00X/004 future nuclear CATOBAR carrier thread

asif iqbal

Lieutenant General
Once 4 CATOBAR carriers enter service it may be more practical to use 001 and 002 for ASW roles considering that USN submarines will be the main threat to all PLAN ativity or the next 20 years. That would mean limiting fighter complement to 1 squadron (12 or perhaps 16 fighters) and increasing the number of ASW helicopters. Fighters should be sufficient to extend air cover beyond range of escort's SAMs.

No they will defiantly not be using CV-16 and CV-17 for ASW that's why Carriers don't operate alone but rather with Escorts
 

CannedFish

New Member
Registered Member
No they will defiantly not be using CV-16 and CV-17 for ASW that's why Carriers don't operate alone but rather with Escorts
I think he means they'll be using CV-16 & CV-17 to carry mainly ASW helicopters to hunt down subs. Yes the escorts can do that too but the STOBARs can send off more and cover more area that way. Also, who sends out carriers without escort, that's a given.
 

3SonsAndaPhD

New Member
Registered Member
First of all, called it. I made the conclusion of no sister 003 and nuclear 004 a year ago. It was based on developmemt of niclear engine and the fact no 003 clone was built long after fitting out finished.

My next prediction is after 004, China will shift from 1 to 2 carriers under construction a time. And if they are super ambitious, 2 004 a time. This is the logical conclusion if they want Taiwan in 2030s. Ships go from build to service ready in cycles of 4 years.

If 004 finish build by 2028, 005 start construction. If batch of 2, they are ready to fight by 2032. 2nd batch 005 ready by 2035, faster if they can rush ships of matured design.

2025: 3 carriers.
2028: 4
2031: 6
2034/2035: 8

By 2035 China can gather a combined carrier fleet comparable to US.

This is a huge underestimate !

2025: 3 carriers.
2030: 7 carriers.
2035: 11 carriers.
 

charles18

Junior Member
Registered Member
And if China carriers (with land-based air) can win blue-water naval battles in the Guam area, then the Western Pacific has been sealed off from the USA and China has effectively won.
I disagree. That is not good enough.

The Chinese economy is global. China is the number one importer of resources. Here are a few examples:
Iron ore from Australia and Brazil
Copper from Congo and Chile
Crude oil from Iran and Saudi Arabia

The Chinese economy cannot survive if its supply of critical resources are cut off. The US navy can starve China into submission by comfortably sitting out at the 3rd island chain and either disrupt these supply lines or outright shut it down. The PLA-navy having absolute control of the 1st and 2nd island chain, although a good start, is not good enough.
The PLA-navy must develop the capacity to fight and win at least up to the 3rd island chain, yes that includes Hawaii and Alaska.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Yes. Though the actual ships would be longer.

I can't remember if they lengthened it between when it was a STOBAR representing CV-16/17, and when it was CATOBAR representing CV-18... I have a feeling that they didn't lengthen it.

If they didn't lengthen it, then it wouldn't be a surprise if they didn't lengthen it for the current/suspected CVN representative conversion either.


edit:

An estimate on GE of eyeballing the flight deck width, based on the extended flight deck width on the starboard side, which looks like it is "in line" with the building near that intersection (circled red).

I am quite comfortably getting 78m, maybe even 79 or 80m, all of which are of course rather large, and puts it in the same flight deck width as Ford. The overall flight deck geometry obviously will determine how much flight deck area it has to work with.

E8FMBcY.png



And here's what a Ford looks like next to it, assuming both have the same maximal flight deck width of 78m at their respective widest points, bookended with their bows at the common point.
Edit: also added CV-18, scaled the same way

That aft/rear area with the foundations on the current revised mockup does look reasonably like where a smaller more aft placed island would go, and it also naturally would imply that there is a substantial part of the aft hull and flight deck which is not structurally represented on the mockup (reasonable)

0bXoNLr.png
 
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Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
I disagree. That is not good enough.

The Chinese economy is global. China is the number one importer of resources. Here are a few examples:
Iron ore from Australia and Brazil
Copper from Congo and Chile
Crude oil from Iran and Saudi Arabia

The Chinese economy cannot survive if its supply of critical resources are cut off. The US navy can starve China into submission by comfortably sitting out at the 3rd island chain and either disrupt these supply lines or outright shut it down. The PLA-navy having absolute control of the 1st and 2nd island chain, although a good start, is not good enough.
The PLA-navy must develop the capacity to fight and win at least up to the 3rd island chain, yes that includes Hawaii and Alaska.
China is self sufficient on all those things by itself and in oil/gas with Russia. It will just be marginally more expensive. And they have the time to embark on a mass buildup even after the war starts.

Sitting outside the 3rd island chain attacking shipping is no smart move, because that's conceding all the wealth and resources in Asia to the PLA. Just by plundering US allies in Asia, China would likely initially massively improve it's economy, not experience a downturn.

Honestly until 6th generation fighters are deployed on a CV, the role of PLA CV will mainly be focused on deterring third world nations, just like US can realistically only use them like that. And for that, China only needs a few. US after all only deployed 3 CVs at a time against Iraq, which China today can nearly match in firepower if they throw in the 076 to boost the 2 STOBAR carriers.

Imo China will find a CVN design capable of well accomandating future 6th gen operation, then use it as their main fleet model. But until then, they aim to have no more than ~5-6 CVs.
 
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