I find the whole Ukraine situation as a massive failure of Russian foreign policy and Russian intelligence services. Putin bet on the wrong person (Yanukovich was an incompetent bastard) and daydreamed when the Maidan was in the making, he did not read the room and got outplayed. After Russia took Crimea in 2014, yes, it became a heavily anti-Russian country. It does not even matter what the population of those countries is because the main threat is from the potential US military bases and US missile systems, meaning that if, say, now Finland is compelled to join NATO then it will be just as bad.Just think about it. Poland has 38 million people, Ukraine has 41 million. You put that together and it is close to 80 million.
Both had severely anti-Russian governments. Poland was upgrading 249 Leopard 2 tanks to Leopard 2PL standard and 250 more M1A2.
The M1A2 deal was announced in 17 February just before this conflict started. They have over 500+ tanks of older T-72 like models.
As for Germany, if Russia cuts the gas, which they probably will given the depth of the SWIFT sanctions and the freezing of Russian Central Bank euro deposits, it means Russia effectively can't trade with Europe. They claim gas supplies aren't affected by the SWIFT sanctions, but would you accept electronic deposits in a currency you can't use to buy anything with in electronic withdrawals? It is simply stupid.
If SWIFT is cut off, then the gas & oil will be cut off, it is obvious, that's why FOR NOW they are cutting only some banks off SWIFT.
I am in Russia now.If I was you, since you seem to be in Germany, I would try to cut down on my energy usage as much as possible. I estimate that Germany has around 2 months of gas supplies at the current consumption rate at best. If they are distributed to other countries it will be less. Currently the Yamal Pipeline Germany-Poland-Russia is operating in reverse i.e. Poland is withdrawing gas from your deposits. And your country voted in a bunch of idiots which probably have crashed your industrial economy for the next decade thanks to their many, many, shortsighted decisions. When the Russian central bank kept its euro deposits while leaving its dollar deposits it was a signal to Europe. They EU leaders seem to think freezing those euro deposits is a good idea. But the thing is, all EU investments in Russia surpass that amount, and they can be confiscated. Russia dumped its dollars since US companies basically don't invest in Russia. These decisions are the final in a long line of stupid European decisions. The biggest beneficiaries will be the US and China. The biggest losers will be Russia and Europe. Of all the countries in Central Europe probably France is the one which will do the best given their large nuclear power output. And once the energy shortages begin don't expect any "European solidarity" or the trans European energy market to continue to work for long. If Belarus is sanctioned like Russia, they will cut their energy supply from the Baltics as well, and those will likely freeze too.