It did happen multiple times but the missiles were indeed AIM-7, which in their last variants was as fast as the AIM-120Sounds implausible. The AIM-120 did not enter USAF or USN service until after Operation Desert Storm.
It did happen multiple times but the missiles were indeed AIM-7, which in their last variants was as fast as the AIM-120Sounds implausible. The AIM-120 did not enter USAF or USN service until after Operation Desert Storm.
@Jason_ had a graph of how the sixth gen fighters like J-36 and J-50 (carrier born) could hunt the B-21. Once the bombs are dropped and the B-21 exposed itself, a J-36, using its super cruise speed to catch the B-21, it then circle around the the possible area where the B-21 could be. searching for the B-21 using its side radar until it hits the angle of radar reflection for the B-21 and locates the B-21. I don't know how the B-21 can escape this sort of tactic. How do you use the B-21 under this environment?Not only that. I can definitely see the value in a multi-engine, subsonic, low observable aircraft in an Anti-Surface context too. Given that a potential war against the United States would mostly play out in the naval domain, an aircraft that can more efficiently loiter, do ELINT and could potentially launch super/hypersonic ALCMs and ALBMs against naval tragets from a closer range than land based assets may provide a certain advantage that's desirable. All of that with less chances of being detected.
I may be wrong, but a B-2 took part in the SINKEX portion of RIMPAC 2024 where she sunk USS Tarawa. The Soviets also had a lot of sympathy for the idea of using bombers in Anti-Surface missions. And while a B-2, B-21 or H-20 don't provide the supersonic speed a Tu-22M3, provides, they are more difficult to detect, which could mean they can launch at closer range and thus reduce the reaction time until the arrival of the missile, which in turn increases the chance of sinking the vessel. Obviously shipborne fighters could be a potential threat, but I'd assume a bomber would loiter still relatively far away from it's target, maybe even being part of a kill-web together with UAVs, satellites, surface combatants and other manned aircraft. This kind of approach and the associated buzzword seem to be all the rage now, after all.
So yeah, I can definitely see the H-20 and B-21 being used in such a scenario. I think we'd be pretty old-fashioned to just assume it's about bringing bombs from point A to point B and hoping to not get shot down. From all we know so far the B-21 is being designed to be a true multirole aircraft. And I doubt that the H-20 will be purely focused on the bomber mission like the B-2 was in the 1980s. I think that would be selling short the talent and thought the folks at Xi'an are putting into it.
To be honest, against a long endurance, high speed J-36, I don't see how a B-21 survives unless its accompanied by J-36/US aircrafts@Jason_ had a graph of how the sixth gen fighters like J-36 and J-50 (carrier born) could hunt the B-21. Once the bombs are dropped and the B-21 exposed itself, a J-36, using its super cruise speed to catch the B-21, it then circle around the the possible area where the B-21 could be until it hits the angle of radar reflection for the B-21 and locates the B-21. I don't know how the B-21 can escape this sort of tactic. How do you use the B-21 under this environment?
Speaking honestly, US can produce very well functioning aviation programs on par with anything China can make, F-35 production rate is ~ as J-20.But why? US is still the largest military plane producer in the world. They have the scale. Also, these private MIC firms are supposed to compete to lower the price. Even if they ask for very high profit margin, the price for B21 should be 100-200 mil, (say 2x F-35) not 600-700 mil. Labor and R&D cost can't explain it.
China would never use euro CNCs to begin with, China's own CNC is a cut above everyone else's.Also there was some video explaining that the Chinese tooling are quite expensive for military projects, because they aren't allowed to use European CNCs.
The US MIC would not have any issues like that.
"System Engineering" was supposed to be America's biggest strength. Managing large complex projects within budget on time was what made America great in the past.
I know there are jokes about $3000 hammer but those are jokes, and the Chinese MIC may also have high price like that for certain particular items. Bottom line is I want to see a full scale NGAD. Hope they can afford it.
That it can go so fast lets it impart a lot of energy on the weapons it uses, something a B-21 really can't. Not even F-35 does well at that. Plus whatever extra power generation hacks 5.5-6th gen in China's arsenal will have, since J-20S is 2 engine vs 1 on F-35.To be honest, against a long endurance, high speed J-36, I don't see how a B-21 survives unless its accompanied by a J-36/US aircrafts
I explicitly called J-36 a "B-21 hunter". The moment B-21 is detected, (onboard sensors, surface sensors, space-based sensors, detected after payload launch etc), a forward deployed with long loiter time, J-36 CAP would quickly rush onto it and hunt it down. Between superior super cruise, kinematics and EW, I don't give high chance for the B-21 to survive
Don't take me wrong, B-21 is a good design for what it was originally envisioned to do and definitely something that the PLA must seriously take into account, but imo the US really need something to fight off a J-36
These figures are obviously speculative estimates, if not outright guesses, and will inevitably be updated and vary depending on the mission profile and the propulsion systems ultimately installed on the J-36 and H-20; however, the current combat radius "guesstimates" for these two platforms w/o aerial refueling are generally speaking 3,000km and 5,000km, respectively (please don't hesitate to speak up if that's off).
The difference here is undoubtedly material, but what are the odds that the PLAAF will actually be able to deploy the H-20 against targets in Hawaii and Australia w/o the J-36 and/or other manned and unmanned systems flying nearby as escorts?
Moreover, if J-36s will need to escort H-20s anyhow, why not just employ J-36s and attritable CCAs to accomplish the mission instead?
Not going to deny that the H-20 will almost certainly benefit from a larger payload capacity than the J-36, but unless the former can supercruise, the J-36's superior speed and by extension sortie rate may offset some of the H-20's payload advantage.
The PLAAF will ideally want to be equipped with both the J-36 and H-20, and preferably in sizable numbers.
However, in a world of finite resources, the PLAAF may get more bang for buck out of the J-36 than the H-20, especially in the next ten or fifteen years or so, unless striking aimpoints in Hawaii or Australia is of equal or greater priority than hitting aimpoints in Guam and elsewhere on the Second Island Chain.
A lot of things are stealthier than a Tu-22M3, but a H-20 is not necessarily stealthier or less vulnerable than a J-36.
Moreover, if minimizing reaction time is the goal here, wouldn't it be more optimal to hit naval targets with HGV armed DF-17 and DF-27 missiles cued by airborne and orbital ISR assets?
@Jason_ had a graph of how the sixth gen fighters like J-36 and J-50 (carrier born) could hunt the B-21. Once the bombs are dropped and the B-21 exposed itself, a J-36, using its super cruise speed to catch the B-21, it then circle around the the possible area where the B-21 could be. searching for the B-21 using its side radar until it hits the angle of radar reflection for the B-21 and locates the B-21. I don't know how the B-21 can escape this sort of tactic. How do you use the B-21 under this environment?
B-21 is basically what you get taking a revolutionary design in B-2 and modernized + shrunk it. It was always meant to be a cheaper, lower risk platform.To be honest, against a long endurance, high speed J-36, I don't see how a B-21 survives unless its accompanied by J-36/US aircrafts
I explicitly called J-36 a "B-21 hunter". The moment B-21 is detected, (onboard sensors, surface sensors, space-based sensors, detected after payload launch etc), a forward deployed with long loiter time, J-36 CAP would quickly rush onto it and hunt it down. Between superior super cruise, kinematics and EW, I don't give high chance for the B-21 to survive
Don't take me wrong, B-21 is a good design for what it was originally envisioned to do and definitely something that the PLA must seriously take into account, but imo the US really need something to fight off a J-36
Well, DF-17 is range limited and DF-27s are in stock in limited numbers. And they will be facing strong counter measures from adversary to cause them to miss target. Hitting moving ships with strong counter measures while traveling at mach10 isn't easy.Moreover, if minimizing reaction time is the goal here, wouldn't it be more optimal to hit naval targets with HGV armed DF-17 and DF-27 missiles cued by airborne and orbital ISR assets?
That it can go so fast lets it impart a lot of energy on the weapons it uses, something a B-21 really can't. Not even F-35 does well at that. Plus whatever extra power generation hacks 5.5-6th gen in China's arsenal will have, since J-20S is 2 engine vs 1 on F-35.
America got royally screwed by the meta. If they had made B-21 as US version F-36, it might have flown before China's, and would have been a game changer the way US hoped B-21 would be. And China would be stuck only getting air parity after the J-36 drops. Instead they're now stuck with something that is basically a 5.5th gen only which will be hard to upgrade since it's a compact design with only 2 engines.
When your enemy doesn't have an all aspect broadband stealth flyer but you do, you get massive advantages. But if your enemy has a supercruising a2b2 stealth vs your subsonic, the massive advantages tilt back to the opponent.