It's a basically a fact that Russia hasn't been fully commiting their forces, and even by now despite uh, not that clear information, it isn't hard to spot the fact that they been holding back with attack military targets around civilian areas (although that seems like it will change).
Ukrainian War Developments
- Thread starter james smith esq
- Start date
- Status
solarz
Brigadier
As was yours...Thank you. Very informative.
Interesting. It's a good change. At least incompetence is no longer reserved or exclusively attached to men.
Agreed. Russia is a laggard in UAV technology. Russia has recon drones, but lack up to date UCAVs. Their Orion UAV that only recently entered service in 2020 is roughly comparable to the MQ1 Predator.
Heavier UCAVs like the Wing Loong 2 would have been able to do many of the minor CAS, and air interdiction operations in Ukraine. These would have been able to recon for hours, attack Ukrainian artillery positions, and attack targets of opportunity. UCAVs do have a fear factor, as we have seen in the Nagorno-Karabakh War. These drones can also force the Ukrainians use MANPADS against them, instead of Russian manned aircraft.
Russia should have been more open to importing some Chinese drones to fill up their glaring gap in UCAV. Instead, Russia chose to go local, and the gap was never addressed until this war started. Hubris can become costly in war.
Russians have some minor set back. Casualties around 500 deaths from British intel. Took Kyiv airport with special forces and withstand an all out counterattack from the Ukrainians without significant casualties which is pretty impressive. Took around 36 hours to reach outskirts of Kyiv, another impressive performance.
Americans are saying the Russians are behind schedule but which wars and operations are on schedule. Wars are not video game. There are always set back and plan B, C, D and E to fall back to. Another thing is last night, it is clearly probing attacks. There are nothing for Ukrainians to brag about.
Americans are saying the Russians are behind schedule but which wars and operations are on schedule. Wars are not video game. There are always set back and plan B, C, D and E to fall back to. Another thing is last night, it is clearly probing attacks. There are nothing for Ukrainians to brag about.
There's a recent Moscow interview on official media which mentions a 2 week campaign.
Plus back in 2014, Putin publicly said he could take Kiev in 2 weeks. See below.
Given the buildup of Ukraine's military since 2014, it's unlikely this timeframe has gotten any shorter.
time.com/3259699/putin-boast-kiev-2-weeks/
And if a Blitzkrieg averages 22km per day (as in Baghdad below), then a minimum of 2 weeks could be expected.
- Status