China Ballistic Missiles and Nuclear Arms Thread

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FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
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everyone has own opinion and analysis.

i m not an expert in this field but definitely SSBN will be the part of China's strategic deterrence force in near future.

as per my source next generation type 096 development going really well. design and new technologies has finalized.
I think that SSBN will be deployed, but it won't be relied upon. It's just China's geography dual blessing and curse that the seas nearby are so shallow and enclosed. On one hand that means easy trade, easy influence over neighboring countries and encouraged maritime development in the first place when sailors could find land in every direction. On the other hand it means that hostile neighbors box you in.

it's still going to be silos, TELs and early warning satellites doing the heavy lifting.
 

Kalec

Junior Member
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DF-5 update:
在YF-130液氧煤油发动机、YF-581常规补燃发动机等新型号研制中,汇聚数字优势,突出仿真验证,贯彻落实“数字世界多轮迭代,物理世界一次成功”的敏捷迭代理念,走出了一条以数字化为牵引的研发模式转型之路,为构建适应航天强国建设需要的产业体系贡献数字化力量。
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New engine for DF-5 is likely to be named as YF-581 or YF-58-1.
 

Kalec

Junior Member
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Got some interesting rumors:

It seems PLARF built at least 30 new DF-5 silos, making the number up to 48. It is not a news and everyone knew it or heard about it at least from 2020. But it took almost 4 years from construction to completion.

If the timescale also applies to solid ICBM silo fields, we wouldn't see the earliest silos completion until late 2024, in line with heavy ICBM development.

That being said, it is so weird that CASC tested solid ICBM engine back in late 2018 but YF-581 in the middle of 2021, which means solid ICBM development is much faster than the liquid one. But on the contrary, liquid silo field constructions are 3 years earlier than solid one, a mismatch between silos and ICBMs.

As reference, CASC tested engine for DF-41 around 2007 or 2008 and conducted first flight in 2012. The test fire of new solid ICBM could be imminent if it follows a similar pattern like DF-41. It could enter the initial phase of deployment in Yumen from 2024 and gradually ramp up production rate to fill other silo fields once they are completed.

I have circled out new factory expansion of CASC's solid engine factory since 2016, not surprising as the solid rocket department is poised to triple its revenue during the past decade.
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