Hendrik_2000
Lieutenant General
look at the date 1980correction:
first table issued 2013
last data issued by him 2017 runs like following
View attachment 47937
look at the date 1980correction:
first table issued 2013
last data issued by him 2017 runs like following
View attachment 47937
If the number of new reactor plants being built in China do all go active, it may be more economical to just build up reprocessing capacity for Pu generation to complement existing/planned Pu generating plants.
It is extremely difficult to use a PWR/BWR reactor for Pu239 making.
Not impossible, but painful and render the reactor unusable for electrical generation.
Additionally weapon Pu making with central country level reprocessing / fuel making is expensive as well.
There is a reason why everyone made the weapon pu with dedicated reactors ,reprocessing and fuel making factories.
correction:
first table issued 2013
last data issued by him 2017 runs like following
View attachment 47937
It is possible to use any reactor to make weapon Pu239.Not really CANDU system has on power refuelling meaning It can remove the fuel while it is in operation . In fact CANDU is ideal for plutonium production because it also generate tritium. And much safer to operate
India IO believe use CANDU research reactor built in 60's to generate Pu
3-6kg for each warhead.Depending on the design of the warhead.Anlsvrthng, here are some questions (can you give us an estimate),
1. How many thermonuclear warheads can China produce with roughly 2T of weapons-grade Pu? (W87, W88 type warheads)
2. Using purely HEU how many thermonuclear warheads (not specifically W87 or W88 type, but in general) can you cram into the DF-5 and DF-41. DF-41 payload is estimated at 2500 kg while DF-5 estimates vary from 3200 to 3900 kg. Given those numbers, how many MIRVs are possible only using HEU. (Let's assume DF-31A/31AG can only carry a single 1MT warhead with pen-aids).
Thanks in advance.
It is extremely difficult to use a PWR/BWR reactor for Pu239 making.
Not impossible, but painful and render the reactor unusable for electrical generation.
Additionally weapon Pu making with central country level reprocessing / fuel making is expensive as well.
There is a reason why everyone made the weapon pu with dedicated reactors ,reprocessing and fuel making factories.
here's his latest assessment:
" Based on these new sources, China’s current stockpile of weapon-grade fissile material consists of about 14 tons of HEU and 2.9 tons of plutonium. The new HEU estimate is significantly lower than other recent estimates, while the new plutonium figure is. The new estimates show that China could still have the smallest military stockpile of HEU and plutonium among the five nuclear-weapon states recognized by the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. As a comparison, the current stock of weapon-grade fissile material in the United States is 599 tons of HEU and 87.6 tons of plutonium.
Assuming each Chinese warhead contains about 4 kilograms (kg) of plutonium in its primary stage and about 20 kg of highly enriched uranium in its secondary stage, a military inventory of about 2.9 tons of plutonium and 14 tons of HEU would support around 730 thermonuclear warheads. Given the huge gaps between Chinese and US fissile materials stocks and nuclear weapon arsenals, it is difficult to imagine China would even attempt to achieve parity."
you can download his report from here: