This is a huge underestimate !
2025: 3 carriers.
2030: 7 carriers.
2035: 11 carriers.
That isn't realistic
This is a huge underestimate !
2025: 3 carriers.
2030: 7 carriers.
2035: 11 carriers.
I disagree. That is not good enough.
The Chinese economy is global. China is the number one importer of resources. Here are a few examples:
Iron ore from Australia and Brazil
Copper from Congo and Chile
Crude oil from Iran and Saudi Arabia
The Chinese economy cannot survive if its supply of critical resources are cut off. The US navy can starve China into submission by comfortably sitting out at the 3rd island chain and either disrupt these supply lines or outright shut it down. The PLA-navy having absolute control of the 1st and 2nd island chain, although a good start, is not good enough.
The PLA-navy must develop the capacity to fight and win at least up to the 3rd island chain, yes that includes Hawaii and Alaska.
I can't remember if they lengthened it between when it was a STOBAR representing CV-16/17, and when it was CATOBAR representing CV-18... I have a feeling that they didn't lengthen it.
If they didn't lengthen it, then it wouldn't be a surprise if they didn't lengthen it for the current/suspected CVN representative conversion either.
edit:
An estimate on GE of eyeballing the flight deck width, based on the extended flight deck width on the starboard side, which looks like it is "in line" with the building near that intersection (circled red).
I am quite comfortably getting 78m, maybe even 79 or 80m, all of which are of course rather large, and puts it in the same flight deck width as Ford. The overall flight deck geometry obviously will determine how much flight deck area it has to work with.
And here's what a Ford looks like next to it, assuming both have the same maximal flight deck width of 78m at their respective widest points, bookended with their bows at the common point.
Edit: also added CV-18, scaled the same way
That aft/rear area with the foundations on the current revised mockup does look reasonably like where a smaller more aft placed island would go, and it also naturally would imply that there is a substantial part of the aft hull and flight deck which is not structurally represented on the mockup (reasonable)
from where u got that info?004 and 005 will be started at the same time, but one is conventional and the other is nuclear.
The Ford is the practical size limit for the US Navy because of the existing shipyard infrastructure.
An example would the graving dock at Newport News Shipbuilding where US carriers are built. It is 340 metres long so the Nimitz and Ford barely fit. And I don't see the US building out a larger shipbuilding dock.
In comparison, there are multiple Chinese shipyards capable of building 400 metre long ships. That includes Jiangnan, Dalian, Waigaoqiao, GSI, etc
Given what we've seen of the J-36, we can expect a Chinese 6th gen naval aircraft to be as large as practically possible, with the engines and the carrier size/deck being the key limitations. My **guess** is a twin-engine design with MTOW of 40-45 tonnes, somewhat heavier than a J-20.
And given that carriers have a 50 year lifespan and the trend towards ever larger aircraft, how big is a future 7th Gen going to be? Presumably they would be in service circa 2040-2045, when the carriers are early in their service life.
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So it just makes sense to build to as large a "standard" as possible, right at the beginning.
As per Yankee's podcast below, if a 150K tonne carrier is 1.8-2x more combat effective than a 100K Nimitz-type, but the cost is only slightly/moderately higher, it makes a lot of sense to go with 150K tonne carriers as the future China standard.
As per Lethe's previous post, the US Navy estimated that a scaled up Nimitz which is 130K tonnes displacement would be 362-370metres long. So a 150K Chinese carrier should be comfortably less than 400metres long and be capable of fitting into existing shipyard infrastructure.
And I would also point out that the Chinese Navy has previously had a surface warship design philosophy of simultaneously ordering 1 proven design and 1 more speculative design to test, before committing to a design.
Yankee in boardcast. 004 is conventional power and it may be the sister ship of 003. 005 Nuclear super carrier is given to the North.from where u got that info?
Yankee in boardcast. 004 is conventional power and it may be the sister ship of 003. 005 Nuclear super carrier is given to the North.
Modern US aircraft carriers do not fit through the Panama Canal. The last type that made the transit, at least to my awareness had been the Essex class. The Iowa class BBs were the last major warships built specifically to fit through the existing locks.I don't buy that Ford size represents the highest limit of carrier size, it's stated nowhere by either USN or PLAN theorists to be like that. The only reason it is the highest limit of size for US is because they're limited by Panama passage limit.