The answer would be yes. Clearly China is not ready to serial produce 055s, thus only 052Ds. And you've identified the Chinese Navy as having quite an inventory of obsolete ships. So serial productions of 056, 054A, 052D is the catchup aspect. But what platform is pushing the technological envelope to further increase the overall modernization and capability of the CN? That's where acquiring a few 055s come into play. Some of the developments there could even reverse flow back into an 052E. When the 055s mature to a point where they are in serial production, it probably be 055Bs or even 055Cs.
That entirely depends on how advanced 055 is.
052D introduced a new VLS, an arguably new radar and a new main gun, probably among a host of other internal electronics and processing changes as well, yet the PLAN are confident enough to serially produce them off the bat.
Depending on how advanced 055 is (and no one expects a PLAN zumwalt), they could very well serially produce 055s.
The only major challenge I foresee would be propulsion, and that's only if the ship uses IEPS.
Yet the UK serially produced Type 45, and that was using a new propulsion system for the Royal Navy too.
The trend for future combatants is to orient to a "payloads" strategy -- that is to say, a relatively conventional and even old hull design, if stocked with more modern subsystems, will still be a competitive ship.
So you don't need to produce a pair of super expensive Zumwalt like 055s to make a generational leap over existing capabilities, but rather you can develop one subsystem and then another and integrate them onto each new ship as needed, thus providing less risk for each ship class, as well as less lag time between construction of new vessels leading to less depreciation of fleet numbers.
That's not a given if you're projecting the 055 to have more powerful command control capabilities with double the VLS cells. There's also the propulsion system and sonar to consider if the 055 is supposed to be superior in all aspects to the 052D.
Yes, but all new ships inevitably introduce new systems and subsystems, yet that hasn't dissuaded most other nations to serially produce new vessels. Zumwalt is actually in serial production, but they're only stopping at 3 because of cost. If 055 reuses a host of existing subsystems as rumoured (namely radar, gun, ciws, VLS) that could dramatically shorten development, especially compared to ships which use all new subsystems like Zumwalt and Type 45, and indeed Type 052C.
I just don't see a CVBG deployed anytime soon in the Indian Ocean or off the coast of Africa anytime soon but a single or pair of frigate/destroyers yes. As you've already acknowledged, the 055 is suppose to offer better endurance and capability which is why I see the single, distant solo missions as more of the driving need for 055 development than CVBG needs. Let's not forget the carrier itself offers CCC in a battle group as well. Nothing prevents what CCC is developed in the 055 program to be installed on the Liaoning. Anyway, that's just my $0.02. Cheers.
I see, I have a few points:
Yes, CGs inevitably offer greater endurance and range over DDGs, but their main advantage is additional firepower and command/control and having provision for an admiral to plant his flag. It is the latter aspects of capability the PLAN would be interested in.
Also, even if the PLAN is deploying a CVBG off the coast of africa, they technically don't need a cruiser -- that is to say, with refuelling and resupply, FFGs and DDGs can last as long as a CG. What a CG offers in spades is greater combat capability, better C2, etc which I've already listed. A notional 055 is only necessary for a future fleet because of the highly capable enemies the PLAN are expected to face, both regionally within the second island chain and globally as well.
There is also no need for the PLAN to send a 12,000 ton CG to Aden as part of a two ship flotilla. Such a taskforce would only be used to combat pirates, and you don't need such a ship to intercept and check out longboats. A pair of 054As can do the job just as good and more cost effectively.
Another way to look at why the PLAN needs larger ships is simply to look at why regional navies like ROKN and JMSDF acquire such large aegis destroyers like sejong, kongo and atago. They acquire them for their combat capability, not for their endurance. They don't face pressing global commitments or even global foes, and will only operate locally in any conflict relevant to their nations. Yes they
can do patrols of aden for extended periods in two ship or even single ship taskforces, but will they? There's no reason to when smaller destroyers can do the job just as well.
That same rationale works for the PLAN. Only difference is, the PLAN will actually seek to project power dramatically more as the 21st century progresses, but again, that doesn't entail a need for CGs as DDGs and even FFGs can last on deployments equally as long.
Basically, I believe your premise as to why PLAN needs CGs is a bit flawed, but I'd be open to hear clarifications if my perception was incorrect
