A crucial piece of intel we could extrapolate from this video is a possible disintegration of ukrainian army's chain of command, which, by rule, is a harbinger of defeat unless similar conditions also exist on the other side. Ukraine's battle command can no longer control its units simply through standard procedures of order issuance, but instead now relying on dissemination of false intel to deceive its soldiers into conducting operations they would otherwise refuse. Attempting to sustain this "controlled" offensive operation (which i believe was what kiev had originally envisioned it to be) is futile, and consequently will require kiev to change course within matter of days, either to dramatically escalate its effort or pull back once again.This is very interesting and I think really nails the arguement about who controls the Airport
I this video we see Givi and Motorola capture the Ukrainian Army Colonel who was presumably in command and who was the very same officer that Motorola was filmed negotiating with a month or so ago
I picked this up via the Saker and he has some very interesting comments about the half heartedness of this apparent offensive. I have no idea if his notions are right, but it is something I will be bearing in mind when looking at forthcoming events.
absent from this very limited range of options is an alternative that is both militarily and politically acceptable. intensifying the current offensive, as a reaction to its failure, forgoes the attacking side the prerogative of choosing the time, place and scope of its operations, therefore surrendering its initiative almost from the get go. equally undesirable is the option of pulling back, which is tantamount to admitting defeat and further undermines the legitimacy of poroshenko's administration. if one were to look for the definition of "caught between a rock and a hard place" look no further than here.