Come on, refer to our other discussion regarding future PLAN composition and minimal deterrence!
I do recall that dicsussion (the few posts in this thread here:
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/future-use-of-plan-carriers.t8313/page-8), but I don't think we discussed what kind of numerical superiority China may or may not be facing in the future timeframe. I think we went over the orbat that the PLAN may have by the mid 2030s, but didn't really go into detail about what kind of opfor they would be stacked up against.
Or at least, I don't recall going over it in much detail or even considering the countries involved etc.
If we are only talking about numbers, the PLAN would obviously be up there as they have a large number of small combatants like corvettes and FACs, but that doesn't technically mean such a force would be more capable of launching saturation attacks compared to a smaller number of larger combatants like frigates or destroyers.
OTOH, saturation attacks also involve non-naval combatants including aircraft both carrier based and land based, and the PLA have a large number of maritime capable strikers and bombers as well, arguably one of the largest if not the largest in the region.
So I suppose for the purposes of discussion, I'd argue for two main points:
1: PLAN technically do have
numerical superiority in terms of naval assets even today compared to other regional navies, and even in terms of combined navies to a degree. But in terms of overall combat capability obviously that is not currently the case.
2: Having a larger or smaller force of naval assets do not capture the ability to launch a saturation attack alone, as various non-naval assets like land based aircraft, missiles as well as ISR assets are very important as well.