments.

i agree with you there, getting a radar that can track 100 targets at the same time isnt really a priority for the PLAAF. of course that doesnt mean that they are not trying to improve their own radars, but there is no need for any airforce in the world to fit every single one of its aircraft with the most advanced radar system. if that's what the USAF is trying to do, then i can only say the contractors and lobbyists are doing a damn good job like they are in the F-22 case that was recently exposed.
 

Wolverine

Banned Idiot
J-11B has certain advantages over J-10 due to its size. For the scenario where AWACS is not involved, he said PLAAF has long abandoned the idea that you can just enter BVR battle by flying toward each other and the winner is dependent on how far each one's radar can track others and then how long it takes each side to lock-on and fire and then at the end how long it takes each one's missiles to strike other side. They abandoned this simple scenario.
And yet this is precisely the scenario which the F-22 employs to its advantage.

From their recent tests/exercises, they believe that turning on the radar early doesn't really help, but just increases the RCS of the fighter and cause it to be tracked earlier, so then the radar will face ECM from opponent and loose tactical advantage.
How exactly does turning on a radar increase your RCS??? A radar's emission can be detected by enemy fighters, but this does not "increase" the fighter's RCS. And this poster is speaking from the perspective of weakness. Modern AESA's are LPI, meaning they can scan you and you have scant little chance of realizing they have just done so. He either does not know enough about AESA's or is (incorrectly) assuming that PLAAF fighters will be forever fighting with pulse doppler radars.

In the past, they believe that when fighters are its under the protection of AWACS, the two sides will just fly toward each other, try to find each other faster and then take less to lock and launch and then hit each other. again, that's a very simple strategy.
First Look, first shoot, first kill. Have you heard of this? This may not be true every engagement or every missile launch, but the concept should be easy to grasp. This is the point of F-22's massively powered (and massively-ranged) AESA. And you are wrong about missile ranges. A faster and higher altitude J-11B firing the same PL-12 will have a much longer range than one fired by a lower, slower J-10. This is where situational awareness and longer-ranged radars come in.

in the past, they hoped that something like J-8F equipped with more advanced avionics/FCR can beat 4th generation fighters that are equipped with less advanced avionics/FCR by winning in BVR rather than having to deal with better flight performance WVR.

but from actual air combat exercises, using better tactics and EW, can cause a lot of unpredictability and changes. You can't just use having super long range detection advantage as the basis of air defense, it's not a reliable strategy. Such a radar advantage can loose opposition after a few tactical maneuver. So, can't just rely on having longer ranged missile/radar.
Certainly tactics, EW, and AEW all play into the success or failure of airborne engagements. Nobody is arguing for relying solely on figher radars. These are all force multipliers. On the other hand, you don't see anyone getting rid of fighter radars either, even in the age of ubiquitious AEW/C aircraft. Not only that, you see a trend towards the exact opposite direction, towards longer and longer ranged fighter radars. This is not debatable. It's happening now.

i agree with you there, getting a radar that can track 100 targets at the same time isnt really a priority for the PLAAF. of course that doesnt mean that they are not trying to improve their own radars, but there is no need for any airforce in the world to fit every single one of its aircraft with the most advanced radar system. if that's what the USAF is trying to do, then i can only say the contractors and lobbyists are doing a damn good job like they are in the F-22 case that was recently exposed.
Who's says any air force is fitting every single aircraft with the most advanced radar system? This is a straw man, not a rational rebuttal.
 
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