PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

00CuriousObserver

Junior Member
Registered Member
“”“Tony教官”“” lmao

It's funny how many people take him at face value just because of his experience in the US military and DoD.

That said, I'm convinced their (and other similar YouTubers') primary objective is to boost confidence in the ROCA—even if that means the use of misinformation. Which, frankly, I can see the need of such a strategy for them.
How very Ukrainian of these guys! Basically sounds like:

> We can win . . . so long as you are confident and courageous enough to write us a blank check!
They know that ROCA is nothing, so they can only sanctify the US military and pray that the US military can solve all problems (which it can't). Then they transfer this worship to individual US military personnel, and through the individual's deliberate "affirmation" of ROCA, they create the illusion that ROCA is working again, forming a closed loop.

In all fairness, I can understand it. After all, the military is doing a task that is mostly set out by the political leaders, and psyops are very much a part of the job. And it's not like the mainland doesn't do similar things in principle.
 

00CuriousObserver

Junior Member
Registered Member
A RORO ferry has docked with the second barge. Via @foolsball

View attachment 148384

While these trainings are happening, we see more amphibious ships in the area (and other major combatants, not sure if related)

LoEFEcj.png





Unrelated but a super long bridge barge, ~200m. Not sure about time and location

M8JsyPW.png
 

zyklon

Junior Member
Registered Member
In all fairness, I can understand it. After all, the military is doing a task that is mostly set out by the political leaders, and psyops are very much a part of the job. And it's not like the mainland doesn't do similar things in principle.

What makes these sorts of psychological operations, if that's how we're to characterize them, problematic to say the least is that they do not target an enemy or adversary, but rather the domestic population and political constituents of an "ally."
 

tokenanalyst

Brigadier
Registered Member
If China shows mercy and doesn't fight with Taiwan, many brainwashed Taiwanese only think that's a sign of weakness, rather than being grateful.
I am seeing that Taiwan is getting more and more divided, the DPP is getting more desperate and tyrannical. So you want a good chunk of the population, probably more than half, in your "side" so to speak, in fact i do think the casus belli could be the liberation of the "pro-china" population. The problem I have is IF the conflict is not resolved quickly that island will be destroyed and probably never recover.
 

bsdnf

Junior Member
Registered Member
Regarding barges, ShiLao and Yankee also explained the advantages of barges from the perspective of stability: In the past, shore-to-ship connectors relied on buoyancy. This means: 1. Damage to the hull and reduced buoyancy means that it loses its function, which make it very vulnerable to weather or firepower. The barge is connected to the seabed, attacking the hull cannot sink it, since it is no longer a ship, but a structure similar to a gravity dam, you have to blow up the pillars. But PLA can even pour cement into the pillars and sink them semi-permanently on the coast, which really becomes a dam. Now, try to blow it up

Ayi: The more reliable method I can think of is to use an unmanned boat filled with tons of explosives. ROCA’s current counter measures of it is a bit like the Ukrainian army in Kherson dealing with the Antonovsky Bridge, using HIMARS ATACMs to fight quick-drying cement. The problem is that there are many Antonovsky bridges now.

2. Traditional piers will shake up and down, which is very unstable. Vehicles can only move forward at a "parade-like" speed, and the unloading speed is very slow. If the vehicle is mishandled and falls directly into the water, at least it will not affect the landing queue. If it is lying across the piers, it will be very difficult to deal with. There is no such concern on the barge, and the vehicle can go down the bridge at normal speed.
 
Last edited:

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
In a word, these barges offer PLAGF excellent fast & heavy support capability, that they can quickly transport several heavy combined battalions (about hundreds of heavy vehicles, including 99A tanks & HQ-XX SAMs) to any unexpected/weakly-defended coast in an hour, then quickly maneuver along coastal highways. When enemy discovers the penetration, it's already too late.
This is the capacity Russians failed to have when they tried to take Antonov Airport on D-day of the Ukraine War, finally leading to VDV's lose. Following fast heavy equipment support capacity directly decides the result of D-day's airborne and special operations.

Guancha Trios also pointed out that when finding these barges dock at shore, enemy will try every long-range weapon (like ATACMS) to destroy them. However, they'll finally find these barges very hard to destroy. With multiple underwater support rods, these barges are very similar to real concrete bridges, they won't sink easily.
An addendum here:

Regarding the design of the operation to assault Hostomel airport, it appears that an initial assault was planned with undersized troops for the area to be conquered. Hostomel airport has a perimeter of approximately 10 km and an area of about 3 km², and the first-tier Russian troops had only 300 soldiers who, although elite, would not be able to occupy the main points of the airfield. The Russian maneuver, therefore, depended on the arrival of the main troops in cargo planes, and was extremely risky. The rendering of the runway useless by Ukrainian artillery prevented the arrival of the troops responsible for conquering and maintaining the airport.

To date, however, it is not known why Russia did not carry out an airborne assault with parachutes instead of an assault landing with planes, since the Russian units, in theory, would have had the training and equipment to do so. The deployment of the 72nd Ukrainian Mechanized Brigade may have prevented the operation from continuing, as recommended in Western doctrine.

Another aspect considered relevant that differentiates it from comparisons with a possible PLA operation in Taiwan is that in this operation the long distance planned for the airborne assault was approximately 160 km (150 km from Chojniki and 172 km from Mazyr). One of the limitations of airborne assault operations is the high consumption of aviation fuel, limiting the depth of the airborne assault, in principle, to 100 km, a condition that was not observed by Russia. The distance of the assault in Hostomel was also far from the reach of the higher-echelon field artillery.
 

AndrewJ

Junior Member
Registered Member
In Russia's case, rear fire support to first batch of landing troops is none.
But in Taiwan's case, fire support to the chosen landing coast could be very easy, massive, & precise. Not only from mainland MLRS, but most decisively from sea. Many warships & marine aircraft can offer direct fire suppression to coastal enemies, covering friend troops to field barges & transport large numbers of heavy vehicles to shore.
 

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
In Russia's case, rear fire support to first batch of landing troops is none.
But in Taiwan's case, fire support to the chosen landing coast could be very easy, massive, & precise. Not only from mainland MLRS, but most decisively from sea. Many warships & marine aircraft can offer direct fire suppression to coastal enemies, covering friend troops to field barges & transport large numbers of heavy vehicles to shore.
The PLA can have MLRS support from the mainland;
MLRS support from amphibious ships like here:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

MLRS support from Taiwan's islands west of the coast that are very close
 

Neurosmith

Junior Member
Registered Member
In Russia's case, rear fire support to first batch of landing troops is none.
But in Taiwan's case, fire support to the chosen landing coast could be very easy, massive, & precise. Not only from mainland MLRS, but most decisively from sea. Many warships & marine aircraft can offer direct fire suppression to coastal enemies, covering friend troops to field barges & transport large numbers of heavy vehicles to shore.
If you require substantial fire support for your troops when it is time for them to land, then something has gone awry with your operation in the first place. All opposing assets that remain a major threat to your troops should've been dealt with before you put boots on the ground.
 

bsdnf

Junior Member
Registered Member
Interesting theory: Due to the poor sea & road conditions on the east coast of Taiwan, the Huadong Defense Command responsible for guarding the area has less than 6,000 troops and a small number of armored vehicles, mainly to prevent PLA air assaults and airborne landings at airports and ports. The Hualien Airport and port itself is very vulnerable to amphibious landings, but due to poor sea conditions, the window for amphibious landings is short. But if the PLA chooses to air assaults on the highway near the airport and then land by barge, then the last line of defense of ROCAF, The Chiashan Air Force Base, will be in danger. Due to poor road conditions, it is difficult for the PLA here to continue to attack southward and northward, but conversely, it is also difficult for the northern and southern ROCA to recapture here. Even the ROCA destroyed Hualien Port and Airport, barges can also be used for subsequent landing and supply, not affected by weather. After the PLAFG rocket artillery and attack heli units enter Hualien, they can cover Taipei and Taichung, air defense and anti-submarine/ship forces can also block naval and air support from the Pacific
Roca_east_map.png
beach.pngChiashan.png
 
Last edited:
Top