China Ballistic Missiles and Nuclear Arms Thread
- Thread starter peace_lover
- Start date
- Status
China has historically and currently never possessed the amount of plutonium, uranium, and tritium gas necessary to produce this many warheads...
Lol huge citation required here. How would anyone know. These things are not actually accurately catalogued. The recorded stuff could be off by miles. Synthesising weapons grade refined fissile material can be done without being broadcasted around the world or determined by snoopers from abroad. Uranium reserves within China exist and their exact volumes are unknown with any degree with decent certainty.
These claims sound good in academic articles but are far from convincing.
If this estimate is correct, China's reserve is close to Russia's. Wonder if China's reluctance is because of the reserve might be low grade.
The entire set of enrichment technologies available I would imagine are pretty secretive. The publicly known ones are not necessarily the only available methods. Even then, China imports a lot of uranium for energy. Who's to say how much of that material is used for weapons? Estimates can be reasonably accurately determined I suppose but those ranges can be pretty significant AND China has its own reserves even if they are low. It's not a matter of ore grade but refinement and enrichment. Then there's the question of how Chinese nuclear warheads work. The design is unique and differs from the Teller Ulam configuration which is widely known. Less known are the details.
1000 warheads could be in KT range or MT range who knows. These details matter. None of us are nuclear physicists let alone professionals in nuclear weapons design. We have zero effing clue how much is required for 1000 warheads. Zero idea. So claiming China has never in its history had the volume for this? Lol even the academic articles out there are pretty laughable even with my very limited knowledge. The amount of hopeless assumptions they use...
antiterror13
Brigadier
Definitely China has enough plutonium, uranium for way more than 1,000 nukes. Where did you get that wrong statement, I wonder?
We are definitely slipping into the Complicated dimension of Chinese Nuclear Arsenal-Total Warhead numbers- Special configuration discussion that happens every two months with low productivity.
Its almost become a ritual. Don't mind me, just putting into words my *sigh*.
Its almost become a ritual. Don't mind me, just putting into words my *sigh*.
Regarding the new Hypersonic Glide Vehicle or the Multiple Warhead tipped AshBM most important component is the Navigation and Guidance.
That's what US would be looking at to counter it. It's "Kill Chain". That's the language they speak in other discussion rooms. Can't Dismiss the notion.
Let's just say US counters Yaogan Satellites initially. Taking out most of them (or just enough to destroy the effective use of the AshBM force. Then what?
I'm discounting OtH Radars here. I don't think it can offer much.There was a mention of micro satellite launched along with the missile (or as a separate one) plausibly for Terminal guidance. It'd be nice to know more about that.
Let's just say that US ABM efforts are focused on the microsatellite rather than the Warhead. The issues faced would be to track a satellite after suborbit insertion.
Then what?
Do note that China could always target US Kill Chain as much as US could do to China. But that's a different discussion.
That's what US would be looking at to counter it. It's "Kill Chain". That's the language they speak in other discussion rooms. Can't Dismiss the notion.
Let's just say US counters Yaogan Satellites initially. Taking out most of them (or just enough to destroy the effective use of the AshBM force. Then what?
I'm discounting OtH Radars here. I don't think it can offer much.There was a mention of micro satellite launched along with the missile (or as a separate one) plausibly for Terminal guidance. It'd be nice to know more about that.
Let's just say that US ABM efforts are focused on the microsatellite rather than the Warhead. The issues faced would be to track a satellite after suborbit insertion.
Then what?
Do note that China could always target US Kill Chain as much as US could do to China. But that's a different discussion.
AssassinsMace
Lieutenant General
Well they said China hadn't tested the ASBM or else they would've detected it. It was tested and they didn't detect it. Let's not forget how Aegis, Patriot, and AWACs didn't detect a Seersucker that hit Kuwait City. Should've been a cinch since it was flying over open waters. It's so easy just to say disrupt the kill chain or fire an interceptor just like it's easy to say China can shoot down their satellites so they can't see it coming before it's too late. For thirty years they been having naval wargames simulations of a US Navy attack on China and no matter how advanced their technology gets, they still haven't won a simulation. Yeah China is wasting their money building ASBMs because they say they adjust and adapt... and yet they still lose those wargames to cheap anti-ship missiles.
- Status