2014 Ukrainian Maidan Revolt: News, Views, Photos & Videos

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delft

Brigadier
From
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US Secretary of State John Kerry has warned Russia could be ejected from the Group of Eight developed nations.

Russian President Vladimir Putin, he said, was "not going to have a Sochi G8, he may not even remain in the G8 if this continues," referring to a planned summit in Russia in June.

"He may find himself with asset freezes, on Russian business. American business may pull back, there may be a further tumble of the rouble.

"You just don't in the 21st Century behave in 19th Century fashion by invading another country on completely trumped-up pretext," Mr Kerry told the CBS program Face the Nation.
OT
Mr Kerry has a particularly short memory. He has already forgotten 2003.
With talk like this he makes himself and his office ridiculous.
 

delft

Brigadier
Also from the BBC site:
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Updated at 18:34 GMT
The newly appointed head of Ukraine's navy has sworn allegiance to the Crimea region, in the presence of its unrecognised pro-Russian leader.

I understand from this that the BBC doesn't recognize the leader of the Crimean regional government as later in the article he is identified by name.

Btw I saw several hours ago in a comment on a rabble rousing article from the Editorial Board of the Washington Post the remark that many Ukrainian soldiers are deserting.
 
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Equation

Lieutenant General
I have to admit it's hard to get the whole story with one news source these days. I have to watch RT, CCTV, and BBC just to get the whole picture of the story. There's so many right now online that it's hard to keep up.
 

chuck731

Banned Idiot
Although the Ukrainian Navy doesn't appear to be a very modern and large fleet to begin with, if there are any other defections, will they be of any significance? I guess that depends on any potential naval action and if there will be any western foreign intervention.


I think for now the impact will mainly be political. A Defection of Ukrainian naval chief and it's main warships shows the government in Kiev does not have the obedience of some of the major pillar required to support an truly independent state. So it raises doubts about whether the Kiev government is truly functional. Functionality is a major pillar of legitimacy.

A government, no matter how legitimate constitutionally, will have little true legitimacy in people's hearts if it can't convince its people it can function.

But this won't be a death blow, because while navy is a pillar of a functioning state, it is not a central pillar for a non maritime state. The Kiev government may yet drum up legitimacy by declaring what is happening in Crimea to be an invasion and rallying Ukrainian against it, sort of like how the nonfunctioning French revolutionary government bolstered its legitimacy by rallying against an alliance of European monarchies to reinstate the French king, despite the defection of officer corp of the ancien regime.
 
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delft

Brigadier
I think for now the impact will mainly be political. A Defection of Ukrainian naval chief and it's main warships shows the government in Kiev does not have the obedience of some of the major pillar required to support an truly independent state. So it raises doubts about whether the Kiev government is truly functional. Functionality is a major pillar of legitimacy.

A government, no matter how legitimate constitutionally, will have little true legitimacy in people's hearts if it can't convince its people it can function.

But this won't be a death blow, because while navy is a pillar of a functioning state, it is not a central pillar for a non maritime state. The Kiev government may yet drum up legitimacy by declaring what is happening in Crimea to be an invasion and rallying Ukrainian against it, sort of like how the nonfunctioning French revolutionary government bolstered its legitimacy by rallying against an alliance of European monarchies to reinstate the French king, despite the defection of officer corp of the ancien regime.
As they installed themselves it will really be difficult for them to be accepted as legitimate by the population. Especially after the loss of a large part of the navy and probably half the army. Who would risk his life for this rabble?

On a side note the Dutch politician who is probably better known outside his country than any other, Geert Wilders, has declared that the EU "knowingly" increased the trouble in Ukraine ( I translate from a Dutch web site ). He is opposed to Dutch membership of the EU.
 

Rutim

Banned Idiot
As they installed themselves it will really be difficult for them to be accepted as legitimate by the population. Especially after the loss of a large part of the navy and probably half the army. Who would risk his life for this rabble?
They'll never come back or see their country again. If Crimea will be Ukranian in the future they won't ever see their houses, friends, won't ever meet with their families in Ukraine. If that was a war and they would be re-captured by Ukrainian forces they could (and some of them perhaps should) be shot dead.
But this won't be a death blow, because while navy is a pillar of a functioning state, it is not a central pillar for a non maritime state. The Kiev government may yet drum up legitimacy by declaring what is happening in Crimea to be an invasion and rallying Ukrainian against it
lol, Russian troops trying to take over military bases like on the video I posted below there are doing what? How do you call it? They aren't firing yet but surely those are some disturbing shots. This is what Ukrainians should do in this case - just don't let the Russian troops enter into the bases for now.

[video=youtube;2Ib1pvoWZGA]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Ib1pvoWZGA[/video]

I'm pretty sure that Polish and Slovak troops are placed near their borders with Ukraine by now.
 
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delft

Brigadier
The same web site I mentioned in the previous post pointed me to an article in the German paper Handelsblatt:
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Several German bankers and economists are cites who are concerned about the effects of this crisis outside Ukraine. They are afraid that the trouble will damage the economies of the EU countries and of countries all over the World.
The most remarkable I think is this from Prof. Max Otte from Worms university:
Die Einschnürung Russlands durch den Westen hat das Potenzial zu einer ganz, ganz großen Krise, die weit über das ökonomische hinausgeht
I translate:
The containment of Russia by the West has the potential for a very, very large crisis that far exceeds the economy.
 

chuck731

Banned Idiot
As they installed themselves it will really be difficult for them to be accepted as legitimate by the population. Especially after the loss of a large part of the navy and probably half the army. Who would risk his life for this rabble?

On a side note the Dutch politician who is probably better known outside his country than any other, Geert Wilders, has declared that the EU "knowingly" increased the trouble in Ukraine ( I translate from a Dutch web site ). He is opposed to Dutch membership of the EU.


Nonsense. Every last legitimate government in the world traces its ancestry and ultimately owes its existence to an earlier government that installed itself without contemporary legitimacy and subsequently gained legitimacy.

Every titled and ennobled house in the world of governments is the descendant of a bastard. The difference is once they acquire a coat of arms they rewrite their family history.
 

delft

Brigadier
I'm pretty sure that Polish and Slovak troops are placed near their borders with Ukraine by now.

Well, if they or Hungarian troops, which I also saw mentioned in this context, were to cross the border Russia will feel the Responsibility to Protect. It will reason that it cannot allow forces from other countries rampaging in the Ukraine while that country doesn't have a legitimate and functioning government.
 

delft

Brigadier
Nonsense. Every last legitimate government in the world traces its ancestry and ultimately owes its existence to an earlier government that installed itself without contemporary legitimacy and subsequently gained legitimacy.

Every titled and ennobled house in the world of governments is the descendant of a bastard. The difference is once they acquire a coat of arms they rewrite their family history.
Quite true. I agree wholly. But the first in the line has to live, at least at the beginning, with the thought in the heads of the neighbors and in many of the heads of its own population that they are illegitimate. The only remedy is traditionally violence which in this particular case might not be available in sufficient measure.
 
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