This is General Alexey Avdeev.
General Andrei Mordvichev has an entirely different face:
Just compare the photos. This is yet another propaganda of the war. Precisely for this reason I stopped posting news about the war sequentially, there is no reliability in news, photos and even videos.
Actually that second picture you have is Alexey Avdeev.
Only select banks were banned from SWIFT, so they can still use or access Euros and Dollars.
To buy what? I put a chart of Russia's trade with Europe on this site just the other day. The only major import Russia gets from Europe which wasn't banned was medicine. But there are reports of medicine shortages in Russia right now. Probably because of a combination of the SWIFT disconnection, and transportation companies refusing to ship products from the EU to Russia. A lot of the active ingredients in medicine come from India and China in the first place anyway. If the problem is putting them on pills and packaging this can be done in Russia just fine. There are generic drug companies in Russia.
Germany is currently still paying in Euros and Dollars for Russian Gazprom imports.
Except those Euros and Dollars can't buy vehicle parts, vehicles, and aircraft, or aircraft parts. Which used to be the major import Russia got from the EU other than medicine. The rest is mostly residual. I am sure there will be localized impacts which will be hard to solve but they can get those products elsewhere.
Not buying Russian gas will hurt Russia a lot unlike previous sanctions,
It will hurt Europe way more.
China and India can't buy all of Russia's oil and gas.
Actually they can. In the long term it is perfectly possible. In fact it will be in the best interests of the world economy for this to happen.
China alone can absorb all the gas imports Europe is getting from Russia in like 15 years.
I don't think it would be economic MAD. Both Russia and Europe have alternative clients for energy.
Russia has a alternative clients yes. And Europe can get different suppliers. But it can't be done in the short term. Even in the middle term simply changing suppliers is basically impossible. If the gas and oil supply from Russia gets cut to Europe I think you will see issues in three months tops. Unless they start conversing energy seriously it won't even last until winter. Let alone to go through winter.
It will lead to a collapse in standard of living for both, but the damage will be far worse in Europe. Most Russians remember the 90s and have lived like that before. West Europeans have never experienced that in their life for the most part.
Yes exactly. And you have to remember in the 1990s Russia lost like 15 years in average lifespan. People who did statistical estimates claim they lost more people than in the WW2 or Civil War periods. But the thing is they never lost access to energy.
If this becomes a protracted thing, you'll wonder what the impact to Europe will be. Most European products are considered luxury or high end, there's a lot of value added to that. It's going to be hard to maintain that when your country converts to a similar living standard as Brazil.
Luxury products typically don't require a lot of energy to produce. But heavy industry will totally collapse.
So I think Germans will agree to Russian demands and go back to the long term plan of switching away from Russian energy.
It is way easier for Russia to cut gas than oil. They have limited oil storage capabilities. But they have a huuuge gas storage capability. And we have basically gone through the winter period. So they can likely store a month of gas. Also enough time to start shutting down wells slowly. An oil shutdown would be more difficult to do but may also happen in due course.
Watching this photo from the frontlines you comprehend the losses of the Russian Army in armor
Most armor losses I saw were from mechanical breakdowns or similar. I expected more tank losses with all those ATGMs to be honest.