Ukrainian War Developments

Status
Not open for further replies.

bustead

Junior Member
Registered Member
If Poland tried intervening I think Russia would use tactical nukes on them. I think they’ve made a clear message for the west not to intervene directly.
Belarus may not want Russia to launch a nuke in their territory. I'd say they will try to use conventional forces to stall Poland first before resorting to nukes.
 

Aegis21

Junior Member
Registered Member
There's some propaganda amplified online that the Russians (or Putin specifically) expected quick collapse of the Ukrainians within 3 days or less. So they're failing, giving people on Twitter and Reddit that Ukraine can pull off a win out of it.

It's possible there's some truth to it. But they still had the Plan B in case the Ukrainians put up strong resistance.
Well it shows that you should never start a war expecting your enemies to be weak. Always stay vigilant so you won’t be surprised. The Russian soldiers really felt that they would be allowed in with open arms.
 

Aegis21

Junior Member
Registered Member
only taking out strategic locations is not sufficient. The opponent capability to wage war must be eliminated in such a scenario which means destruction of their economy. That means shelling with naval artillery and carpet bombing with dumb bombs (if PGMs are exhausted) against civil infrastructure like power grid, oil refineries, bridges, semiconductor fabs, water treatment plants, etc.
If China’s trying to integrate Taiwan into its territory, would that create ill will?
 

Jingle Bells

Junior Member
Registered Member
The way things are going Russia won't have any tanks left to compete with.
What are you willing to bet?
I would bet 100 dollars CDN (sorry I am cheap), that by the time this conflict is over, the numbers of casualties and losses we can read from the internet and the media (which are mostly sourced from Ukrainian claims) would exceed the total number of troops Russia has, as well as the total numbers of tanks and IFV/APCs Russia has in service.
 

anzha

Senior Member
Registered Member
How much force can Belarus bring into this? Would it likely be be part of the Brest offensive do you feel or separate?

I Am Not An Expert on Belarusian Military here.

Quick googling suggests Belarus has 6 mechanized brigades and the army is about 50k to 60k people in total. So, maybe, 12 to 18 brigades in total? /very uncertain shrug

39 Mig-29s and 68 Su-25s seems to be the majority of the air force.
 

lube

Junior Member
Registered Member
The biggest limitations I saw commented on is that the Russians don't have enough tubes for a true saturated missile strike on the first day. Higher failure rates than Western cruise/ballistic missiles and older stockpiles add up so many targets weren't destroyed.

Not enough salvo firepower compared to the US and I assume China as well.
Biggest difference between a Taiwan conflict and what we saw in Ukraine on the opening hours.

Not enough planes committed either. I assume Russia's increasing the readiness its nuclear posture is also to allocate much more aviation to Ukraine. More than they think they needed.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top