I think we all expected them to accomplish something, and to have accomplished this already!
Ukrainian War Developments
- Thread starter james smith esq
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Totally agree. The studies of what happened in Ukraine are going to be fascinating to read. The writers' prose are going to be dry as the Empty Quarter though.
My opinion, worth as much as you paid for it:
The Russians don't have air superiority. I am actually extremely shocked by this.
The Russians have SIGNIFICANT logistical problems that will only get worse. Units running out of gas on day three? uuuuhhhh.
The Russian heavy armor still appears to be have not reached Kiev proper. Why?
The Ukrainians are still doing better than I would have thought. I legitimately thought the Russians would have stormed Kiev yesterday. Maybe not taken it, but had occupied important pieces of it.
Despite all that, the Russians are still winning. I give them a 95% chance of doing so. Each day the Russians take longer, the percentage ticks down, IMO, a little less likely to win. Like *A* percent per day.
Putin is doing a good job trying to battle US hegemony. The groteque problem is that the man is the only one trying to combat that vile menace.
One of the reasons why the First Chechen War delivered a bloody nose to the Russian military is conscription. That led to the Russian military utilizing kontraktniki (contract soldiers) during the Second Chechen War. I highly doubt that the Russian military still uses battalions of conscripts in the modern era, especially when they are fighting in foreign territory.
The question can be equally applied to you. Have you been to Hong Kong and Taiwan and know enough Taiwanese folks for you to be fully confident with your opinion regarding this matter?
There's been enough polling done by Western firms showing the tilt of Taiwanese, especially the younger ones who firmly associate/orient themselves to the west (America). So as a responsible, prudent, and realist leaders in the PRC can't and must not pin their assumptions on false hope that the conditions in Taiwan - Mainland relationship will not further deteriorate to the point of no return. Wrongly assuming that America will never ever infringe or break their written agreed pledge with China regardinf Taiwan over some made up/hype up b.s. narrative that can be used to persuade/order it's allies to essentially attack China’s red line. When that time comes, then what?
They still use conscripts. Conscription happens every year still. I have a Russian employee who has to go back due to a grandfather being on his deathbed. He is still in his 20s and has been checking if he will be called back up if he returns. We are both concerned.
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