plawolf
Lieutenant General
And why would that be the case, lol? My whole point is that China must be prepared for the virtual inevitability of a US TNW response against its forces after getting smoked conventionally so must decide on targets beforehand. It could destroy most military bases in the US homeland, or I agree with @ZeEa5KPul that other MIC targets are a good choice too. Destroying bases in the US mainland provides no military advantage to China in the in-theater conflict, but that's only because we're predicating this scenario on China having already (conventionally) destroyed all or nearly all US forces regionally and thus left with no meaningful advantage to gain there.
Just how do you actually expect tactical nukes to be used? Because I can assure you it won’t be en mass as that will almost inevitably lead immediately to full MAD. Similarly, responding to a US nuke attack against PLA forces outside of mainland China with an ICBM against CONUS is stupid even if only armed with tactical nukes as that is also almost inevitable to lead to immediate full MAD.
If America psychs itself up to dare to use tactical nukes, it will do so with a single one first to see how China responds, and its target will not be mainland China. Probably targeting a PLAN fleet or its beachhead on Taiwan.
If China response with a meek tactical nuke of its own, then its game on as far as the Americans are concerned. But if China response by erasing Okinawa and/or Guam with a multi-megaton city-killer, you think the Americans are going to double down for full MAD? I don’t think so.