SinoSoldier
Colonel
Their shared border and common beef with the US precludes that from happening. If anything, China would do its part in ensuring the survival of the Russian economy - and by extension - its current administration.
Ukrainian War Developments
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Their shared border and common beef with the US precludes that from happening. If anything, China would do its part in ensuring the survival of the Russian economy - and by extension - its current administration.
Otvaga2004 is a pretty good site for updates. More biased towards RU, as expected. so maybe find some balance from this and from western forums.
https:// otvaga2004 . mybb. ru/viewtopic.php?id=2460
https:// otvaga2004 . mybb. ru/viewtopic.php?id=2464
https:// otvaga2004 . mybb. ru/viewtopic.php?id=2466
Back then US was not out. It was in, big time with like a million US soldiers in Europe. The threat of Communism was a big threat back then as well. Now there is no threat of Regime change happening in any EU country. Far right parties are gaining strength and winning in many countries in Europe. Even in Germany they are quite strong. So, times are quite different now.
It isn't just an increase to 2% GDP.
More in detail:
The german reorientation is almost as significant as if Japan decided to acquire own nucelar weapons (which is also a distinct outcome of the Russian attack).
So not small potatoes geopolitically.
German weapons can't cost effectively compete with China or Russia at this point, no matter how much they invest. They'll be forced to buy US in the end instead at least for navy and air force. In the short run, due to lack of US production capability, it'll simply raise prices rather than result in overall expansion of WESTBLOC military capability. In the long run, they'll get more production capability, but then Germany's going to lose something else: higher taxes, less investment into economic reform, lower welfare, etc. And these in turn all affect economic and social stability.
This is not an increase in overall WESTBLOC capability, it is just centralizing more of WESTBLOC capability on the US itself than sharing it 50/50 with EU.
Thanks
Unfortunately it was hard to translate to English.
Contemporary teams will have shorter-ranged, disposable, guided or unguided missiles to counter that threat!
The EU now extending NATO membership to Ukraine because they know Ukraine is going to fall and there is no chance of them actually doing it. It smack of hypocrisy.
The West, for the last few years, already focused like a laser at containing China and had thrown in the kitchen sink. The results have gone from bad to worse. Now we have to fight a two front war, which is never a good thing. This is especially true when Russia was never going to have the ability to challenge the U.S. Only China matter in this geopolitical calculus. Now the West (really just the U.S.) must devote considerable energy on the European front and forget about a reverse Nixon, though that was never likely to be on the cards anyway.
Barring a hot war with China, their nominal GDP will pass us by in a few years. It is much more likely that in the future, there will be a arms race between China and the U.S. and we would lose this arms race. The economy of the U.S. is on very shaky ground at this minute, propped up by all that debt. I think we should give up this whole business of China containment and focus on ourselves, but the chances are, the horrible leadership we have and the squabbling political class will take us down a path of rapid decline. Looking back from the future, the year 2021 and 2022 may mark the beginning of the end for the U.S. empire.
All this talk about ATGMs in Kiev is pointless. There seems to be very little military presence in Kiev.
The Russians seem to have caught the Ukrainians off guard on this front.
The Russians seem to have caught the Ukrainians off guard on this front.
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