Ukrainian War Developments

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enroger

Junior Member
Registered Member
I'm just gonna provide you a source, take this with some scepticism

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Any official confirmations already?

Yeah I'd take that with a fair bit of salt.... But it does brings me to ask, does orion has sat comm? Seeing it lacks the characteristic bulge for the sat antenna, I know for sure the Iranian drone certainly doesn't have it

Kind of wonder about the new Turkish drone Akinsi, supposedly it has sat comm but I wonder who is providing sat network for them
 

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
There are now increasing reports and videos of Russian armored columns moving through Donetsk and Luhansk. Today a large tank armada crossed from Russia proper into Luhansk, likely getting into position for the northern pincer around Izium. It now seems to be everyone's opinion, from the Pentagon to the Twitterati, that Russia is building up forces for a major push across the eastern front. And I also agree with the Twitterati on this one, not that anyone cares. Anyway, the plan seems to be a coordinated and near-simultaneous double envelopment starting from Izium to the north and Velyka Novosilka to the south, with LPR and DPR forces pinning a large part of the Ukrainian army along the eastern front. It's hard to say what kinds of numbers the Russians are putting into this effort, but it looks to be considerable. These next two weeks are going to be the most decisive juncture of the war's conventional phase. If the Russians can pull off what they've struggled to do so far, launching a massive and coordinated combined arms operation, then they're going to win.

A lot of people, including myself, have given the Russians a ton of crap about their performance in the war thus far. But now the Russians deserve some credit for learning from their past mistakes and coming up with a sound war plan. It's what they should've done from the very beginning, but better late than never I guess.
In order for this to occur Mariupol have to be taken and the forces involved in the siege redeployed to the north by something like 80km. This could take some time. Besides seeing when Mariupol siege is completely resolved we should watch out for signs that Russian troops are pulling out and letting DPR and Chechens clean up.

It curious if the fresh troops from Russia were part of the reserve of the first phase, or if they're freshly moved from elsewhere to join this second phase.
 

Phead128

Captain
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
There are now increasing reports and videos of Russian armored columns moving through Donetsk and Luhansk. Today a large tank armada crossed from Russia proper into Luhansk, likely getting into position for the northern pincer around Izium. It now seems to be everyone's opinion, from the Pentagon to the Twitterati, that Russia is building up forces for a major push across the eastern front. And I also agree with the Twitterati on this one, not that anyone cares. Anyway, the plan seems to be a coordinated and near-simultaneous double envelopment starting from Izium to the north and Velyka Novosilka to the south, with LPR and DPR forces pinning a large part of the Ukrainian army along the eastern front. It's hard to say what kinds of numbers the Russians are putting into this effort, but it looks to be considerable. These next two weeks are going to be the most decisive juncture of the war's conventional phase. If the Russians can pull off what they've struggled to do so far, launching a massive and coordinated combined arms operation, then they're going to win.

A lot of people, including myself, have given the Russians a ton of crap about their performance in the war thus far. But now the Russians deserve some credit for learning from their past mistakes and coming up with a sound war plan. It's what they should've done from the very beginning, but better late than never I guess.
I don't think anyone doubted Russia will win. They can easily brute force it. Just it will win with less finesse as originally envisioned, perhaps a pyrrhic victory depending on what gets annexed and final terms of the agreement. If it's some shitty tiny territories in DNR/LNR, is it worth losing 15 years of economic growth due to sanctions? Russia will win militarily, no doubt, just whether it's (negotiated) gains are worth the cost.
 

Jingle Bells

Junior Member
Registered Member
If people stop arguing or implying that Russia's war is morally justified, then I shall stop arguing otherwise.
I have stated that Russia has some legitimate grievances, which is more than what the West's willing to admit.
Sweetie, you have to be truthful to yourself.

Did you really mean to say: "If people stop arguing or implying that Russia's war is morally justified, then I shall stop arguing otherwise"?
No!
Your heart meant to say: "You MUST resolutely condemn Russian actions on moral ground, or else, you're in bed with Putin the dictator!" (which by the way, is exactly what Margret Brennan was trying to push Ambassador Qin Gang to make clear.)

So, my advise is that, instead of going around the bushes and try to entrap people in your little convoluted word salads, why don't you just be blunt?

Just say to them straight forward: "Do you condemn Putin or not?". Or you don't even need to ask. Just go: "You are Putin's goon! Atrocity enabler! Dictator's minions and cronies! Russian Troll!", etc. The long list.

It pains me to see you so vain and twisted.....

BTW, the civilians who got trapped in this war are the real victims. I don't care who wins at this moment, I just want the fighting to stop.
 

tygyg1111

Captain
Registered Member
What does West seeking eventual Chinese destruction have to do with NATO responsibility for Ukrainian warcrimes against Russian POWs.

What about West trying to kill China, makes NATO culpable for Ukrainian warcrimes against Russian POWs?
Look at the bigger picture: the only thing separating NATO from China is Russia. Therefore, regardless of how 'dirty' you think Russia's moves are, it is a necessary obstacle to Nato.

Splitting hairs does not contribute any value, would you discard all your friends and personal contacts just because they guaranteed at some point in their lives would have wronged someone?

Every action should have a useful purpose.

To put it simply, would you rather:
a) Wear a pair of dirty shoes to walk over a carpark full of broken glass and used needles, or;
b) Not wear dirty shoes, because they are dirty and you never, ever wear dirty shoes, out of principle! and walk over broken glass and needles barefoot?

If going into semantics to determine a textbook "morally correct party" is in China's interests, the by all means China should (and does) go for it.
If applying guilt by association (which western msm does on an bi-hourly basis) is in China's interests then China should go for it.

If this, to you, puts China on the same level as them then all I have to say is - if you find yourself stuck in a mudslinging fight then the only way to win is to get dirty.
 
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Phead128

Captain
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Look at the bigger picture: the only thing separating NATO from China is Russia. Therefore, regardless of how 'dirty' you think Russia's moves are, it is a necessary obstacle to Nato.
I'm asking, why is Russophiles blaming NATO for Ukrainian warcrimes against Russian POWs, not whether China should abandon Russia or leave it to be devoured by NATO, which is an entirely different topic.

The rest of your post is irrelevant to the original question. As for intent, it's to call out propaganda illogical bullshit, whether American or Russian.

How is saying NATO enables Ukraine warcrimes any different from Westerners saying China enables Russian invasion via trade, sanction avoidance, neutrality? The same original bullshit logic in both cases.
 

tygyg1111

Captain
Registered Member
I'm asking, why is Russophiles blaming NATO for Ukrainian warcrimes against Russian POWs, not whether China should abandon Russia or leave it to be devoured by NATO, which is an entirely different topic.

The rest of your post is irrelevant to the original question. As for intent, it's to call out propaganda illogical bullshit, whether American or Russian.

How is saying NATO enables Ukraine warcrimes any different from Westerners saying China enables Russian invasion via trade, sanction avoidance, neutrality? The same original bullshit logic in both cases.
Because how can your population support a country if said population believes that country is morally wrong?
And how can a country hold a tenable political position if it's inhabitants also see nothing relatively wrong with the opposing side?

I'm not sure if it was you or another poster, but in one of the earlier recurring "China soft power" debates the questions of "China's friends" can be directly answered with this - build and hold your narrative, and use it to attract proponents to your side.
 
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