Ukraine Revolt/Civil War News, Reports, Data, etc.

delft

Brigadier
My Dutch newspaper has succeeded in combining a news article in which they say Debaltsevo is surrounded with a small scale map showing a corridor to the place that has nearly constant width and for which they claim authorship. :)
The article was written by their own correspondent from Gorlivka, much nearer to Debaltsevo than Amsterdam. That is probably the explanation.
I looked again. They also mention Reuters as source for their map. But it remains odd.
 

Scratch

Captain
Is this what underlies the meetings in Moscow two weeks ago? the realisation that disintegration was now unavoidable and the best thing was to manage the process and agree who gets what?

In my view, Sampan, that scenario would appear to be a defeat for both sides, really.

The EU, if acknowledging that break-up, and after repeatedly asserting that Russia is an aggressor against peace in Europe, would concede that military intervention (i.e. war) is again an acceptable way of changing borders in Europe. Something the eastern european states especially would certainly fiercely oppose.
To calm those nations, a much heavier NATO presence on their territory might be necessary. Something that goes in a circle of not defusing at all the tensions between Russia and much of Europe.

On the other side, the ukrainian parts you see as going into the EU via their "parent states" would by the same token also become part of NATO right away, as all those "parent-states" are already NATO members. An eventual "core-Ukraine" might find it easier to join eventually. That all, NATO borders moving closer to Russia, seems to be the prime thing Putin is strenuously trying to avoid with his current actions.

With all this on my mind, I currently do not see the reasoning behind your proposal / prediction.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

A pro-NAF reporter doing a news coverage from the Debalsevo about how there's no ceasfire has (inadvertantly and again) filmed russian tanks there.

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Dannhill

Junior Member
Russia would love a formal open investigation on the MH17. But this would be the last thing that Ukraine would want.

And those 4 countries would have to explain why the need to have a secret no-tell agreement and excluding the Malaysian govt from the investigation itself.
And the Malaysian govt is very unhappy at this arrangement and has alluded to a superpower pressuring them not to push it.

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The Ukraine government can do the same to Russia and the Rebel forces, not to mention the shooting down of flight MH17 to go along with it.
 
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Dannhill

Junior Member
That there is no ceasefire in the cauldron is something no one is denying at all.

And yes, we all know about Ukraine and NATO's screams of Russian tanks, especially photos by an ambassador on his Twitter account of a "Russian column in Ukraine" that was actually of a Russian column on exercise within Russian territory itself and way back in 2008.
I think that is the same photo you are referring to.
Anybody read that? It's online so you can look for it yourself but I won't put the link here in case someone complain about me.
 
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SampanViking

The Capitalist
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
In my view, Sampan, that scenario would appear to be a defeat for both sides, really.

The EU, if acknowledging that break-up, and after repeatedly asserting that Russia is an aggressor against peace in Europe, would concede that military intervention (i.e. war) is again an acceptable way of changing borders in Europe. Something the eastern european states especially would certainly fiercely oppose.
To calm those nations, a much heavier NATO presence on their territory might be necessary. Something that goes in a circle of not defusing at all the tensions between Russia and much of Europe.

On the other side, the ukrainian parts you see as going into the EU via their "parent states" would by the same token also become part of NATO right away, as all those "parent-states" are already NATO members. An eventual "core-Ukraine" might find it easier to join eventually. That all, NATO borders moving closer to Russia, seems to be the prime thing Putin is strenuously trying to avoid with his current actions.

With all this on my mind, I currently do not see the reasoning behind your proposal / prediction.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

A pro-NAF reporter doing a news coverage from the Debalsevo about how there's no ceasfire has (inadvertantly and again) filmed russian tanks there.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

I think what I am exploring is that there is more than a single "western" position on this problem and that the objectives of Brussels and Washington are not automatically the same.
Further, despite what everybody professes as there objective; an unified Ukraine, it seems increasingly impossible for this to be achieved by any degree of consent.
The Crimea is gone and it is not coming back
The Donbass has gone and will not be forced back.

In short, you can only ask "how to put Humpty back together again" for so long. Once it is clear that the question is pointless, the only remaining relevant question is "How do you like your eggs?"
 

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
The Cauldron will scupper Minsk 2. The discussion should have taken place after it had been cleaned out and not left hanging like it is now.

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I am not understanding what your meaning is here.

"The discussion should have taken place after it had been cleaned out."

What do you mean, "cleaned out?"

Discussions took place and an agreement was reached, but according to the link you gave us, although the Ukrainians indicate they were ready to withdraw their heavy weapons, after the agreement was signed they have been attacked over and over again and now are unwilling to withdraw their heavy weapons until the attacks cease and a true cease-fire is in place.

Article said:
The Ukrainian security personnel announced that they are not ready to withdraw heavy weapons from the front line, explaining this by enduring attacks by the militia fighters.

The DPR representatives refused to start withdrawing the artillery earlier on Monday. The special operation's representative Andrey Lysenko said that the sites for pulling back heavy weapons in accordance to the Minsk agreements were prepared, but now the Ukrainian side cannot do it due to the militia fighters not observing the point about the cease-fire.

"A condition for withdrawing heavy weapons away from the line of contact is the fulfillment of the first point of the Minsk agreements — this is the cease-fire. 112 attacks — this is not an indicator of a cease-fire, so for now we are not ready to withdraw heavy weapons, although we did prepare the corresponding sites and the corresponding work on transferring heavy weapons and vehicles away from the line of contact was done. That is, we are prepared for this, but first there should be a cease-fire,"
 
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