All this doom posting about Chinese civilisation going extinct and China losing is status as the factory of the world is unwarranted IMO, at least for now. While it might take a while for the goverment to figure out what to do and how to "tighten the noose", based on the pragmatic governance they demonstrated wrt other issues, they should be able to manage to raise TFR to where they keep up with the rest of the developed world, wich means probably 1.5, still bad but if the others are also bad, does it really matter?
This could probably.... maybe be achieved using a combination of awareness campaigns, banning opposing opinions, raising taxes for every child below a certain quota (gradually, so the rate per child of lacking 2 children is higher than for lacking 1 child, as an example), rewarding every child above said quota (careful not to turn into a welfare state though), massively raising retirement age or removing retirement completely (depends on how dire the situation is), waging war on ultra urbanisation (for example, less gigafactories in favor of smaller, more distributed ones+better infrastructure). If people start protesting, give them the xinjiang treatement (mass surveillance+ police). I know some of this sounds brutal, but sometimes you have to do what you have to do. In the end, it's all about balancing these measures and turning them "on" and "off" depending on the situation (a complex problem with many variables, but that's what supercomputers are for).
All of the above plus better medical technology, robotics, more efficient processes, should keep China in the game for the foresseable future.
I am honestly less worried about Chinese civilisation going disappearing than the fact that humanity itself is going extinct because they can't figure out that men and women cannot (and will never) be equal. Women need to realise that their primary role is to give birth to children and, more importantly IMHO, educate them properly while men need to realise that their primary role is to provide their family (mainly children) with a comfortable life, even if it has to be at the expense of theirs (children need the constant presence of a mother and fother figure in their life, or you end up with a disfunctional society like the US, SK or JP). That's how we're biologically designed to operate, human rights need to be cast aside for now, because this is a case of "F**k you, obey the law of nature, or begone". There needs to be specialized classes for girls and boys in addition to the existing ones within a leaner less exhausting education system around the globe. Concepts like capitalism and communism need to be thrown to the garbage in favor of more pragmatic, efficient division of labor between men and women that allow them to perform their primary role without denying them from contributing to society and realizing their dreams, within reason (work from home could be a starting point), and unleash their maximum potential as human beings (so things like working in assembly lines are an absolute nope, since they're an extreme waste of human mental capacity).
I know all of this sounds VERY unrealistic, but humanity as whole still needs to mke a system close to it, or we'll have to revert to the old, proven, if horribly inefficient and stiffling one to avoid a worse fate (Just look at the prviously posted statistics and the trend they represent, they basically equate advancement with our current model to our doom).
WRT to previous suggestions about artificial wombs and raising children in goverment centers, that will thouroughly destroy any civilisation. As I said, children NEED the unconditional love and care given to them by their parents in their early childhood, or you'll end up like the US, where a significant part of the population has some kind of mental condition and behave in a very immature way, due to parents shirking their responsability, and have fallen into severe degeneracy, wich is usually what happens to nations before they disappear for good.
Sorry for the very long rant. What I've been reading in this thread is very unsettling to me, especially the global statistics presented in the last few pages, which tell us that we can't advance our technology without deleting ourselves. The whole situation is eerily similar to the "Great filter" theory.
