The problem is, with Iran they don't have years to carryout their plans. Also, Iran can hit back in a way countries like Iraq or Syria couldn't.
2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis
- Thread starter plawolf
- Start date
Exactly that. Simply a bloody nose, but that won't stop the Imperial Terror since the whole existence of Empire is based on having to attack, smash and dominate others. Those who are still not broken and on their knees, will always be considered a "threat" to the Empire.
It is simply how a predator operates. Everyone has to be a "lamb" the Empire can eat. Or else, it's a "threat" to the Empire if one is not a "lamb".
So yeah, they will replenish losses much faster than Iran. And as you correctly pointed out, GCC regimes are the ones taking the heat. The U.S. could not care less, because it is not U.S. territory, even though it is U.S. bases, it is still not the continental U.S. or Alaska or Hawaii. It's "just GCC" - an area that U.S. finds funny and great to wage war between GCC area and Iran. It is that simple.
Iran doesn't have the ability to strike the Imperial controlled territory. There are only 3 out of almost 200 countries in this world that have that ability - PRC, Russia and DPRK, and the Empire is working every day on how to also reduce the number 3, down to a number 0.
But first, "lambs" must be slaughtered, such as Iran. Lamb can bite, but biting doesn't mean it can win, unfortunately.
They have started bombing Iran quite a lot since June 2025, as it hasn't been even a year, and they have carried out "two rounds" against Iran, and right now - preparing for a round 3.
The Empire is definitely speeding up. We are not going to see 1986 - 2011 or 1991 - 2003 gaps as they seem to be ready to pound Iran with round 3.
I should have mentioned Venezuela as well. They also tried a coup against Venezuela in early 2000s, but they waited until now, to make Venezuela submit. Of course, with brutal sanctions in between 2000s and now.
But they are speeding up, and the most important thing to learn from this is that there is NEVER just "one round". Always several - until someone truly brutally dies in high numbers or submits and the Imperial troops haven't died in large numbers since Korea and Vietnam, so usually, Empire wins and has been winning since late 1980s for sure, after they destroyed USSR and many other countries since then.
It's actually in the US's interest that the GCC and Iran blow up each others' oilwells. The US's relative global influence grows by virtue of being an oil producer. If you consider the US capturing Maduro and the recent Ukrainian hits on Russian oil industry, the grand strategic picture is pretty obvious.
This is a very rare opportunity of gathering, maybe 70~80% of what's available US firepower and forces into 1 conflict. And if you are US adversaries, very rare for you to hit them all at 1 go to cripple this force, which will set them back 1 or 2 decades(I say 1 or 2....it will take time for US to rebuilt and it has the luxury to rebuilt, time, geography situation etc, don't be naive, it definitely will). It's like the last call of old war horses gathering. Maybe Russia or China "tempted" to give the right tool/guidance, where we already have the vehicle (Iran) like Nato using Ukraine to deplete the Russian industry and military capability. Iran to deplete US forces. Iran has demonstrated the 4000km hitting capability. Means, any ships, forces within this vicinity can be hit theoretically, with the right "adjustment" of guidance, sensor interception avoidance, flight path, materials coating and a little mini computer brain in the missile computation. Ability to take out, the carriers, you have 2 or 3 juicy targets, the refuelers ships and the couple of Arleighbuker III (the more modern version). Get the North Korean to sent their mini subs on Russian Antonov to send in 2 or 3 per flight mini sub package in a cargo, a 2~3 man mini subs armed with the torpedo special operation to take those ships out, China can sent the export version CM302 on spec 300km, but after some "tuning" the real hidden spec 400km...like how the Indian Rafales jet were surprise by PL-15E where on paper 145km range, but real world performance killed the Rafale on ~200km range. The all seeing eye of the Chinese satellites, even the commercial grade version has pin point all the available US ships in the vicinities, maybe the Iranian paid a little subscription fees to the Chinese, they get the "AI" software package and paid the Chinese developers to add in Farsi language translation (give them a little overtime work pay)...therefore they can use the AI features of the commercial satellites to give summaries, points, flight path, ship path, categorization and even predictive/forecast next position of those in Farsi language.....doesn't cost much to a Chinese software developers....and when US started their surprise AI suggested attack/landing on Iran......then BOOOOM!!!! The Iran counter attack wiped out the US gathering forces, ships, planes, ground troops, command centers at 1 go within 2~3 hours which they didn't even know what hit them....BAM!!!! even some new type of weapons/missiles not seen before or model by Pentagon in their AI Palantir system.....fireworks!
This also perfectly explained the nice little letter the Trump wrote to his buddy Xi......about China not supplying weapons to the Iranians that I read recently. How nice of Trump to write letters to his pen pal in Beijing President Xi....and President Xi reply, they will not supply Iranian the weapons.....
Trump is a betting man, and from his 70 years of all his life is a bet.....each time he bets, are big bets, he may lost 3 or 4 times all his big bets.....but 1 big bets can recover them all. This is his life lesson. He has gone so many bankruptcies, but each time he has willing donors/banks trusted his sweet scamming talks and give him the opportunity to bet again.....each bet is big until he recovers it all. Kindly like the martingale betting system, bet 2, lost it, doubles it bet 4....lost it, doubles it bet 8...lost doubles it....bet 16......and there are willing donors (the AIPAC control financiers, BlackRock, Military Industrial Complex, the Pro US Arabs UAE....keep pumping in to his bet, lets double...lets double...lets double....to win it all at the end). This can explain all his risky moves that he has taken. The idea of land and grab Uranium....is very bold idea and a big bet......and fits his nature of decision that he will make. His Generals probably advice him against it (thus so many firings of the Generals) but knowing Trump's nature and his 70 years of life experience......big bets....let go for all...Glory or None....if he succeeded, it will turns around everything, his midterm, his popularity, his legacy, so on, so forth....big bets. Even his survival of an assasination is a big bet itself.....he's gonna try...although now when you look at his face, the same beeming, confidence smile is gone, the worry, the fear, the mounting losses is showing in his expression, but the inside..the core heart and soul of Trump's for all his 70 years of living on this Earth.....that BIG BET is there....as long the fundings/backing behind has not exhausted to give him all...he will do that GRAND BIG BET....so don't be surprise guys...this will all goes out with a BANG!! And please put that personalities of the leader (human in the loop) to the Palantir AI system and compute....Grand Show!
Maybe they are pulling out commercial ships from the Hormuz for an inevitable large scale amphibious assault and ground invation.
Taliban didn't submit.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
And the west has demonstrated in no uncertain terms how easily and quickly all that wealth and assets can be stripped from them with their treatment of Russia. If they can rob Russia like that, a nuclear power with significantly more power, confiscating all the Gulf states wealth in the west is taking Candy from a baby in comparison.
It would be lunacy of the highest order to know that risk and continue to pile all your eggs into that one basket.
It’s kinda amusing you can say that with a straight face after all that is happening!
The USA is proving itself to be by far the biggest security threat the Gulf States have ever dreamed of. And that despite the fact that the Gulf states are fully invested in the US security alliances, with U.S. bases and assets on their soil at great monetary and political costs. They literally cannot be any more closely aligned to US interests and still unilateral US action is literally threatening the very foundation of their way of life and continues survival.
It takes a special kind of ‘logic’ to be so comprehensively burnt and betrayed by an arrangement that overwhelmingly benefits the other party and decide doubling down up to deepen that relationship is the best strategy to guard against future similar betrayals.
An obvious logical fallacy that what happened in the past will forever repeat into the future. As for the coup’s comment, again, that’s actually often the political costs that results from adherence to the deeply unpopular pro-American and Israeli positions that you are advocating.
Have you considered the possibility that the Gulf leaders wouldn’t need to be so worried about internal coups and unrest if they just abandon their slavish obedience of American and Israeli demands that is often the root cause of their internal security problems?
Thats entirely illogical and is basically circular reasoning.
solarz
Brigadier
Looks like the PLAN is on the move. Gulf of Aiden is only 2-3 days away from the Strait. Far enough to stay out of the fighting, close enough to take action if need arises.