Judging from the European PPI and inflation/shortages, I believe we will see the de-industrialization of Europe, with US absorbing most of the European industries and capital into its hollowed out economy. Europe will be hollowed out, canabalized by the US and fall into irrelevancy. And with Russia damaged and going back to lick its wounds, the world may end up in bipolar order again. I certainly wish it doesn't happen, but this is a prospect that I want to point out.
Ukrainian War Developments
- Thread starter james smith esq
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I thought this was a serious post until I saw the 5000 number.
To quote Aragorn "6000 will not be enough to break the lines of Mordor".
It's fine for Kazakhstan-style police action, for great power competition that's nothing. People are still not waking up to what a multipolar world means.
French has advocated for an EU force for years with no available. Most countries are scared that it would undermine NATO. More importantly, They are afraid of offending the US.
It is still a start. Not sure if France and Germany have what it takes to go it all the way. Doubtful I would say.
@Temstar and Putin draw a redline and declared "You shall not pass" and slammed a Kinzhal missile to prove a point...lol
@KYli bro IF its French La Belle and German Schone Frau, count me in and I'll volunteer together with @Crang @horse @Bellum_Romanum and other brave and handsome members of SDF...lol
Ruslan Rudnev, colonel of the Air Force, was killed in a special operation in Ukraine. He was a pilot, aged 41, from Samara, and leaves behind his wife and three children.
I think this a very interesting point, but only if the Ukrainian forces have enough fuel, ammo and supplies for their armoured and mechanized forces to conduct the offensive. There have been a multiple posts here about the Ukrainian logistics issues.
Earlier in the war, I think the Ukrainian forces had an advantage in logistics with their very successful, numerous ambushes of Russian supply convoys. Russia was busy trying to suppress the Ukr AF and AD. Since then the front has stagnated, which ironically, actually benefits the Russians as they consolidate their gains, take less losses, and proceed to use their advantages in the air, cruise missiles, and artillery to destroy the Ukrainian logistics centers across the country (although I will say Ukraine also has some tactical successes with ther artillery).
And the ability to conduct the offensive, thus far, is in theory only. Witness the current Makariv story. Also so far, the strongest mechanized Ukrainian forces in the Donbas have basically not been able to conduct any offensive action. Advances by the separatists have been slow, but shouldn't the Ukrainians have an advantage against these guys? Instead they are on the back foot. They are trying to push at Izyum to prevent the Russians from the north in cutting off the east but will it be successful? Still remains to be seen.
Down in the southwest pass Kherson to Mycolaiv the Russians look spread thin and the Ukrainians have numbers. Maybe they can push there. The Russians used Kinzhal to hit the fuel depot in that area.
Mariupol had 3 Ukrainian brigades: 56th mechanized, 36th Marine Corps, 12th National guard. And then there's Azov paramilitaries who probably number a few thousand. I think maybe not all elements are present, but certainly very substantial numbers to cause a massive headache in urban settings. Mariupol has been entrenched for 8 years basically so no easy fight.
Dun know ... Tyler has been previously printing the f-35 program as garbage for a decade upto around 2017/2018.
In any case, Mariupol will fall. Am starting to think that Zelensky also would like to have the Azov wiped out for common good and his own survival.
What's the hurry? They have secured most supply lines on currently consolidated areas. In the meantime they are busy targeting whatever logistics and supplies the Ukraine has while propping up the DPR / LPR militias into a semi-competent post-war homegrown weapon. Eventually it's either the UAF that falters or the civilian populace that will grab the reins against the Kiev government in the conflict zones. On the economic side, it's slowly becoming apparent that it is the EU who will pay the blockade more than Russia ever will.
So yes, time is definitely on Putin's side.
And if Poland goes haywire, then that's another bird with one stone as it seems, that the current invasion is not only aimed at Ukrainian nationalism and NATO expansive policies, but also against Polish-Baltic anti-Russian zeal.
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