China Ballistic Missiles and Nuclear Arms Thread

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escobar

Brigadier
=GT posted this pic in CDF's DF-16 thread

6873ad59.jpg
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Supposed to be longer range, faster reentry speed making interception by Patriot PAC III missile difficult. Well we now have confirmation with these photo that DF 16 is operational and deployed. And there are more of them now. Faster, longer range, more accurate missile. All those bases are in bull eye now

PRC missile could render PAC-3s obsolete
NO DEFENSE?The faster re-entry of a longer-range missile would greatly reduce the effectiveness of PAC-3 missile interceptors acquired from the US, analysts said

By J. Michael Cole / Staff Reporter

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laden
with Dong Feng-15 short-range surface-to-surface missiles are shown on Oct. 1, 2009, in this photo from the China Military Online Web site.
Photo: China Military Online

A new longer-range ballistic missile allegedly deployed by China and the introduction of multiple warhead capabilities could render obsolete Taiwan’s most advanced missile interceptors, analysts said yesterday.

National Security Bureau (NSB) Director Tsai Der-sheng (蔡得勝) told the legislature on Wednesday that China had recently begun deploying Dong Feng-16 (DF-16) ballistic missiles with a range of between 800km and 1,000km, and that some were targeting Taiwan.

One US expert with years of experience monitoring developments in China’s missile arsenal told the Taipei Times that while literature on the DF-16 was scarce, the fact that a different designation had been referenced implied that the system was sufficiently different from existing missiles.

Another, Rick Fisher, a senior fellow at the International Assessment and Strategy Center in Washington, said chances the DF-16 is the “real deal” were high, adding that the new system would likely incorporate advances in solid rocket fuel, guidance and warhead design. He admitted this was the first time he had seen references to the DF-16 designation.

Alarmingly, the faster re-entry of a longer-range ballistic missile such as the DF-16 would greatly reduce the effectiveness of Taiwan’s PAC-3 missile interceptors that were acquired at great cost from the US and which are still in the process of being deployed.

The longer the range of a ballistic missile, the higher it must climb to reach its target and the higher it climbs, the more time it takes for it to fall to the ground, giving gravity more time to accelerate the descent of the warhead at a rate of about 9.8m per second squared.

“All the PAC-3s are not yet in the field, but when they are, they can potentially be defeated by the faster 1,000km DF-16,” Fisher said.


In addition, new long-range missiles would give China’s leadership the ability to make “peace gestures,” such as withdrawing older DF-15s, without any substantial reduction of military pressure on Taiwan, he said.

The removal of some missiles targeting Taiwan has been touted as a potential “goodwill” gesture by Beijing to help President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) get re-elected next year.

Ballistic missiles with a range such as that attributed to the DF-16 could be deployed at the Second Artillery’s 52 Base in Anhui Province and target Taiwan as well as US bases in the region, such as Okinawa and Guam.

According to a study by the Project 2049 Institute, 52 Base oversees five short-range ballistic missile (SRBM) brigades and as many as three medium-range ballistic missile brigades. It remains unclear whether 52 Base is being equipped with a new brigade for the DF-16 or whether they would replace older SRBMs.

Wendell Minnick, Asia bureau chief for Defense News, was more skeptical on the DF-16 representing a new type of missile, saying it was likely a variant of the existing DF-15, which has a range of about 600km.

“Honestly, I can’t see how all the US analysts missed it, if it is ‘deployed,’” Minnick said. “I suspect he [Tsai] is saying the DF-15 extended range is the new ‘DF-16,’ but the lack of details during his testimony annoys me to no end.”

“It’s possible they [the government] are trying to scare the US into releasing new F-16 fighters and submarines,” Minnick said.

During his presentation, Tsai also said that most of China’s missiles now had multiple warheads capable of hitting different targets, such as radar sites and planes at airports.


China aiming 200 more missiles at Taiwan: MND
EXPLOSIVE ISSUE:A military report indicates that China has boosted its arsenal to 1,600 missiles, with its new advanced, medium-range DF-16 missiles among them
By Rich Chang and J. Michael Cole / Staff reporters

The number of ballistic and cruise missiles aimed by China’s Second Artillery Corps at Taiwan has grown from 1,400 last year to more than 1,600 this year, which poses a serious threat to the nation, the Ministry of National Defense (MND) said in its China Military Power Report 2012.

This year’s annual report, which has been delivered to the legislature, emphasizes China’s growing missile threat.

It said the People’s Liberation Army had deployed a small number of advanced Dong Feng-16 (DF-16) missiles to complement the arsenal of DF-11 and DF-15 short-range missiles that has threatened Taiwan over the years. National Security Bureau Director Tsai Der-sheng (蔡得勝) told the legislature in March last year that the Chinese military had completed developing the new DF-16. Photographs in April suggested the deployment of the medium-range missile had begun. Military analysts also believe that the DF-16 may be mobile, which would make interception more difficult.

To increase area-denial, the Second Artillery has deployed DF-21D anti-ship ballistic missiles, the report said, adding that DF-31A ICBMs armed with nuclear warheads and capable of reaching the US and most European countries were deployed to deter other countries from interfering in any conflict in the Taiwan Strait.

The number of ballistic and cruise missiles aimed at Taiwan has increased by about 200 from last year and is now estimated at 1,600, it said, adding that an increasing number were equipped with advanced GPS systems allowing for precision attacks against Taiwan.

Facing an increased threat from Chinese missiles, plans are being made to modernize Taiwan’s air defense systems, the report said.

According to the military budget proposal for next year, the ministry has earmarked funds to modernize and expand its surface-to-air missiles (SAM), with the ministry planning to procure rocket boosters from the US to place on the AIM-120 advanced medium-range air-to-air missile. It also has plans to acquire AGM-65G Maverick missiles, AGM-84L Harpoon missiles and Magic II missiles, as well as the domestically produced Tien Chien II missiles.

The Chungshan Institute of Science and Technology is also to be called upon to modernize parts of the indigenous Tien Kung “Sky Bow” I and II air-defense systems.

The military also plans to send aging MIM23 Hawk medium-range SAMs to the US for efficiency tests, the budget proposal shows.

In addition, the military plans to procure rocket motors from the US to equip its Standard Missile 1, it says.

Although relations across the Taiwan Strait have improved, China has not slowed its military buildup, which is mainly intended to deter the Taiwanese independence movement, the report says.
 

Broccoli

Senior Member
Here is my take on DF-31 and MIRV's.

DF-31 and DF-31A side by side. Clearest difference is that the DF-31A has a shroud covering the warhead(s).
yJl19.jpg


Page 74, shows alleged warhead of DF-31. This warhead looks very similar size wise to what original DF-31 (above pic) is carrying.
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Here is good picture shown in CCTV whats said to be DF-31 warhead, very similar to warhead what those guys (page 74 pic) are seen pushing.
sx4hZ.jpg


If we look DF-31A seen in this picture, it's quite clear that large warhead could not fit inside that shroud.
oFdCV.jpg


This gives some info about Chinese "second generation" warheads.
The final test series concluded in the spring and summer of 1996. According to Japanese government sources (reported in Nihon Keizai Shimbun), the penultimate underground Chinese nuclear test on 8 June 1996 (calculated at 20 to 80 kilotons) was actually a simultaneous detonation of multiple warheads (a common practice by both the U.S. and USSR). It was said to be part of a program to produce smaller warheads for submarine-launched and multiple-targeted missiles. Overall, the yields since 1990 have suggested that two warheads have been in development: one in the 100-300 kt range, and one in the 600-700 kt range.
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We know that DF-31 is carrying that larger warhead, and that 100-300kt warhead is said to be for the DF-21, but DF-21 was already in service before that 100-300kt warhead was actually taken in service. So what is that 300kt warhead for? I think it's the MIRV for ICBM's. Of course it could be some type "modular warhead" what can be used as MIRV for ICBM and warhead for IRBM, but i'm not aware of any country building such thing.
 
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kroko

Senior Member
that is the housing, not canister, copied from russian systems.

care to explain why? iam not aware of anything similar to that canister in russia. Russia doesnt even have IRBM.


Supposed to be longer range, faster reentry speed making interception by Patriot PAC III missile difficult. Well we now have confirmation with these photo that DF 16 is operational and deployed. And there are more of them now. Faster, longer range, more accurate missile. All those bases are in bull eye now

hendrik, this is all speculation at this point


I wonder why does the TEL has that "tail" at the rear end. Very odd. Does this TEL has stability issues ? perhabs thats the reason that they had to add that tail ??
 
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