Ukrainian War Developments

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TK3600

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Another bit of Ukrainian hoax propaganda.
Apparently Russian soldiers killed 10 people in Chernihiv.
Multiple western news outlets published it at the same time, despite no western journalists being on the ground. There's no significant damage to the buildings or surroundings so there's no bomb or evidence of shooting. The bodies are blurred.
It's already been commented on by the Press secretary.

I was highly suspicious straight away as there's been very little activity in Chernihiv since the conflict started. Russian tanks tried to enter the city at the start of the conflict but were stopped by police, so they turned back.
Watching the video, and comparing with google maps it's pretty easy to figure out where it happened.
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The streetview is from 2015 so the some signs are older, but the roads and buildings all line up.

It's in the middle of the town. So apparently Russian soldiers drove into the town, randomly shot 10 people who happened to be queuing up for bread then drove out.
Tanks stopped by police?
 

Lnk111229

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The first thing American apologists always fall back to is “moral-equivalence”, claiming that their war-crimes are more justifiable than others’!
Read the English release here:
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Those so called Western journalist is actually bunch hungry rabid dog cracked thought China and Mr Xi is easy juicy target to bite. It make me admired Mr Zhao calmly manner. If it me in his position, the second those dog bark and try to told China and Mr Xi how to do this and that then i will tell those Western journalist dog shut the fck up. Or get what rabid dog always get: beaten to head and mouth. Lock in cage then throw cage in river. Lol
 

sinophilia

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Russia's nuclear arsenal is not as credible as the US's nuclear arsenal. They have a lot of warheads but have limited ways of delivering them to their targets. China has the same issue, which is why the US establishment does not fear nuclear war with either country. They know that in the end, they will win.

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As of mid-2021, the Russians have 339 operational nuclear-armed ICBMs and the US has 400 operational nuclear-armed ICBMs. None of the US ICBMs are MIRVed (and therefore contain only 1 warhead), while hundreds of Russian ICBMs are MIRVed, all with warheads (~20x RS-18 with 6 MIRV warheads, 46x RS-20 with 10 MIRV warheads, ~99x RS-24 Yars with ~3 MIRV warheads, ~18x RS-24 Yars with ~3 MIRV warheads, and ~54x Yars-S with ~3 MIRV warheads).

That's 1,195 nuclear warheads on its ICBMs for Russia (1093 MIRVed and 102 unitary) while the US has only 400 unitary warheads on each ICBM.

Clear numerical superiority. All of those ICBMs have the ability to hit anywhere within the US (same with the US against Russia) so there's nothing inferior there either. They also average noticeably higher nuclear yields than the US. Note I only included operational warheads, not any experimental stuff the Russians are producing.

In terms of nuclear-armed strategic aircraft, the Russians have 76 nuclear-armed strategic aircraft (9 Tu-160; 7 Tu-160 mod; 42 Tu-95MS; 18 Tu-95MS mod) and the US has 66 (20 B-2A; 46 B-52H). The US has ~528 AGM-86B ALCMs with a range of 1500+ miles to arm their 66 bombers, the Russians have ~600 nuclear-armed KH-55SM and KH-102 ALCMs, with published ranges of ~1800 miles and ~2,800 miles, respectively.

Once again, no clear inferiority, in either numbers, range or magnitude. You can take as many grains of salt as you like, in regards to the published ranges being fake, or the inventory being pumped, or even frauding the warhead yield. You can assume their maintenance is so garbage that many of the warheads will fail to work or the missiles will implode before they even leave Russia. All this still would leave Russia in the ballpark of total US nuclear strategic capability.

The last area, SLBMs on SSBNs, is the place where the US has superiority. 14 Ohio with up to 20 UGM-133A Trident D-5/D-5LE nuclear SLBMs each (280 SLBMs max) all with MIRV capability of up to 14 warheads. On average though, each missile only carries ~4 warheads (due to treaty limitations). That is ~1,120 warheads. The Russians have 11 SSBNs (1 Kalmar; 6 Delfin; 3 Borey; 1 Borey-A) with 16 SLBMs each (of varying types) for a total of 176 SLBMs and a total average warhead count of ~816 warheads (slightly higher MIRV warhead count than the US). Range for the US and Russia is not very relevant, the worst SLBM (with Russia) can hit Florida just 500 miles north of central Siberia.

As you can see, nuclear war is one area the US can't win. US population density is also vastly higher, land area in overall size is much more limited, and urbanization is higher as well. A nuclear war with Russia would end for all time the US, but would not end Russia despite crippling it for many decades (assuming climate catastrophe from a nuclear winter is overhyped, which it certainly is).
 
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TK3600

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MSM is just drinking too much Kool-Aid.
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Pentagon officials say a 10 percent casualty rate, including dead and wounded, for a single unit renders it unable to carry out combat-related tasks.(For Nato, its combat unit was rendered combat ineffective after 25% casualty rate but for Russia it considered its unit combat ineffective when it reached 40% casualty rate. Not sure the meaning of unable to carry out combat-related tasks but it doesn't make any sense that a 10% casualty rate would render a combat unit ineffective.)

Claiming 7000 Russian deaths but at the same time supporting Ukraine claims of 1300 deaths is not only bias but taking people as a fool.
The conservative side of the estimate, at more than 7,000 Russian troop deaths vs President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine said this week that an estimated 1,300 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed in the war.

Couldn't agree more.

Having a Canadian 'sniper ace' smoked in the first 20 minutes of action is humiliating. There has been no official refuting of this by the man himself and by the Western MSM; which would have been instant if his death was truly false. So for me, he is pretty much dead.

That Canadian 'sniper ace' truly underestimated his foe. He was killing Taliban and ISIL fighters for years, and he thought that killing Russians would be the same. The deadly reality for him is that Russia is not Afghanistan or ISIL. In the Middle East, he had friendly ISR and air superiority to cover his back and give him his situational awareness. That enabled him to move around and do his work with relative impunity. This is not the same with Russia. Russia is far more technologically sophisticated, and they had already control the skies over Ukraine. The Taliban and ISIL could not dictate the battle with him, but Russia could.

Not only that, we are reading tweets and horror stories of other foreign mercenaries lamenting about the absolute disaster they are experiencing in Ukraine. What happened to all those bravado talks, and talks about giving their lives to defend 'freedom and democracy'? Some of these foreign mercenaries were war veterans. Some of them were even ex-special forces.

I too have always had the niggling thought that soldiers from the collective West were suspect. Since WW2, Western soldiers have only faced enemies with meagre air and naval power. These soldiers have never faced a situation where the enemy has potent air and ISR capability. They have not faced an enemy who has the technology, and intelligence to rival the West.

This is the case for those 'brave' Western mercenaries. They have only experienced COIN, low-intensity conflicts, where they had air and ISR superiority. There was even the laughable hubris of other 'elite' foreign mercenaries with no war experience like that South Korean ex-Navy Seals volunteer. He had trained with the US numerous times. But once he had his first taste of combat in Ukraine, he wanted to return home so badly. Maybe he thought fighting the Russians was as easy as in Call Of Duty. As the former pentagon advisor, Col. Doug Macgregor said, the West is not ready for a real fight with Russia. All those years of experience in low-intensity conflicts in the Middle East is irrelevant. What's happening in Ukraine is classic high-intensity conflict with a near-peer adversary.

I was fairly surprised to see how quickly these 'battle-hardened' foreign volunteers melted away when things went south. I have yet to see any Western soldier 'soldiering on' when their situation is screwed up. Like when so many of their buddies were ruthlessly killed by the enemy. Or when the Ukrainian generals asked them to become cannon fodder on the frontlines, giving them little protective equipment and ammunition to work with. They instantly panicked and fled. If you are a Western top brass observing this, this is a very serious issue. Many of the adversaries facing the West, can fight with so much less, and can soldier on despite horrendous circumstances. This is what they will be facing if they were to ever face against Russian or Chinese troops in their own respective neighbourhoods. They will face battles far more intense than even Ukraine itself, against far more determined soldiers.

Hollywood and video games have for a long time, sugar-coated war for Western audiences. They gave the impression that any 21st century war is a guaranteed to win for the West. I have witnessed so much copium, including here in this thread about guaranteed Western military supremacy. Their adversaries, were always depicted as reckless, weak-minded, technologically backward, and most unforgivable of all, stupid. When this Russo-Ukraine war is finished, there will be much post-mortem for the West to do. All those fanboys of Western supremacy will have to face reality at some point.
Signed up for Call of Duty, entered Wargame: Red Dragon instead.
 

Abominable

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Read the English release here:
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Those so called Western journalist is actually bunch hungry rabid dog cracked thought China and Mr Xi is easy juicy target to bite. It make me admired Mr Zhao calmly manner. If it me in his position, the second those dog bark and try to told China and Mr Xi how to do this and that then i will tell those Western journalist dog shut the fck up. Or get what rabid dog always get: beaten to head and mouth. Lock in cage then throw cage in river. Lol
Notice how unlike any western politican, Zhao's actually understands and answers the question. Also, all these foreign journalists are essentially employees of Washington at this point. A lot of them don't even realise the pre-written questions they've been given have already been answered.

The best part:
Bloomberg: Can I just follow on what we asked earlier? China’s ambassador to Ukraine said that China would never attack Ukraine. Does that mean China will not supply Russia with weapons or other assistance that could be used to attack Ukraine?

Zhao Lijian: Is this your own interpretation? China has made statements on this on multiple occasions. Such association has no grounds whatsoever.
Looks like our drone salesman may be getting some sales!
 
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