The math of deescalation favors Iran though. Escalation likely hurts the US the most. Don’t forget US only built 900 or so THAAD interceptors so far.. 1500 if very very generous and we assume US has been “hiding its true power”
2025 Israel - Iranian conflict
- Thread starter Maikeru
- Start date
Still, in general Israel is quite used to this.
Problem isn't population I'd expect(it will only get angrier at being attacked), problem is international investors and visitors.
Israeli goal is to provoke Iran to go over the nuclear threshold, which is the trip wire that triggers US intervention to finish the job (i.e. regime change). At least that is the Zionist wishful thinking. A war can't be won with airpower or lobbing missiles alone, and the chance of diplomatic resolution has long passed.
Most of THAAD is in Guam and Saudi Arabia which can't be moved.
We know Trump has to think about midterms. That should factory into any analysis.
THAAD is a defense weapon. Here come the offense weapons: China's SCS Strategy Thread
I wonder if Trump will go for Israeli vote or the boycott Biden for Palestine vote.
Thats why these exchanges from a few days doesn't really tell the full picture. Its who can still stand well after at least 2 weeks that well tell more.
This is the show of morale I've been waiting for. I am seeing some hope. If Iran weathers the storm for the next few weeks and doesn't surrender, they have a chance.