China ICBM/SLBM, nuclear arms thread

[ACuriousPLAFan]

Taiwan confirms JL-2 was launched from SCS, not Bohai Sea.

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Provided that his claim is true - You meant just now, not earlier this noon (when the missile was actually launched from Bohai)?

@Kalec perhaps this is the second SL-ICBM test for today? Though so far, I haven't seen anyone on the Chinese side talking about it. The track seems to be similar to the other (standby) path shown earlier, though I'm still quitedoubtful about the veracity of this.

 

[hkvaryag]

Taiwan confirms JL-2 was launched from SCS, not Bohai Sea.

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Why do you trust in an "Always Liar"?

 

[Tomboy]

Why do you trust in an "Always Liar"?

There might be some truth to it, all the pictures today are apparently from photographers under southern theater not northern. While it's not impossible that photographers were reassigned to the north for this but it seems quite strange for them to do this.

 

[00CuriousObserver]

Kawaii Dolphin says it's actually from the north, and Joseph Wu is just doing a publicity stunt.

 

[Maikeru]

Interesting thread by Decker Eveleth. Likely the test was planned long in advance and was not some sort of signalling exercise:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2074165703477711251

 

[Blitzo]

Interesting thread by Decker Eveleth. Likely the test was planned long in advance and was not some sort of signalling exercise:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2074165703477711251

I think most people who know anything about ICBM tests would have surmised that to begin with, we hardly need Eveleth to convey that.

The idea that it is some sort of short term signalling intent is non-serious to begin with.

 

[Kalum Pupeter]

I criticize the boomers who rule the PRC 99% of the time, but always because I want to see the country do better. This is exactly what we want to see: more fighting spirit and less bureaucratic blabber. Congratulations, Xi. Finally, you're doing something. That's a rarity. Now expand this approach to other fronts and do it far more often: trade, technology, industrial policy, and beyond. It's time to move beyond Confucian complacency and embrace the spirit of Shang Yang.

 

[ismellcopium]

I think most people who know anything about ICBM tests would have surmised that to begin with, we hardly need Eveleth to convey that.

The idea that it is some sort of short term signalling intent is non-serious to begin with.

I always cringe when I see these types like Decker, Tom Shugart etc post 100% serious "rebuttals" to braindead strawman tier opinions that shouldn't even need to be refuted (but which aren't actually strawmen since even dumber analysts somehow unironically articulated them) like it makes them sound very professional or something. Just worthless noise.

 

[scooter123]

中国已向新西兰和澳大利亚通报了即将进行的试验。

你从哪里得到的消息说日本是在发射后30分钟才收到简报？

Insult deleted by a moderator & strict warning issued!!

Someone earlier said it was the JL-2, and I went “nope nope nope, it’s the JL-3”. Is there anything wrong with that? Are you blind?你是傻逼吗 前边有人说是JL-2 我说nonono JL-3 有问题吗 你是眼睛瞎了么？？

 

[Wrought]

I always cringe when I see these types like Decker, Tom Shugart etc post 100% serious "rebuttals" to braindead strawman tier opinions that shouldn't even need to be refuted (but which aren't actually strawmen since even dumber analysts somehow unironically articulated them) like it makes them sound very professional or something. Just worthless noise.

The funny part is that they are very professional in relative terms, because as you said, there are folks unironically articulating braindead crap. And by folks I mean credentialed and/or uniformed would-be experts who really should know better, not random online morons.