So, how's the situation of the Iranian Air Force and Air Defenses so far?
I don't know why so many throughout history always make the mistake of thinking unprovoked attack on a country will turn their people against their own government, it literally has never happened that way and the opposite every single time.This is the show of morale I've been waiting for. I am seeing some hope. If Iran weathers the storm for the next few weeks and doesn't surrender, they have a chance.
I think we have to keep in mind a few things:
Claims israeli AD has been degraded enough that lawnmowers are starting to make it through
Counting 3,2,1. If the Iranian attack intensify and targeted civilian infrastructure then we will see a mass exodus , right now the settlers from the North and South has gone back to New York and many Israeli are having second thought about the Israel project. They're unlike the native Palestinians who have nowhere to go.Then are they flying away enmass?
This is not the same concept, there’s no boots on the ground on either side, nor is there any invading force quagmired in the opposing country. This is an air and missile war with casualties measured in the dozens or hundreds, you simply are not gonna deal anywhere near the amount of damage needed to force the respective population’s to express the level of discontent needed to put an end to this. Especially not when its a conflict measured in weeks. Every example of what you’re talking about took years. If Israel’s military is completely untouched in these strikes, they’re not gonna back down, they’ll just be emboldened to strike more targets in Iran. I dont think you realize the Israelis are determined to end this here and now. I mean the fact that they’ve been willing to face off against every proxy and Iran combined shows that only a response that deals significant damage to the Israeli military will give them any pause.Of course it can work, because Iran the goal is not to bomb Israel into submission, but simply for them to stop bombing Iran. The US couldn't bomb Vietnam into submission, but the Vietnamese could inflict enough pain to make the US withdraw. This is the same concept. The poorer, less powerful nation trying to inflict enough pain on the wealthier aggressor to stop being aggressive is very much a time-tested strategy.
Its an oil refinery per analysts and eyewitnessesPretty obvious something is burning in Haifa, possibly power plant.
Israel used up its stockpiles very early on in the Gaza Genocide. Soon after, it began receiving munitions from NATO on dozens of daily flights that haven't yet stopped.Based on open source data on Iranian and Israeli stockpiles and infrastructure, both sides have enough to deplete air defense and attack infrastructure. Iran has a deep magazine of MRBMs and Israel is small, while Israel has high persistence with short ranged bombs since it now has air superiority in Iran, though not air supremacy yet.
I think by the end of this war, both sides will have an extremely damaged economy and similar %losses.
Israelis also don't shy away from fleeing to their ancestral homelands in Europe. Since almost all Israelis (except the Arabs) are foreigners, they always have this option in the back of their heads, totally unlike Iranis.If you think that “optics” will lead to some sort of revolution, regime change, or international action in/against Israel, you’ve clearly not paid attention to the history of Israel over the last 40 years.
Israelis do not shy away from war and the world does not shy away from supplying them with weapons.
Hundreds of thousands flew away during the Gaza Genocide.Then are they flying away enmass?
Thats why these exchanges from a few days doesn't really tell the full picture. Its who can still stand well after at least 2 weeks that well tell more.
There is no proof for the cargo plane giving Iran weapons other than it might have turned off its transponder over IranIts an oil refinery per analysts and eyewitnesses
Israel used up its stockpiles very early on in the Gaza Genocide. Soon after, it began receiving munitions from NATO on dozens of daily flights that haven't yet stopped.
Israelis also don't shy away from fleeing to their ancestral homelands in Europe. Since almost all Israelis (except the Arabs) are foreigners, they always have this option in the back of their heads, totally unlike Iranis.
Hundreds of thousands flew away during the Gaza Genocide.
Closeup
Iron Dome is acting like Joe Biden
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This clip was posted couple pages ago but nobody caught the little detail (not even me): blackout!