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Colt Reunites Military, Civilian Gun Manufacturing; Lacks Firepower To Aid Lenders
The Hartford Courant
6:49 AM EDT, July 22, 2013
The merger between the gun maker whose Colt revolvers were wielded by Doc Holliday to Theodore Roosevelt and its former military division, which supplies the Army's M4 rifle, is failing to convince bondholders that it will generate enough cash to repay $250 million in debt.
While military supplier Colt Defense's 8.75 percent notes due November 2017 gained 5.5 cents after the West Hartford-based company said on July 15 that it spent about $60.5 million to buy the consumer-oriented Colt's Manufacturing Co., the debt trades at 80.75 cents on the dollar to yield 14.96 percent, almost 14 percentage points more than similar-maturity Treasuries. That's about 4 percentage points higher than the threshold for bonds considered distressed.
Adding a $50 million term loan to help finance the purchase will hurt liquidity by boosting interest expense even as the deal gives Colt Defense access to a broader distribution network for its firearms, according to Standard & Poor's. Colt Defense, which forecasts a flat-to-declining U.S. defense budget for the "foreseeable future" as the military winds down foreign missions, would need more than 70 years to build up enough money to pay off the bonds at its current pace of cash generation.
"The commercial business has done better than we thought, so that'll be a bit of an offset, but still it's not nearly enough to come up with the money to pay off those notes," said Christopher Denicolo, an analyst at S&P whose CCC-rating on Colt Defense bonds indicate they're "currently vulnerable" to non-payment. "One of the ways out would be to do a distressed exchange."
That kind of transaction would amount to a default for bondholders. Some of the biggest investors include Pacific Investment Management Co., whose Pimco Income Fund owns more than 8 percent of the securities, and Chicago Title Insurance Co., according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Isabelle DeFosses, a spokeswoman at Colt Defense, didn't respond to a request for comment on the company's finances. Mark Porterfield, a spokesman for Newport Beach, Calif.-based Pimco, declined to comment on the holding.
The Colt business traces its roots to an 1836 patent for a revolving cylinder handgun whose firepower greatly exceeded that of flintlock pistols, according to a March 26 regulatory filing that cites a post-Civil War slogan: "Abe Lincoln may have freed all men, but Sam Colt made them equal."
A supplier of small arms to the U.S. military since 1847, Colt has manufactured weapons that, according to the Autry National Center in Los Angeles, once belonged to Holliday, the gunslinger who fought alongside Wyatt Earp in the 1881 shootout at the O.K. Corral in Tombstone, Ariz., and America's 26th president.
While leading the Rough Riders volunteer cavalry regiment in its charge up San Juan Hill in Cuba during the Spanish- American War in 1898, Roosevelt used a model salvaged from the wreck of the USS Maine, which was blown up in Havana earlier that year, according to the National Firearms Museum. That gun was stolen from Roosevelt's former estate in Oyster Bay, New York, in 1990 and recovered 16 years later.
Colt Defense's notes yield the most of any industrial issuer bond in the CCC rating tier due in more than three years, Bloomberg data show. The last U.S. corporate debt of more than $200 million issued with a coupon exceeding the current yield on Colt's securities was from Energy Future Holdings Corp.'s imperiled Texas Competitive Electric Holdings unit, which sold $1.2 billion of 15 percent bonds starting in 2010 and 2011. Dallas-based Energy Future is the former TXU Corp.
The gun maker's total assets of $159 million on March 31 were $162 million less than its liabilities, the biggest deficit since at least 2011, Bloomberg data show. While the company has more than four years to prepare for a maturity that exceeds trailing 12-month cash from operations by more than 30 times, its current finances signal refinancing the bonds may be difficult, according to Noel Hebert of Concannon Wealth Management.
"With negative equity you will have a hard time securing new debt," said Hebert, whose Bethlehem, Pa.-based firm oversees about $250 million of assets. "Funding at 15 percent seems out of the question," though "it is a problem that is a while off, and if you have manic credit markets or manic gun buying, it may not be that big of a deal," he said.
By combining the two companies following a 2003 split, Colt Defense has eliminated the risk that its contract with Colt's Manufacturing to sell commercial firearms to civilian sportsmen and hunters under its namesake brand wouldn't be extended beyond March 2014, according to Moody's Investors Service.
Colt's Manufacturing filed for bankruptcy protection in 1992, after losing a government contract to manufacture M-16 rifles and suffering from a four-year strike, according to the company's website. Colt Defense was formed in 2002 and was 53.5 percent owned by Sciens Management, a New York-based manager of alternative investments, as of Dec. 31, according to the March 26 filing.
Sales to commercial and international markets have been the "main growth drivers" as budget pressures in the U.S. threaten domestic military revenue, Jadijhe Adamo, an analyst at Moody's, which rates the 2017 bonds Caa2, a level higher than S&P, wrote in a July 17 report. Sales to the U.S. government currently represent less than 15 percent of total revenue, Adamo said in the report.
Concerns that new U.S. gun-control laws might diminish consumer gun sales after the December massacre at a school in Newtown, Connecticut, are fading, investments in two publicly traded gun makers show. Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. shares have gained 17 percent since Dec. 13, the day before the shootings, while Sturm Ruger & Co. is up 3 percent, following declines after the incident at the Sandy Hook Elementary School.
Freedom Group Inc., which made the gun used in the shootings, was put up for sale in December by Cerberus Capital Management LP and has received several offers, a person familiar with the matter who asked not to be identified because the process is private said this month. Freedom is an amalgamation of Remington Arms Co. and Bushmaster Firearms International.
While sales in the 12 months through March jumped 14 percent to $232.6 million, Colt Defense's total debt is still about 7 times its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, Bloomberg data show. That's more than four times the average leverage level among indebted industrial companies in the S&P 500 index.
"The company's had very weak credit measures for a while now," Denicolo of S&P said. "It's an unsustainable capital structure," and "there may not be the possibility of refinancing when the debt comes due in a few years unless their credit profile improves," he said.