US Navy & PLAN - South China Sea Situation News (Closed)

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I believe this is very important:
US, China Discuss South China Sea Ops
US Navy’s Chief of Naval Operations Adm. John Richardson and his Chinese counterpart, People’s Liberation Army (Navy) Commander Adm. Wu Shengli took part in a video teleconference to discuss ongoing engagements between the two navies and recent operations in the South China Sea.

The talks held on Oct. 29 were in light of the US Navy’s USS Lassen sailing within 12 nautical miles of China’s man-made island in the Spratly Islands territory, most of which is claimed by China.

The sail-by took place Oct. 27 and
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in China. As Reuters reports, Admiral Wu Shengli confirmed China’s stern stance that a minor incident could spark war if the US repeated similar actions in the future.

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on the latest call reports Richardson and Wu discussing U.S. freedom of navigation operations; the relationship between the two navies, including pending port visits and senior leader engagement; and the importance of maintaining an ongoing dialogue.

Admiral John Richardson stated that U.S. freedom of navigation operations serve to protect the rights, freedoms, and lawful uses of the sea and airspace guaranteed to all nations under international law. He further added that these operations were not a challenge to the sovereignty of land features and that United States takes no position on competing sovereignty claims to land features in the South China Sea.
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a1a2a3a4a5a6a

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Still, on the surface, taking hits and not hitting back will put Bejing at an disadvantage because clearly, unlike the old days, Beijing can't easily tell Chinese to just swallow their pride, unless the Chinese can be seen score back some points, be it on this front or on some other fronts. Beijing has to please the home crowd like everyone else. That said, Beijing has to throw some real and effective punches back, mere harsh words on the editorals of People Daily just don't cut it anymore...alas, Beijing's option at that end also very limited.
Probably media dramatization. Unless there is serious escalation, at this point, more Chinese (and Americans) are concerned about the economy, the stock market, the latest gossips, what's for dinner, and a long list of other items, than this incident at South China Sea. Some may not even notice what has happened.

An accelerated and extended development of those artificial islands, formal complaints, timely patrols, and enhanced communications, maybe adequate as a response from China for now, barring serious escalation. And so far, the naval commanders on both sides seem cool.
 

tphuang

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The only way that this FON exercise could be meaningful is for the US to further escalate the situation, i.e., as plawolf mentioned, if its allies in the region starts to do FON missions themselves.

I think the Chinese most probably would have already forseen such a move from the US, and it's in their calculations before embarking on its current island reclaimations.

As it is, the new normal of China's expanding influence and control of the South China Sea continues. Those reclaimed islands would still be there, they will get their airstrips and there's nothing anyone can do about it short of actually bombing or landing troops on them.

Perhaps the US and its allies could enforce a trade embargo, or some other meaningful trade sanctions that could really hurt China... but I don't think so.

Or better yet, they could do the same kind and scale of reclaimations that China's doing. But do they have the will?

Now the geo-political struggle is being played out at the South China Sea or within the "First Islands Chain". A decade or two ago, it was in the Taiwan Straits, right outside China's coastline. What will happen a decade or two into the future?

China had already told US it wants the west side of pacific. That's where the next struggle will take place. It will be between first and second chain. As China continues to grow, it will want more and more power in its backyard and to expand its backyard. That's not something Japan, South Korea, Vietnam and Phillipines want. US is involved because it has allies in the region and it cannot be shut out from an area of this world and still be considered the lone superpower. But if it feels like it, it can easily go for a much lower profile in the region.

And in 10 years as China and India both continue to grow, they will collide into each other in a much stronger way. So in the future, China's biggest geopolitical struggles will be with its neighbours and other Asian powers. What's happening is a by product of China's rapidly expanding influence and neighbour's resistance. This is not western propaganda. You barely hear anything about it in the news or in any of the presidential debates.

You just hope things don't get overly heated and a conflict starts because of this.
 

tidalwave

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One thing I find troubling is majority of people and media in US and in the west believe US can easily clean China's clock in a few days in conventional conflict and make China surrender in a few days. That's why you see a big pile of pressure from media, scholars , military on administration to act tough on China and they wouldn't mind a open conflict breakout because they believe US forces will win easily.

Maybe China can borrow a page from Pak , it uses tactical nukes to deter a stronger India. Tactical nuke can limit the scope of the conflict. They can be hosted in every major surface combatant ship or sub. they can used as equalizer and deterrence, at least can give something for the overly anticipating media , people to think about.

Most US media believe as long as US doesn't touch mainland, the PLAN forces can be wiped out without too much consequence. hence, that's where tactical nukes values on ships and subs come in.
 
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tidalwave

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US getting rid of its tactical nuke becuase its enjoying over whelming conventional advantage. It wants to set an good example so others can follow but it knows tactical nukes on inferior opponents can act as equalizers.
 

a1a2a3a4a5a6a

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US getting rid of its tactical nuke becuase its enjoying over whelming conventional advantage. It wants to set an good example so others can follow but it knows tactical nukes on inferior opponents can act as equalizers.
Remember this incident? Whatever the interpretation, NK is left alone afterward.

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Jeff Head

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No offense, but you should read from the first sentence, Jeff.
Your presumption that I did not read it "from the first sentence," is a presumption that is both wrong, and somewhat offensive.

I did.read it all, and I quoted a relevant part. If you disagree with the post you posted...I cannot help that. But this relevant part of your post simply made the point .

This means that other states must receive permission from the coastal state to engage in such economic or economically related activities as fishing, fishery surveys, resource exploration, or scientific research

If the US Military was involved in those things, then according to your post, they would need permission.
 

Jeff Head

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The only way that this FON exercise could be meaningful is for the US to further escalate the situation.
No, not at all.

They are meaningful in their own right.

The US simply punctuates FON. FON is exactly what it implies.

Freedom of Navigation.

As long as international law and norms with respect to a nation's actual territorial waters are not violated, any nation has FON.

The US will, as it has said, simply make that point within international waters anywhere it desires. it will allow others to do the same...including the PLAN which has doen so on several occasions.
 
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